Mount Union
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 976 (#289) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1053 (#171) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.3 (#71) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.728 (#345) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.806 (#118) | NetEff +10.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.817 (#261) | AdjNet +13.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.818 (#262) | AdjNet +12.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.672 (#258) | AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 59.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Westminster (PA) | W | 79 - 41 |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Manchester | W | 75 - 50 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Kenyon | W | 73 - 52 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Calvin | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | CWRU | L | 46 - 58 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | John Carroll | L | 58 - 71 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Capital | L | 52 - 57 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Wilmington (OH) | L | 62 - 69 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Simpson | W | 80 - 54 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Anna Maria | W | 62 - 53 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Otterbein | L | 51 - 62 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Marietta | L | 48 - 68 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Heidelberg | W | 107 - 70 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | L | 45 - 46 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Ohio Northern | L | 41 - 66 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Muskingum | W | 70 - 38 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Capital | L | 60 - 73 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Marietta | W | 84 - 68 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Wilmington (OH) | W | 83 - 38 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | John Carroll | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Otterbein | W | 70 - 59 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Muskingum | W | 82 - 61 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Heidelberg | W | 90 - 48 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | L | 47 - 63 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Ohio Northern | L | 62 - 66 |
| 2025-03-20 | vs | Asbury | W | 71 - 60 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josie Sullivan | - | 1 | 40.0 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 42.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.27 | 42.1 | 42.1 |
| Heaven Shockley | - | 1 | 38.0 | 15.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 37.5 | 0.25 | 38.4 | 37.5 |
| Elizabeth Mason | - | 25 | 25.5 | 13.3 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 10.0 | 11.5 | 22 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 49.0 | 40.4 | 75.8 | 0.24 | 57.4 | 52.8 |
| Cassidy Hambelton | - | 1 | 40.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.27 | 48.4 | 46.2 |
| Brooklyn Luna | - | 1 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 30.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Laney Humble | - | 1 | 21.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 42.9 | 0 | - | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| Karlie Sampson | - | 1 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 59.5 | 60.0 |
| Abby Muckleroy | - | 25 | 14.0 | 6.8 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 40 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 43.6 | 38.8 | 66.7 | 0.41 | 58.5 | 57.9 |
| Chelsea Evanich | - | 25 | 17.5 | 6.6 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 6.4 | 7.2 | 15 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 40.4 | 16.7 | 68.8 | -0.0 | 45.6 | 41.3 |
| Dae dae Nash | - | 2 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 35 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 29.4 | 22.2 | 0 | 0.47 | 35.3 | 35.3 |
| Tess Conroy | - | 25 | 11.4 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 2.8 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 42.0 | 37.5 | 63.6 | -0.25 | 50.9 | 50.0 |
| Reese Triplett | - | 17 | 13.5 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 4.9 | 2.6 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 36.9 | 23.1 | 50.0 | 0.14 | 43.0 | 42.3 |
| Mckayla Dunkle | - | 24 | 14.6 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.9 | 5.8 | 62 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 45.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.64 | 48.4 | 45.7 |
| Ali Hudik | - | 24 | 18.3 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 20 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 33.1 | 25.4 | 50.0 | 0.14 | 39.8 | 39.5 |
| Lily Scott | - | 24 | 16.9 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 28 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 40.0 | 41.2 | 61.3 | 0.23 | 51.2 | 48.2 |
| Hailey Haywood | - | 23 | 16.8 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 12 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 27.4 | 21.4 | 81.0 | 0.18 | 36.4 | 31.6 |
| Haliey Haywood | - | 2 | 18.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 12 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 21.4 | 14.3 | 0 | 0.18 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Kayla Ferancy | - | 25 | 9.7 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 1.5 | -19 | -0.6 | -1.8 | 32.1 | 20.0 | 33.3 | -0.2 | 35.2 | 35.1 |
| Addison Mucci | - | 10 | 9.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 10 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 18.8 | 16.7 | 75.0 | 0.35 | 28.1 | 25.0 |
| Rylee Hutton | - | 25 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 29 | 1.4 | 9.9 | 27.3 | 21.4 | 50.0 | 0.21 | 31.7 | 30.7 |
| Carlie Besecker | - | 23 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 77.8 | 0 | 62.5 | - | 75.9 | 77.8 |
| Sierra Schlosser | - | 24 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | -28 | -1.5 | -15.1 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.2 | 50.6 | 50.0 |
| Jayla Callock | - | 23 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | -29 | -2.1 | -12.5 | 41.7 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.29 | 45.8 | 45.8 |
| Paityn Corthell | - | 22 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 45.0 | 45.0 |
| Kelley Griffin | - | 24 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | -29 | -1.4 | -9.7 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.29 | 33.5 | 30.0 |
| Marina Sanders | - | 23 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | -9 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.18 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Grace Knowlton | - | 24 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | -0.1 | -13 | -0.8 | -10.2 | 12.5 | 10.0 | 0 | -0.15 | 15.6 | 15.6 |
| Brooke Lime | - | 23 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Maddie May | - | 5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Audrey Livesay | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ireland Jones | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG