🐻⬇️🏀

Mt. St. Joseph

Also known as: Mt. St. Joseph
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1027 (#202) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1019 (#235) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -4.0 (#179) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.415 (#517) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.3 More → 0.491 (#297) NetEff -0.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.7 More → 0.246 (#490) AdjNet -9.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.9 More → 0.239 (#490) AdjNet -9.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 71.5 More → 0.350 (#486) AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 71.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Wilmington (OH) W 98 - 62
2024-11-11 vs Centre W 77 - 66
2024-11-14 @ Wabash L 59 - 87
2024-11-16 @ Elmhurst L 56 - 69
2024-11-23 vs Albion L 63 - 84
2024-11-24 vs Alma W 79 - 62
2024-11-27 vs Wittenberg W 72 - 63
2024-12-04 vs Bluffton W 79 - 78
2024-12-07 vs Transylvania L 62 - 67
2024-12-14 @ Earlham W 88 - 72
2024-12-18 vs Franklin L 58 - 69
2025-01-04 vs Manchester W 75 - 71
2025-01-08 @ Rose-Hulman L 57 - 65
2025-01-11 @ Anderson (IN) L 66 - 69
2025-01-15 vs Berea W 84 - 77
2025-01-18 @ Hanover L 60 - 72
2025-01-22 @ Bluffton W 78 - 65
2025-01-25 vs Anderson (IN) L 67 - 83
2025-01-29 vs Hanover L 53 - 64
2025-02-01 @ Manchester W 71 - 70
2025-02-05 @ Franklin L 61 - 73
2025-02-08 vs Earlham W 68 - 63
2025-02-12 vs Rose-Hulman L 66 - 78
2025-02-15 @ Transylvania L 71 - 73
2025-02-18 @ Berea W 83 - 76
2025-02-22 @ Rose-Hulman L 52 - 69

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Luke Collinsworth - 26 30.0 15.5 7.1 2.0 0.4 0.5 1.9 12.2 11.4 -36 -2.8 -4.4 49.7 38.9 68.4 0.3 57.7 55.5
Mathew Menninger - 26 31.6 11.5 3.9 1.8 0.5 1.0 1.2 8.0 9.5 -52 -2.7 -6.9 52.9 30.7 78.6 0.47 62.4 58.4
Michael Loftis - 25 22.6 10.5 2.8 1.9 0.6 0.0 2.3 8.4 5.1 14 1.0 4.1 45.9 41.9 70.9 0.88 56.2 53.3
Elisha Jones - 23 26.0 9.1 2.3 2.0 0.4 0.2 1.5 8.9 3.7 -65 -3.8 -10.5 36.1 28.3 68.1 -0.52 46.5 43.4
Joe Brand - 26 26.9 7.9 4.3 1.3 1.6 0.1 1.4 5.7 8.1 10 0.9 2.0 45.6 32.9 83.0 0.49 60.5 55.1
Jason Lavender - 25 21.4 6.6 3.5 1.0 0.4 0.3 1.4 5.8 4.6 -17 -1.7 -2.4 41.7 29.7 64.1 1.08 50.9 48.3
Josh Batte - 19 18.3 4.7 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.1 1.2 4.2 3.2 -27 -3.4 -5.4 35.0 26.0 72.4 -0.09 48.5 43.1
Dale Bush - 26 11.2 2.7 2.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.5 2.5 2.5 -6 -1.0 -4.0 36.4 34.7 54.5 0.19 50.1 49.2
Braden Miller - 26 8.5 1.8 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.7 2.5 2.0 -28 -3.5 -37.8 24.2 22.5 46.7 -0.1 33.1 31.1
Alex Willet - 14 5.0 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 -18 -6.0 -48.8 66.7 62.5 0 -0.44 94.4 94.4
Corey Rogers - 25 5.7 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 -15 -3.0 -24.9 33.3 30.0 0.0 -0.24 38.8 40.5
Dontre Russel - 15 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 - - - 40.0 20.0 100.0 - 50.6 45.0
Philip Kahn - 25 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 - - - 66.7 100.0 50.0 - 77.3 83.3
Luke Rogers - 18 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Elijah Bishop - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG