🐻⬇️🏀

Mount Union

Also known as: Mount Union
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 976 (#289) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1053 (#171) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +12.3 (#71) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.728 (#345) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.8 More → 0.806 (#118) NetEff +10.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.0 More → 0.817 (#261) AdjNet +13.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.7 More → 0.818 (#262) AdjNet +12.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 59.4 More → 0.672 (#258) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 59.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 vs Westminster (PA) W 79 - 41
2024-11-10 vs Manchester W 75 - 50
2024-11-22 @ Kenyon W 73 - 52
2024-11-23 vs Calvin L 51 - 60
2024-11-26 vs CWRU L 46 - 58
2024-12-04 vs John Carroll L 58 - 71
2024-12-07 vs Capital L 52 - 57
2024-12-14 @ Wilmington (OH) L 62 - 69
2024-12-20 @ Simpson W 80 - 54
2024-12-21 @ Anna Maria W 62 - 53
2025-01-04 @ Otterbein L 51 - 62
2025-01-08 @ Marietta L 48 - 68
2025-01-11 vs Heidelberg W 107 - 70
2025-01-15 vs Baldwin Wallace L 45 - 46
2025-01-18 @ Ohio Northern L 41 - 66
2025-01-22 @ Muskingum W 70 - 38
2025-01-25 @ Capital L 60 - 73
2025-01-29 vs Marietta W 84 - 68
2025-02-01 vs Wilmington (OH) W 83 - 38
2025-02-05 @ John Carroll L 60 - 66
2025-02-08 vs Otterbein W 70 - 59
2025-02-12 vs Muskingum W 82 - 61
2025-02-15 @ Heidelberg W 90 - 48
2025-02-19 @ Baldwin Wallace L 47 - 63
2025-02-22 vs Ohio Northern L 62 - 66
2025-03-20 vs Asbury W 71 - 60

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Josie Sullivan - 1 40.0 16.0 12.0 6.0 6.0 1.0 7.0 19.0 15.0 - - - 42.1 0.0 0 0.27 42.1 42.1
Heaven Shockley - 1 38.0 15.0 14.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 16.0 15.0 - - - 37.5 0 37.5 0.25 38.4 37.5
Elizabeth Mason - 25 25.5 13.3 6.1 1.8 1.0 0.9 1.6 10.0 11.5 22 0.6 0.7 49.0 40.4 75.8 0.24 57.4 52.8
Cassidy Hambelton - 1 40.0 13.0 5.0 3.0 6.0 0.0 8.0 13.0 6.0 - - - 38.5 50.0 100.0 0.27 48.4 46.2
Brooklyn Luna - 1 18.0 11.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 1.0 - - - 36.4 30.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Laney Humble - 1 21.0 9.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 3.0 - - - 37.5 42.9 0 - 56.2 56.2
Karlie Sampson - 1 27.0 7.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 9.0 - - - 60.0 0 50.0 - 59.5 60.0
Abby Muckleroy - 25 14.0 6.8 3.0 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.8 5.6 5.6 40 1.2 3.2 43.6 38.8 66.7 0.41 58.5 57.9
Chelsea Evanich - 25 17.5 6.6 5.4 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.4 6.4 7.2 15 0.4 0.9 40.4 16.7 68.8 -0.0 45.6 41.3
Dae dae Nash - 2 24.0 6.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.5 6.5 35 1.4 1.8 29.4 22.2 0 0.47 35.3 35.3
Tess Conroy - 25 11.4 4.8 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.5 4.5 2.8 -3 -0.1 -0.3 42.0 37.5 63.6 -0.25 50.9 50.0
Reese Triplett - 17 13.5 4.5 1.8 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.7 4.9 2.6 -1 -0.0 -0.1 36.9 23.1 50.0 0.14 43.0 42.3
Mckayla Dunkle - 24 14.6 4.2 5.2 1.1 0.3 0.5 1.5 3.9 5.8 62 1.9 2.9 45.7 0.0 66.7 0.64 48.4 45.7
Ali Hudik - 24 18.3 4.2 1.0 1.5 1.4 0.1 1.0 5.2 1.9 20 0.8 1.6 33.1 25.4 50.0 0.14 39.8 39.5
Lily Scott - 24 16.9 4.2 1.9 2.0 1.2 0.0 1.4 3.5 4.4 28 0.8 1.7 40.0 41.2 61.3 0.23 51.2 48.2
Hailey Haywood - 23 16.8 3.7 2.3 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.7 4.6 2.8 12 0.5 0.9 27.4 21.4 81.0 0.18 36.4 31.6
Haliey Haywood - 2 18.0 3.5 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 7.0 2.0 12 0.5 0.9 21.4 14.3 0 0.18 25.0 25.0
Kayla Ferancy - 25 9.7 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.6 3.4 1.5 -19 -0.6 -1.8 32.1 20.0 33.3 -0.2 35.2 35.1
Addison Mucci - 10 9.3 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.7 3.2 0.2 10 1.4 2.5 18.8 16.7 75.0 0.35 28.1 25.0
Rylee Hutton - 25 4.8 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.8 0.4 29 1.4 9.9 27.3 21.4 50.0 0.21 31.7 30.7
Carlie Besecker - 23 2.3 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 1.2 - - - 77.8 0 62.5 - 75.9 77.8
Sierra Schlosser - 24 2.6 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 -28 -1.5 -15.1 40.0 33.3 50.0 -0.2 50.6 50.0
Jayla Callock - 23 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 -29 -2.1 -12.5 41.7 50.0 0 -0.29 45.8 45.8
Paityn Corthell - 22 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.2 - - - 40.0 33.3 0 - 45.0 45.0
Kelley Griffin - 24 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 -29 -1.4 -9.7 30.0 0.0 100.0 -0.29 33.5 30.0
Marina Sanders - 23 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 -9 -0.4 -0.6 25.0 25.0 0 0.18 37.5 37.5
Grace Knowlton - 24 1.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 -0.1 -13 -0.8 -10.2 12.5 10.0 0 -0.15 15.6 15.6
Brooke Lime - 23 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 - 41.0 25.0
Maddie May - 5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Audrey Livesay - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ireland Jones - 1 17.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG