Murray State
Model Outputs
1989-1990
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1125 (#80) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1107 (#84) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1089 (#52) | HCA +128 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.9 (#153) | HCA +4.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.2 (#162) | HCA +4.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.592 (#98) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.482 (#150) | AdjNet -0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.480 (#150) | AdjNet -0.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.492 (#148) | AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 70.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.521 (#126) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 70.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.560 (#125) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.566 (#116) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1140 (#68) | RD 123 | GP 28 |
1990 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989-11-29 | @ | Western Kentucky | W | 66 - 64 |
| 1989-12-02 | @ | Saint Louis | L | 68 - 78 |
| 1989-12-04 | @ | Eastern Illinois | L | 50 - 55 |
| 1989-12-09 | vs | Southern Illinois | L | 108 - 114 |
| 1989-12-11 | vs | Georgia Southern | L | 69 - 71 |
| 1989-12-16 | @ | Evansville | L | 69 - 93 |
| 1989-12-29 | N | UTSA | W | 107 - 101 |
| 1989-12-30 | @ | Lamar | W | 88 - 81 |
| 1990-01-03 | vs | Saint Louis | L | 60 - 76 |
| 1990-01-05 | N | Alcorn State | W | 72 - 60 |
| 1990-01-09 | vs | Arkansas State | W | 64 - 62 |
| 1990-01-13 | vs | Morehead State | W | 71 - 55 |
| 1990-01-15 | vs | Eastern Kentucky | W | 58 - 45 |
| 1990-01-20 | @ | Middle Tennessee | W | 80 - 71 |
| 1990-01-22 | @ | Tennessee Tech | W | 81 - 75 |
| 1990-01-27 | @ | Nicholls State | W | 75 - 56 |
| 1990-01-29 | @ | Tennessee State | W | 80 - 67 |
| 1990-02-03 | @ | Austin Peay | W | 58 - 55 |
| 1990-02-05 | vs | Austin Peay | W | 66 - 58 |
| 1990-02-10 | vs | Tennessee State | W | 90 - 89 |
| 1990-02-12 | @ | Georgia Southern | W | 82 - 79 |
| 1990-02-17 | vs | Tennessee Tech | W | 71 - 63 |
| 1990-02-19 | vs | Middle Tennessee | L | 76 - 81 |
| 1990-02-24 | @ | Eastern Kentucky | W | 74 - 69 |
| 1990-02-26 | @ | Morehead State | L | 79 - 81 |
| 1990-03-04 | vs | Austin Peay | W | 68 - 67 |
| 1990-03-05 | vs | Eastern Kentucky | W | 63 - 57 |
| 1990-03-15 | N | Michigan State | L | 71 - 75 |
1990 Roster
No roster data available for this season.