Murray State Racers
Model Outputs
2006-2007
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1204 (#66) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1073 (#155) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.8 (#269) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.420 (#228) | - |
2007 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006-11-10 | vs | Kentucky State Thorobreds | W | 80 - 46 |
| 2006-11-12 | vs | Brescia Bearcats | W | 73 - 55 |
| 2006-11-17 | @ | Southern Illinois Salukis | L | 68 - 77 |
| 2006-11-20 | @ | Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | L | 60 - 67 |
| 2006-11-28 | @ | Cincinnati Bearcats | L | 57 - 74 |
| 2006-12-04 | vs | Lipscomb Bisons | W | 81 - 53 |
| 2006-12-07 | @ | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | W | 89 - 75 |
| 2006-12-17 | vs | Samford Bulldogs | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2006-12-19 | vs | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | W | 100 - 59 |
| 2007-01-02 | vs | Eastern Illinois Panthers | W | 93 - 67 |
| 2007-01-04 | @ | Tennessee State Lady Tigers | W | 83 - 55 |
| 2007-01-08 | vs | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2007-01-11 | @ | Austin Peay Governors | W | 64 - 63 |
| 2007-01-15 | @ | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | W | 61 - 59 |
| 2007-01-20 | vs | UT Martin Skyhawks | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2007-01-25 | @ | Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | L | 49 - 54 |
| 2007-01-27 | @ | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2007-01-29 | @ | Samford Bulldogs | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2007-02-01 | vs | Austin Peay Governors | L | 70 - 82 |
| 2007-02-03 | @ | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | W | 82 - 61 |
| 2007-02-08 | vs | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | W | 75 - 62 |
| 2007-02-10 | vs | Morehead State Eagles | W | 71 - 57 |
| 2007-02-15 | vs | Tennessee State Lady Tigers | W | 81 - 60 |
| 2007-02-17 | @ | Eastern Illinois Panthers | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2007-02-22 | vs | Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | W | 80 - 79 |
| 2007-02-24 | @ | UT Martin Skyhawks | L | 60 - 62 |
| 2007-02-27 | vs | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2007-03-02 | vs | UT Martin Skyhawks | W | 66 - 65 |
| 2007-03-03 | @ | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | L | 60 - 62 |
| 2007-03-15 | @ | Arkansas State Red Wolves | L | 52 - 59 |
2007 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
E. Horton
|
- | 4 | 29.0 | 14.5 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 8.5 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 52.9 | 53.3 | 87.5 | - | 70.7 | 64.7 |
M. Ward
|
NA | 4 | 22.2 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 54.5 | 71.4 | - | 72.0 | 70.8 |
D. Thomas
|
- | 4 | 22.5 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 7.2 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 37.9 | 36.4 | 92.9 | - | 55.5 | 44.8 |
R. George
|
- | 4 | 20.5 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 6.5 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 55.6 | 77.8 | - | 53.4 | 48.1 |
M. Williams
|
- | 4 | 17.5 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 0.0 | 40.0 | - | 53.0 | 54.5 |
T. Holloway
|
- | 4 | 31.8 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 22.2 | 100.0 | - | 31.8 | 27.8 |
D. Paul
|
- | 4 | 19.2 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 5.2 | - | - | - | 46.7 | 0.0 | 46.2 | - | 48.3 | 46.7 |
Ben Carter
|
- | 4 | 17.5 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.5 | 4.2 | - | - | - | 38.9 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 44.0 | 38.9 |
T. Easley
|
- | 4 | 13.8 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 47.4 | 50.0 |
D. Ard
|
- | 2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
J. Key
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
R. Kennedy
|
- | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
G. Fotso
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Parker
|
- | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG