Muhlenberg
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 994 (#252) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1063 (#151) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.0 (#246) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.543 (#431) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.496 (#239) | NetEff -0.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.546 (#367) | AdjNet +1.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.528 (#370) | AdjNet +1.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.477 (#384) | AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 59.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Gwynedd Mercy | L | 60 - 69 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | W | 84 - 29 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Notre Dame (MD) | W | 67 - 37 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | York (PA) | W | 57 - 42 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Eastern | W | 62 - 36 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | DeSales | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Arcadia | W | 58 - 45 |
| 2024-12-03 | @ | Misericordia | W | 55 - 51 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Bryn Mawr | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Haverford | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Alvernia | W | 54 - 44 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Moravian | W | 63 - 47 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Ursinus | L | 56 - 78 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Swarthmore | L | 41 - 71 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Washington Col. | L | 45 - 62 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Johns Hopkins | L | 55 - 97 |
| 2025-01-28 | vs | Bryn Mawr | W | 69 - 53 |
| 2025-01-30 | @ | Haverford | W | 57 - 55 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Swarthmore | W | 51 - 45 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Dickinson | L | 41 - 69 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Gettysburg | L | 42 - 89 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Franklin & Marshall | L | 52 - 56 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Washington Col. | W | 52 - 37 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Ursinus | L | 55 - 66 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | McDaniel | L | 51 - 77 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Mcgrath | - | 10 | 26.6 | 10.9 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 11.2 | 4.9 | -52 | -2.6 | -3.4 | 33.9 | 27.3 | 65.2 | -0.52 | 44.6 | 42.0 |
| Veronica Dawson | - | 25 | 26.2 | 10.6 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 9.3 | 8.5 | -21 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 39.7 | 24.4 | 70.0 | 0.21 | 47.8 | 41.8 |
| Rachel Saxton | - | 19 | 27.8 | 10.0 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 11.2 | 3.4 | -14 | -0.9 | -0.9 | 32.4 | 27.1 | 70.2 | 0.1 | 40.7 | 36.9 |
| Emily Unger | - | 24 | 26.8 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 9.5 | 4.5 | -49 | -2.7 | -3.0 | 30.7 | 28.9 | 59.0 | -0.16 | 43.0 | 41.2 |
| Ava Connolly | - | 25 | 30.3 | 8.1 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 7.6 | 8.2 | -60 | -3.3 | -3.6 | 38.1 | 31.5 | 75.0 | -0.33 | 49.1 | 45.8 |
| Lyndsey Costigan | - | 25 | 22.3 | 6.5 | 6.7 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 6.6 | 7.4 | -11 | -0.4 | -0.5 | 42.1 | 14.0 | 58.6 | 0.16 | 46.1 | 44.5 |
| Mia Fitzgerald | - | 16 | 14.2 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 14 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 31.7 | 31.8 | 67.9 | -0.28 | 48.8 | 40.2 |
| Faith Tucker | - | 22 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 0.2 | -30 | -1.6 | -4.8 | 30.2 | 19.4 | 53.3 | -0.47 | 36.2 | 34.3 |
| Erin Punter | - | 25 | 12.0 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.7 | -35 | -1.5 | -4.0 | 30.0 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.5 | 30.7 | 30.0 |
| Megan Winters | - | 18 | 18.0 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.7 | -84 | -5.2 | -8.3 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 36.4 | -0.87 | 20.1 | 15.0 |
| Lily-anna Quintero | - | 4 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Ella Parker | - | 21 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | -20 | -1.2 | -6.8 | 29.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.34 | 42.3 | 29.4 |
| Caitlyn D'addieco | - | 12 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | -27 | -1.2 | -6.3 | 15.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.1 | 27.1 | 15.4 |
| Avery McNulty | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG