Mount Union
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1012 (#325) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1151 (#101) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1023 (#279) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.4 (#61) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.9 (#211) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.728 (#345) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.946 (#131) | NetEff +20.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.817 (#261) | AdjNet +13.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.818 (#262) | AdjNet +12.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.672 (#258) | AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 59.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.713 (#113) | AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 57.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.745 (#171) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.738 (#172) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1071 (#219) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Kalamazoo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Manchester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Westminster (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Grove City | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Waynesburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Saint Vincent | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Geneva | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Muskingum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Ohio Northern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Thiel | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Wilmington (OH) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Capital | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Heidelberg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Ohio Northern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Marietta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Otterbein | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Muskingum | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Mason | - | 20 | 23.9 | 12.2 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 8.8 | 11.7 | 35 | 1.8 | 10.4 | 48.6 | 24.1 | 83.3 | 3.02 | 57.7 | 50.6 |
| Mckayla Dunkle | - | 20 | 18.1 | 8.6 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 7.1 | 6.7 | 29 | 1.4 | 12.4 | 48.6 | 33.3 | 62.7 | 0.94 | 52.0 | 48.9 |
| Chelsea Evanich | - | 20 | 20.1 | 8.3 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 6.7 | 7.0 | 25 | 1.2 | 9.0 | 46.6 | 37.0 | 89.2 | 0.8 | 55.9 | 50.4 |
| Bree McCabe | - | 20 | 13.9 | 7.6 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 7 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 49.6 | 0 | 70.6 | 0.26 | 54.5 | 49.6 |
| Reese Triplett | - | 18 | 21.9 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6.8 | 5.6 | 27 | 1.5 | 7.8 | 38.5 | 23.0 | 50.0 | 1.72 | 45.3 | 44.3 |
| Tess Conroy | - | 20 | 14.7 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 17 | 0.8 | 8.7 | 43.2 | 40.0 | 80.0 | -0.1 | 57.8 | 54.7 |
| Kayla Ferancy | - | 20 | 17.4 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 4.5 | -13 | -0.7 | -6.3 | 36.4 | 27.0 | 78.3 | 1.73 | 45.0 | 40.9 |
| Lily Scott | - | 20 | 21.5 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.2 | 5.1 | -17 | -0.8 | -6.0 | 34.5 | 35.1 | 72.2 | -1.96 | 48.6 | 42.3 |
| Bella Molnar | - | 4 | 5.2 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 41.2 | 20.0 | 50.0 | - | 44.7 | 44.1 |
| Abby Muckleroy | - | 20 | 12.1 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 41 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 33.8 | 28.3 | 50.0 | 2.32 | 42.7 | 42.2 |
| Kelley Griffin | - | 20 | 11.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2.7 | -8 | -0.4 | -4.3 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 85.7 | -0.64 | 46.6 | 42.9 |
| Grace Knowlton | - | 12 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.1 | 8.0 | 40.0 | 35.7 | 0 | -1.13 | 52.5 | 52.5 |
| Jayla Callock | - | 14 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | -31 | -2.1 | -115.0 | 35.7 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -2.67 | 38.1 | 37.5 |
| Mackenzie Seiwerth | - | 2 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Rylee Hutton | - | 7 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 22 | 2.8 | 59.5 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 2.31 | 34.9 | 29.2 |
| Alex Ferritto | - | 3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Brooke Lime | - | 10 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | -8 | -0.9 | -76.2 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 100.0 | - | 55.8 | 44.4 |
| Olivia Tobin | - | 15 | 7.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 43 | 2.7 | 143.5 | 25.0 | 18.2 | 50.0 | 2.67 | 31.1 | 29.2 |
| Sydney Opfer | - | 8 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 19 | 2.7 | 273.1 | 27.3 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 25.3 | 27.3 |
| Audrey Livesay | - | 14 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.4 | -28 | -2.0 | -240.9 | 15.4 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -2.58 | 30.5 | 19.2 |
| Sierra Schlosser | - | 8 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.18 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Emily Melcher | - | 4 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Kendra Hardwick | - | 4 | 5.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Noelle Roth | - | 6 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Paityn Corthell | - | 2 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG