Murray State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
75.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
39.3%
FG%
32.2%
3P%
80.2%
FT%
40.3
RPG
13.5
APG
14.8
TO
73.2
Est. poss./game
72.2
Adj PPG
68.4
Adj Opp PPG
#58
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1378 (#29) | Preseason prior 1465 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1156, returning +338, transfers -28, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1250 (#28) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1245 (#28) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +15.1 (#58) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +15.0 (#59) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.882 (#68) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.801 (#60) | AdjNet +6.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.819 (#60) | AdjNet +8.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.746 (#58) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.742 (#58) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.792 (#56) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.792 (#56) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1244 (#36) | RD 169 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.871 (#40) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles | W | 82 - 67 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | Rice Owls | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | Princeton Tigers | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2026-11-12 | vs | Morehead State Eagles | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | Oregon Ducks | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | vs | Eastern Illinois Panthers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Halli Poock
|
G | 4 | 31.8 | 22.5 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 19.5 | 6.8 | 44 | 4 | 11.0 | 13.8 | 37.2 | 35.7 | 73.9 | 3.8 | 51.1 | 46.8 |
Sharnecce Currie-Jelks
|
F | 4 | 28.8 | 13.5 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 10.5 | 13.5 | 12 | 4 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 45.2 | 66.7 | 77.8 | -1.01 | 54.1 | 47.6 |
Haven Ford
|
G | 4 | 30.0 | 11.2 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 9.5 | 11.0 | 7 | 4 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 36.8 | 36.8 | 83.3 | 0.09 | 52.0 | 46.1 |
Claire Johnson
|
G | 4 | 23.2 | 9.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 6 | 4 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 54.2 | 33.3 | 87.5 | 0.38 | 67.2 | 62.5 |
Katie Reed
|
F | 4 | 17.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 15 | 4 | 3.8 | 8.8 | 45.5 | 54.5 | 100.0 | 1.11 | 63.1 | 59.1 |
Keslyn Secrist
|
G | 4 | 25.0 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 24 | 4 | 6.0 | 9.6 | 33.3 | 12.5 | 100.0 | -0.45 | 43.0 | 36.1 |
Destiny Thomas
|
G | 4 | 11.0 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 5.5 | - | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | - | 69.1 | 60.0 |
Sydney Huber
|
G | 4 | 23.5 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 5.2 | -0.2 | 23 | 4 | 5.8 | 9.9 | 14.3 | 10.0 | 100.0 | 0.78 | 22.9 | 19.0 |
Sophie Terry
|
F | 3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | -2 | 3 | -0.7 | -17.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.54 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Jaidynn Askins
|
F | 4 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.8 | -13 | 4 | -3.2 | -18.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.95 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Cam Hoover
|
F | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | 2 | -2.5 | -200.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.93 | 0 | 0 |
Mary Grant
|
G | 3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -7 | 3 | -2.3 | -188.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.41 | 0 | 0 |
Alice Magnanini
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
252 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Halli PoockSharnecce Currie-JelksHaven FordKatie ReedKeslyn SecristSydney HuberSophie Terry
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 40-72 | 55.6 | 80 | Sharnecce Currie-Jelks 32% (26 pts) | Claire Johnson 20% (16 pts) | Halli Poock 31% (10 misses) | Sharnecce Currie-Jelks 31% (10 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 9-29 | 31.0 | 18 | Haven Ford 33% (6 pts) | Halli Poock 22% (4 pts) | Sharnecce Currie-Jelks 35% (7 misses) | Haven Ford 20% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-10 | 30.0 | 6 | Halli Poock 67% (4 pts) | Haven Ford 33% (2 pts) | Halli Poock 57% (4 misses) | Haven Ford 29% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 5-14 | 35.7 | 10 | Halli Poock 40% (4 pts) | Haven Ford 20% (2 pts) | Halli Poock 33% (3 misses) | Sharnecce Currie-Jelks 33% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-9 | 44.4 | 8 | Katie Reed 50% (4 pts) | Keslyn Secrist 25% (2 pts) | Halli Poock 60% (3 misses) | Sharnecce Currie-Jelks 40% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-10 | 30.0 | 9 | Haven Ford 67% (6 pts) | Halli Poock 33% (3 pts) | Halli Poock 43% (3 misses) | Haven Ford 43% (3 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-8 | 12.5 | 3 | Sophie Terry 100% (3 pts) | - | Keslyn Secrist 29% (2 misses) | Claire Johnson 14% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 17-48 | 35.4 | 51 | Halli Poock 41% (21 pts) | Claire Johnson 18% (9 pts) | Halli Poock 42% (13 misses) | Sydney Huber 23% (7 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 9-25 | 36.0 | 27 | Halli Poock 44% (12 pts) | Haven Ford 22% (6 pts) | Halli Poock 44% (7 misses) | Haven Ford 19% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 8-27 | 29.6 | 24 | Halli Poock 38% (9 pts) | Claire Johnson 12% (3 pts) | Sydney Huber 53% (10 misses) | Claire Johnson 16% (3 misses) |