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Mount Union

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Mount Union
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 976 (#289) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1182 (#63) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1023 (#279) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +19.6 (#32) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +9.9 (#211) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.728 (#345) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +20.8 More → 0.946 (#131) NetEff +20.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.0 More → 0.817 (#261) AdjNet +13.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.7 More → 0.818 (#262) AdjNet +12.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 59.4 More → 0.672 (#258) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 59.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 57.2 More → 0.713 (#113) AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 57.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.745 (#171) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.738 (#172) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 22 More → 1070 (#224) RD 101 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Kalamazoo W 52 - 39
2025-11-09 @ Manchester W 79 - 65
2025-11-14 vs Westminster (PA) W 69 - 58
2025-11-15 @ Wash. & Jeff. L 65 - 66
2025-11-18 vs Grove City W 89 - 44
2025-11-21 @ Waynesburg W 88 - 66
2025-11-22 vs Saint Vincent W 77 - 61
2025-11-25 vs Geneva W 82 - 46
2025-12-02 @ Baldwin Wallace L 52 - 54
2025-12-13 @ Muskingum W 68 - 54
2025-12-20 vs Ohio Northern W 67 - 59
2025-12-30 vs Thiel W 80 - 46
2026-01-10 @ Wilmington (OH) W 79 - 44
2026-01-14 @ Capital W 70 - 50
2026-01-21 vs Heidelberg W 82 - 45
2026-01-24 @ Ohio Northern L 50 - 56
2026-01-28 @ Marietta L 78 - 86
2026-01-31 @ Otterbein L 53 - 64
2026-02-04 vs Baldwin Wallace L 58 - 62
2026-02-07 vs Muskingum W 79 - 73

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Elizabeth Mason - 20 23.9 12.2 6.3 2.2 1.1 0.7 1.9 8.8 11.7 35 1.8 10.4 48.6 24.1 83.3 1.61 57.7 50.6
Mckayla Dunkle - 20 18.1 8.6 5.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 2.2 7.1 6.7 29 1.4 12.4 48.6 33.3 62.7 0.75 52.0 48.9
Chelsea Evanich - 20 20.1 8.3 4.0 1.2 1.1 0.3 1.4 6.7 7.0 25 1.2 9.0 46.6 37.0 89.2 -0.99 55.9 50.4
Bree McCabe - 20 13.9 7.6 3.9 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.7 5.8 5.2 7 0.3 3.9 49.6 0 70.6 -0.73 54.5 49.6
Reese Triplett - 18 21.9 6.7 3.3 1.6 1.1 0.7 1.1 6.8 5.6 27 1.5 7.8 38.5 23.0 50.0 0.31 45.3 44.3
Tess Conroy - 20 14.7 6.0 2.8 1.0 0.7 0.1 1.1 4.8 4.7 17 0.8 8.7 43.2 40.0 80.0 1.24 57.8 54.7
Kayla Ferancy - 20 17.4 5.4 3.0 1.2 1.2 0.1 0.9 5.5 4.5 -13 -0.7 -6.3 36.4 27.0 78.3 1.49 45.0 40.9
Lily Scott - 20 21.5 4.8 1.8 2.5 1.1 0.1 1.1 4.2 5.1 -17 -0.8 -6.0 34.5 35.1 72.2 -1.01 48.6 42.3
Bella Molnar - 4 5.2 4.0 2.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.2 2.8 - - - 41.2 20.0 50.0 - 44.7 44.1
Abby Muckleroy - 20 12.1 3.4 2.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.9 3.9 2.5 41 2.0 27.0 33.8 28.3 50.0 -1.06 42.7 42.2
Kelley Griffin - 20 11.9 2.1 1.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.9 2.1 2.7 -8 -0.4 -4.3 33.3 28.6 85.7 -0.39 46.6 42.9
Grace Knowlton - 12 4.4 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.7 1.3 1 0.1 8.0 40.0 35.7 0 -0.7 52.5 52.5
Jayla Callock - 14 5.2 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.6 2.0 1.1 -31 -2.1 -115.0 35.7 16.7 50.0 -1.25 38.1 37.5
Mackenzie Seiwerth - 2 1.4 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Rylee Hutton - 7 4.7 1.3 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.7 2.7 22 2.8 59.5 25.0 20.0 100.0 2.45 34.9 29.2
Alex Ferritto - 3 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.7 - - - 66.7 0.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Brooke Lime - 10 3.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 -8 -0.9 -76.2 33.3 28.6 100.0 -0.84 55.8 44.4
Olivia Tobin - 15 7.3 1.1 0.6 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.8 1.6 1.0 43 2.7 143.5 25.0 18.2 50.0 0.92 31.1 29.2
Sydney Opfer - 8 3.8 0.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 1.1 19 2.7 273.1 27.3 0 0.0 -0.83 25.3 27.3
Audrey Livesay - 14 3.6 0.6 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.4 -28 -2.0 -240.9 15.4 16.7 100.0 -0.56 30.5 19.2
Sierra Schlosser - 8 5.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.1 - - - 40.0 0.0 50.0 - 42.5 40.0
Emily Melcher - 4 3.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.5 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Kendra Hardwick - 4 5.2 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.5 -1.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Noelle Roth - 6 3.6 0.0 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Paityn Corthell - 2 5.1 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG