Murray State
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1143 (#74) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1141 (#68) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1116 (#35) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.5 (#99) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.3 (#110) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.766 (#39) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.641 (#106) | AdjNet +5.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.641 (#106) | AdjNet +5.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.611 (#94) | AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 78.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.602 (#71) | AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 76.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.646 (#84) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.644 (#80) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1115 (#75) | RD 129 | GP 26 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-11-29 | @ | Arkansas | L | 67 - 93 |
| 1993-12-11 | vs | Florida International | W | 92 - 61 |
| 1993-12-18 | vs | Saint Louis | L | 89 - 92 |
| 1993-12-22 | vs | Mississippi | W | 87 - 68 |
| 1993-12-29 | N | Columbia | W | 82 - 66 |
| 1993-12-30 | @ | Toledo | L | 82 - 94 |
| 1994-01-08 | @ | Morehead State | W | 116 - 91 |
| 1994-01-10 | @ | Eastern Kentucky | W | 79 - 72 |
| 1994-01-15 | vs | Middle Tennessee | W | 102 - 76 |
| 1994-01-17 | vs | Tennessee Tech | W | 102 - 90 |
| 1994-01-19 | vs | Memphis | W | 82 - 77 |
| 1994-01-22 | vs | Tennessee–Martin | W | 99 - 70 |
| 1994-01-24 | vs | Tennessee State | W | 90 - 79 |
| 1994-01-29 | @ | Austin Peay | L | 81 - 83 |
| 1994-01-31 | @ | Tennessee State | W | 92 - 76 |
| 1994-02-02 | vs | Southeast Missouri State | W | 81 - 74 |
| 1994-02-05 | vs | Eastern Kentucky | W | 86 - 82 |
| 1994-02-07 | vs | Morehead State | W | 91 - 86 |
| 1994-02-12 | @ | Middle Tennessee | W | 116 - 86 |
| 1994-02-14 | @ | Tennessee Tech | W | 89 - 86 |
| 1994-02-19 | @ | Southeast Missouri State | W | 96 - 95 |
| 1994-02-26 | vs | Austin Peay | W | 95 - 85 |
| 1994-02-28 | @ | Tennessee–Martin | W | 80 - 77 |
| 1994-03-04 | N | Morehead State | W | 104 - 86 |
| 1994-03-05 | @ | Tennessee State | L | 72 - 73 |
| 1994-03-16 | @ | Bradley | L | 58 - 66 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.