Mount Olive
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 954 (#198) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 870 (#249) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 976 (#183) | HCA +68 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.0 (#286) | HCA +2.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.1 (#267) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.309 (#247) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.345 (#271) | AdjNet -5.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.346 (#273) | AdjNet -5.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.382 (#281) | AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.455 (#219) | AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.389 (#251) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.405 (#242) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 911 (#223) | RD 138 | GP 27 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-11 | @ | Augusta | L | 67 - 82 |
| 2016-11-12 | @ | Young Harris | L | 78 - 94 |
| 2016-11-18 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 83 - 71 |
| 2016-11-19 | vs | Saint Augustine's | L | 67 - 79 |
| 2016-11-22 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2016-11-29 | @ | Pfeiffer | L | 81 - 125 |
| 2016-12-03 | @ | Lees-McRae | L | 65 - 76 |
| 2016-12-06 | @ | Francis Marion | L | 89 - 99 |
| 2016-12-10 | vs | North Greenville | L | 57 - 88 |
| 2016-12-14 | vs | UNC Pembroke | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2016-12-18 | @ | Virginia St. | L | 68 - 80 |
| 2016-12-31 | vs | Wingate | L | 61 - 84 |
| 2017-01-06 | vs | Limestone | L | 51 - 76 |
| 2017-01-07 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | W | 61 - 54 |
| 2017-01-11 | vs | Lees-McRae | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2017-01-14 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | W | 77 - 58 |
| 2017-01-16 | @ | North Greenville | W | 65 - 51 |
| 2017-01-21 | vs | Pfeiffer | L | 80 - 89 |
| 2017-01-24 | @ | Erskine | W | 61 - 45 |
| 2017-01-27 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | W | 65 - 52 |
| 2017-01-28 | @ | Limestone | L | 62 - 73 |
| 2017-02-01 | vs | Belmont Abbey | L | 61 - 64 |
| 2017-02-08 | @ | Belmont Abbey | L | 62 - 76 |
| 2017-02-11 | @ | King (TN) | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2017-02-15 | @ | Barton | L | 74 - 80 |
| 2017-02-18 | vs | Erskine | W | 68 - 58 |
| 2017-02-21 | vs | King (TN) | L | 65 - 77 |
| 2017-02-24 | vs | Barton | W | 63 - 53 |
| 2017-02-28 | @ | Barton | L | 68 - 84 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.