Mount Olive
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 866 (#394) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 859 (#382) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -5.2 (#273) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.214 (#479) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.272 (#329) | NetEff -9.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.257 (#518) | AdjNet -9.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.320 (#496) | AdjNet -6.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.356 (#510) | AdjO 83.9 | AdjD 90.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-04 | @ | UNCW | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-06 | @ | Richmond | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Augusta | W | 99 - 87 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Columbus St. | L | 96 - 106 |
| 2024-11-12 | @ | East Carolina | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Ga. Southwestern | L | 105 - 107 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Morris | W | 131 - 90 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Shorter | W | 99 - 89 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | King (TN) | W | 99 - 86 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | North Greenville | W | 95 - 91 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | UNC Pembroke | L | 66 - 105 |
| 2024-12-09 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | L | 113 - 117 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Chowan | L | 104 - 109 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 88 - 100 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | L | 101 - 122 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Coker | L | 106 - 118 |
| 2024-12-31 | @ | Wingate | L | 90 - 107 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Lees-McRae | W | 97 - 82 |
| 2025-01-09 | @ | Erskine | L | 86 - 94 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Francis Marion | L | 103 - 121 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | W | 107 - 95 |
| 2025-01-23 | @ | Barton | L | 94 - 103 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Shorter | W | 92 - 90 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | King (TN) | L | 87 - 105 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Chowan | W | 95 - 87 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Converse | W | 115 - 108 |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | Francis Marion | L | 121 - 129 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Young Harris | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Belmont Abbey | L | 81 - 82 |
| 2025-02-24 | vs | Barton | W | 110 - 105 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | UNC Pembroke | L | 70 - 106 |
| 2025-03-02 | @ | Francis Marion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-03 | @ | Young Harris | L | 71 - 88 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Dawson | - | 19 | 28.9 | 22.5 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 15.4 | 12.0 | - | - | - | - | 52.1 | 33.7 | 85.5 | - | 62.9 | 57.2 |
| Lureon Walker | - | 25 | 24.4 | 15.5 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 11.8 | 9.0 | - | - | - | - | 49.5 | 31.6 | 72.4 | - | 57.2 | 53.6 |
| Matt Kirby | - | 29 | 22.3 | 11.6 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 8.4 | 8.6 | - | - | - | - | 50.4 | 45.5 | 93.8 | - | 61.7 | 56.6 |
| Raul Perez | - | 30 | 21.4 | 9.5 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 7.4 | 7.8 | - | - | - | - | 48.0 | 25.0 | 67.1 | - | 54.5 | 50.9 |
| Shane Peterson | - | 30 | 23.7 | 9.3 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 7.7 | - | - | - | - | 40.7 | 36.9 | 66.2 | - | 57.5 | 55.1 |
| Redford Dunton | - | 17 | 14.5 | 8.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 5.4 | 6.6 | - | - | - | - | 48.4 | 40.0 | 82.2 | - | 61.8 | 54.9 |
| Christopher Brown | - | 30 | 15.0 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 5.8 | 4.9 | - | - | - | - | 51.1 | 32.0 | 81.6 | - | 59.8 | 55.7 |
| Kobe Jones | - | 30 | 12.4 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 3.8 | 6.5 | - | - | - | - | 52.6 | 28.6 | 58.0 | - | 56.8 | 54.4 |
| Shawn Wilson | - | 28 | 15.7 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 3.5 | - | - | - | - | 46.1 | 0.0 | 58.9 | - | 49.8 | 46.1 |
| Josiah Watkins | - | 28 | 10.2 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 3.1 | - | - | - | - | 45.2 | 0.0 | 74.5 | - | 53.6 | 45.2 |
| Kennard Davis | - | 28 | 18.8 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 7.6 | - | - | - | - | 42.9 | 32.0 | 63.6 | - | 51.9 | 48.1 |
| Chris Rhodes | - | 7 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Brooks Allred | - | 29 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | -0.1 | - | - | - | - | 9.1 | 11.1 | 0 | - | 13.6 | 13.6 |
| Blake Kooiman | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ja'Merl Brockington | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Simeon Tokoto | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kahlif Barnes | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Linton | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG