Murray State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
95.0
PPG
67.5
Opp
+27.5
Margin
47.3%
FG%
36.4%
3P%
72.7%
FT%
45.0
RPG
18.8
APG
14.8
TO
77.6
Est. poss./game
81.5
Adj PPG
68.1
Adj Opp PPG
#66
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1016 (#128) | Preseason prior 956 (returning production + recruiting): last season 975, returning -0, transfers +7, freshmen -27 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1040 (#119) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1040 (#119) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.4 (#69) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.4 (#69) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.868 (#64) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.731 (#72) | AdjNet +18.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.737 (#72) | AdjNet +18.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.688 (#66) | AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.687 (#65) | AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.709 (#78) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.709 (#78) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1069 (#113) | RD 183 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.589 (#116) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Tennessee State Tigers | W | 94 - 64 |
| 2026-11-07 | vs | Northwestern State Demons | W | 93 - 71 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Alcorn State Braves | W | 94 - 57 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Texas Southern Tigers | W | 99 - 78 |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Hofstra Pride | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | vs | NC State Wolfpack | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roman Domon
|
G | 4 | 30.0 | 20.5 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 15.5 | 12.8 | 91 | 4 | 22.8 | 30.3 | 37.1 | 18.2 | 88.9 | 2.12 | 52.7 | 40.3 |
Brayden Shorter
|
G | 4 | 24.0 | 20.5 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 99 | 4 | 24.8 | 41.3 | 55.8 | 54.8 | 100.0 | 1.81 | 78.2 | 77.9 |
Brigham Rogers
|
F | 4 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 15.5 | 82 | 4 | 20.5 | 31.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 57.1 | 1.69 | 66.3 | 66.7 |
Talis Soulhac
|
G | 4 | 18.8 | 8.2 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 9.0 | 55 | 4 | 13.8 | 29.7 | 47.1 | 20.0 | 76.2 | 0.65 | 62.9 | 50.0 |
Jonas Boulefaa
|
F | 4 | 10.0 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 6.8 | 32 | 4 | 8.0 | 32.2 | 62.5 | 70.0 | 57.1 | 0.33 | 81.2 | 84.4 |
Christian Jones
|
G | 4 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 54 | 4 | 13.5 | 25.7 | 41.7 | 35.3 | 100.0 | 0.62 | 56.3 | 54.2 |
Kaden Magwood
|
G | 3 | 10.3 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 33.3 | 12.5 | 85.7 | -0.99 | 45.1 | 36.1 |
Ben Shtolzberg
|
G | 4 | 13.2 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 15 | 4 | 3.8 | 11.0 | 54.5 | 25.0 | 80.0 | -0.56 | 64.4 | 59.1 |
Mathis Courbon
|
G | 4 | 14.8 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 25 | 4 | 6.2 | 16.9 | 37.5 | 12.5 | 42.9 | 0.06 | 41.9 | 40.6 |
Lachlan Crate
|
G | 4 | 17.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 6.8 | 63 | 4 | 15.8 | 36.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 1.48 | 45.1 | 50.0 |
Pavle Nikolic
|
F | 4 | 10.2 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 34 | 4 | 8.5 | 32.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 72.7 | 0.23 | 64.6 | 50.0 |
Shon Tupuola
|
F | 3 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3.3 | -3 | 3 | -1.0 | -7.1 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.94 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
Navon Shabazz
|
NA | 3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | -1 | 3 | -0.3 | -5.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.22 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Dillon Butler
|
G | 3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 0.3 | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
Mark Padjen
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Murray State players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Murray State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant | 2017-19 | NBA | Portland Trail Blazers | 4 | 25.9 | 15.8 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 10-29 14 pts, 2 reb, 3 ast | 4 GP, 15.8 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 5.5 APG |
| Cameron Payne | 2013-15 | EuroLeague | Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 8 | 21.5 | 16.5 | 0.9 | 4.9 | 11-13 9 pts, 0 reb, 8 ast | 5 GP, 17.2 PPG, 0.6 RPG, 5.6 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Cameron Payne | EuroLeague | Anadolu Efes Istanbul | vs Virtus Bologna | 21 | 9 | 0 | 8 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Cameron Payne | EuroLeague | Anadolu Efes Istanbul | vs Paris Basketball | 30 | 33 | 2 | 7 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Cameron Payne | EuroLeague | Anadolu Efes Istanbul | vs Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens | 25 | 14 | 1 | 8 | Box |
| 2026-10-29 | Ja Morant | NBA | Portland Trail Blazers | vs Memphis Grizzlies | 23 | 14 | 2 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-10-27 | Ja Morant | NBA | Portland Trail Blazers | @ Los Angeles Lakers | 31 | 23 | 0 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-10-23 | Ja Morant | NBA | Portland Trail Blazers | @ Sacramento Kings | 27 | 12 | 3 | 7 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
262 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Brayden ShorterRoman DomonJonas BoulefaaKaden MagwoodMathis Courbon
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 37-54 | 68.5 | 74 | Roman Domon 14% (10 pts) | Brayden Shorter 11% (8 pts) | Kaden Magwood 24% (4 misses) | Talis Soulhac 24% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 37-73 | 50.7 | 74 | Roman Domon 30% (22 pts) | Brigham Rogers 27% (20 pts) | Roman Domon 39% (14 misses) | Brayden Shorter 11% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-3 | 33.3 | 2 | Brayden Shorter 100% (2 pts) | - | Roman Domon 100% (2 misses) | - |
| Mid-range center | 1-3 | 33.3 | 2 | Roman Domon 100% (2 pts) | - | Mathis Courbon 50% (1 misses) | Roman Domon 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-8 | 50.0 | 8 | Roman Domon 50% (4 pts) | Kaden Magwood 25% (2 pts) | Roman Domon 75% (3 misses) | Jonas Boulefaa 25% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 8-17 | 47.1 | 24 | Brayden Shorter 50% (12 pts) | Jonas Boulefaa 38% (9 pts) | Brayden Shorter 33% (3 misses) | Roman Domon 33% (3 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-7 | 28.6 | 6 | Jonas Boulefaa 50% (3 pts) | Mathis Courbon 50% (3 pts) | Jonas Boulefaa 40% (2 misses) | Christian Jones 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 17-49 | 34.7 | 51 | Brayden Shorter 47% (24 pts) | Christian Jones 24% (12 pts) | Roman Domon 28% (9 misses) | Brayden Shorter 25% (8 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-12 | 33.3 | 12 | Brayden Shorter 50% (6 pts) | Christian Jones 25% (3 pts) | Roman Domon 38% (3 misses) | Christian Jones 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 13-36 | 36.1 | 39 | Brayden Shorter 69% (27 pts) | Jonas Boulefaa 15% (6 pts) | Brayden Shorter 35% (8 misses) | Christian Jones 22% (5 misses) |