Muhlenberg
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 994 (#252) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1063 (#151) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.3 (#195) | HCA +2.4 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-08 | vs | Moravian | W | 45 - 33 |
| 2023-11-11 | vs | Hartwick | W | 64 - 55 |
| 2023-11-14 | vs | DeSales | W | 44 - 41 |
| 2023-11-17 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | W | 57 - 48 |
| 2023-11-18 | @ | Westfield St. | W | 71 - 44 |
| 2023-11-21 | @ | Swarthmore | L | 53 - 55 |
| 2023-11-28 | @ | Bryn Mawr | W | 66 - 43 |
| 2023-11-30 | vs | Dickinson | L | 44 - 51 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Johns Hopkins | L | 55 - 77 |
| 2023-12-06 | vs | Haverford | W | 54 - 44 |
| 2023-12-09 | @ | Ursinus | W | 50 - 49 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Washington Col. | L | 41 - 46 |
| 2024-01-09 | vs | Franklin & Marshall | L | 56 - 60 |
| 2024-01-11 | vs | Gettysburg | L | 58 - 72 |
| 2024-01-13 | @ | McDaniel | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2024-01-20 | vs | Johns Hopkins | L | 52 - 77 |
| 2024-01-23 | vs | Ursinus | W | 56 - 36 |
| 2024-01-25 | @ | Dickinson | L | 42 - 54 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Washington Col. | W | 66 - 54 |
| 2024-01-31 | vs | Swarthmore | L | 37 - 57 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Franklin & Marshall | W | 56 - 45 |
| 2024-02-06 | @ | Haverford | L | 41 - 44 |
| 2024-02-08 | @ | Gettysburg | L | 53 - 67 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | McDaniel | W | 67 - 36 |
| 2024-02-14 | vs | Bryn Mawr | W | 66 - 42 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Connolly | - | 9 | 32.8 | 11.4 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 10.9 | 6.4 | - | - | - | 37.8 | 35.7 | 82.4 | -0.03 | 48.8 | 45.4 |
| Rachel Saxton | - | 9 | 31.0 | 9.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 11.2 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 33.7 | 23.7 | 58.8 | 0.08 | 40.1 | 38.1 |
| Emily Unger | - | 9 | 22.7 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 8.3 | 3.1 | - | - | - | 36.0 | 31.1 | 87.5 | -0.15 | 47.8 | 45.3 |
| Avery McNulty | - | 9 | 13.3 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 12 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 28.2 | 30.8 | 64.0 | 0.23 | 46.0 | 38.5 |
| Jenna Stockfeder | - | 9 | 29.0 | 4.4 | 9.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 5.8 | 8.9 | - | - | - | 36.5 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 0.25 | 36.9 | 36.5 |
| Caroline Horst | - | 9 | 25.4 | 3.9 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 7.9 | - | - | - | 54.8 | 0.0 | 11.1 | 0.07 | 50.1 | 54.8 |
| Mia Fitzgerald | - | 9 | 19.2 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 3.3 | -21 | -2.1 | -2.2 | 37.5 | 30.0 | 60.0 | -0.15 | 49.0 | 43.8 |
| Katie McGrath | - | 9 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 0.8 | -36 | -3.6 | -6.0 | 36.4 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.3 | 49.6 | 43.2 |
| Riley Cassidy | - | 9 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 1.3 | -3 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 47.6 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0.18 | 53.6 | 52.4 |
| Megan Winters | - | 8 | 8.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | -34 | -3.8 | -9.3 | 28.6 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.09 | 33.6 | 28.6 |
| ABIGAIL SCHEIDEL | - | 8 | 7.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | -0.6 | - | - | - | 10.0 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -0.04 | 16.8 | 15.0 |
| Faith Tucker | - | 8 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | -1 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Lyndsey Costigan | - | 9 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | -0.1 | -30 | -3.0 | -4.1 | 11.1 | 20.0 | 25.0 | -0.04 | 18.6 | 16.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG