Murray State
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1082 (#108) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1052 (#119) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1086 (#58) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.3 (#153) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.4 (#119) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.722 (#58) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.439 (#162) | AdjNet -2.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.435 (#162) | AdjNet -2.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.505 (#151) | AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.597 (#84) | AdjO 79.3 | AdjD 75.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.555 (#126) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.573 (#112) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1066 (#108) | RD 122 | GP 27 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-12-02 | N | Troy | W | 107 - 97 |
| 1994-12-03 | @ | UNC Wilmington | L | 73 - 81 |
| 1994-12-05 | vs | Alcorn State | W | 86 - 70 |
| 1994-12-10 | @ | Arkansas | L | 69 - 94 |
| 1994-12-16 | N | Youngstown State | L | 48 - 53 |
| 1994-12-17 | N | Prairie View A&M | W | 116 - 97 |
| 1995-01-02 | @ | Alcorn State | W | 111 - 100 |
| 1995-01-07 | vs | Morehead State | W | 70 - 66 |
| 1995-01-09 | vs | Eastern Kentucky | W | 88 - 62 |
| 1995-01-14 | @ | Middle Tennessee | W | 89 - 74 |
| 1995-01-16 | @ | Tennessee Tech | L | 71 - 79 |
| 1995-01-21 | @ | Tennessee–Martin | W | 81 - 68 |
| 1995-01-23 | @ | Tennessee State | L | 75 - 78 |
| 1995-01-28 | vs | Austin Peay | W | 80 - 79 |
| 1995-01-30 | vs | Tennessee State | L | 65 - 72 |
| 1995-02-01 | @ | Southeast Missouri State | W | 83 - 79 |
| 1995-02-04 | @ | Eastern Kentucky | L | 75 - 78 |
| 1995-02-06 | @ | Morehead State | L | 74 - 80 |
| 1995-02-11 | vs | Tennessee Tech | W | 114 - 90 |
| 1995-02-13 | vs | Middle Tennessee | W | 87 - 74 |
| 1995-02-18 | vs | Southeast Missouri State | W | 83 - 55 |
| 1995-02-25 | @ | Austin Peay | W | 96 - 79 |
| 1995-02-27 | vs | Tennessee–Martin | W | 107 - 75 |
| 1995-03-02 | N | Middle Tennessee | W | 75 - 67 |
| 1995-03-03 | N | Eastern Kentucky | W | 78 - 72 |
| 1995-03-04 | N | Austin Peay | W | 92 - 84 |
| 1995-03-17 | N | North Carolina | L | 70 - 80 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.