Mt. St. Mary (NY)
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 967 (#307) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 987 (#254) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.2 (#227) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.897 (#248) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.886 (#85) | NetEff +14.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.488 (#386) | AdjNet -0.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.477 (#385) | AdjNet -0.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.452 (#401) | AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 63.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Skidmore | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Farmingdale St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-24 | vs | Yeshiva | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-01 | vs | SUNY New Paltz | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | St. Joseph's (L.I.) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Old Westbury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-10 | vs | St. Joseph's (Brkln) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Sarah Lawrence | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-16 | @ | Catholic | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Mary Washington | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Army West Point | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Vassar | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | UMSV | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-10 | @ | Merchant Marine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Manhattanville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Purchase | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Sarah Lawrence | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Old Westbury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Farmingdale St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-28 | vs | St. Joseph's (L.I.) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Yeshiva | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | St. Joseph's (Brkln) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | Purchase | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Merchant Marine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Manhattanville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | UMSV | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | UMSV | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Merchant Marine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-07 | @ | Scranton | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brianna Guglielmo | - | 28 | 26.0 | 10.3 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 9.4 | 8.6 | 42 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 41.6 | 22.0 | 70.7 | 0.59 | 49.0 | 45.0 |
| Lauren Petrie | - | 28 | 24.6 | 8.0 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 7.5 | 5.7 | 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 41.9 | 31.7 | 73.9 | -0.25 | 51.1 | 49.5 |
| Margaret Trinkaus | - | 28 | 19.1 | 7.4 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 6.2 | 6.9 | 65 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 52.3 | 13.3 | 75.9 | 0.45 | 55.2 | 52.9 |
| Erin Lofaro | - | 28 | 15.0 | 7.1 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 6.9 | 4.3 | 55 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 43.0 | 21.6 | 73.3 | 0.39 | 48.3 | 45.9 |
| Elizabeth Lofaro | - | 28 | 15.2 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 3.5 | 41 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 34.4 | 34.2 | 62.5 | 0.03 | 45.6 | 44.6 |
| Angelina Donato | - | 28 | 18.5 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 4.9 | 6.6 | 31 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 46.4 | 32.6 | 58.2 | 0.74 | 53.9 | 51.8 |
| Sara Cashin | - | 27 | 16.3 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 83 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 30.4 | 6.7 | 57.4 | 0.21 | 34.2 | 30.9 |
| Kate Hughes | - | 27 | 15.0 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 60 | 2.5 | 4.1 | 41.9 | 33.3 | 79.3 | 0.57 | 46.4 | 42.3 |
| Casey Love | - | 27 | 23.7 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 7.7 | 20 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 39.8 | 24.2 | 79.5 | 0.01 | 50.2 | 43.4 |
| Ciarra Quinn | - | 28 | 14.6 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 48 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 34.1 | 24.1 | 66.7 | 0.1 | 41.6 | 41.3 |
| Shannon Phelan | - | 27 | 12.4 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 30 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 29.0 | 29.0 | 87.5 | -0.0 | 43.0 | 39.0 |
| Keira Frias | - | 17 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.3 | -0.1 | 16 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 22.7 | 14.3 | 66.7 | -0.16 | 30.0 | 27.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG