Mount Olive
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 807 (#520) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 885 (#457) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 908 (#526) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.7 (#311) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.7 (#435) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.214 (#479) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.886 (#201) | NetEff +20.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.257 (#518) | AdjNet -9.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.320 (#496) | AdjNet -6.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.356 (#510) | AdjO 83.9 | AdjD 90.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.368 (#482) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 82.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.351 (#430) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.343 (#437) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 867 (#406) | RD 94 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | UNCW | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Augusta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Wingate | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-17 | @ | Shaw | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Middle Georgia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Emory & Henry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Francis Marion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Winston-Salem | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Coker | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | North Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Barton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Ill. Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Chowan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Erskine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Lees-McRae | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Belmont Abbey | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | UNC Pembroke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Francis Marion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Chowan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Converse | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Davis | - | 1 | 40.8 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 9.0 | -43 | -2.0 | -17.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 0.23 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Alexander Stell | - | 1 | 38.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 158 | 7.9 | 44.3 | 63.6 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.4 | 67.3 | 63.6 |
| Tye Banks | - | 1 | 40.2 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 132 | 6.3 | 37.4 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.39 | 50.4 | 50.0 |
| Marlon Williams | - | 1 | 40.2 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 78 | 4.1 | 127.2 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.89 | 50.4 | 50.0 |
| Kahlif Barnes | - | 16 | 23.9 | 13.5 | 6.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 8.6 | 12.3 | - | - | - | 49.6 | 33.3 | 71.6 | 0.03 | 59.4 | 52.2 |
| Matt Kirby | - | 20 | 29.3 | 13.2 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 11 | 0.6 | 4.5 | 43.4 | 38.1 | 85.2 | -0.49 | 55.6 | 47.5 |
| Jordan Rice | - | 1 | 41.8 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 163 | 7.8 | 43.3 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 3.65 | 41.6 | 30.8 |
| Jefferson McLamb | - | 21 | 23.7 | 12.6 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 10.0 | 5.8 | -56 | -2.8 | -15.6 | 43.3 | 40.5 | 79.5 | -1.53 | 57.6 | 54.5 |
| Christian Ananaba | - | 21 | 20.2 | 10.0 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 6.8 | 7.1 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 33.3 | 83.6 | - | 62.5 | 57.0 |
| Raul Perez | - | 22 | 19.6 | 9.4 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 6.8 | 8.1 | -24 | -1.1 | -8.0 | 52.0 | 30.6 | 60.9 | -2.49 | 57.8 | 55.7 |
| Redford Dunton | - | 20 | 19.1 | 8.0 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 6.8 | -62 | -2.7 | -22.3 | 44.4 | 31.6 | 64.9 | 4.31 | 56.0 | 52.1 |
| Shane Peterson | - | 22 | 22.4 | 7.6 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 6.3 | 6.3 | -97 | -3.9 | -34.3 | 37.7 | 36.1 | 63.2 | 1.34 | 54.0 | 51.8 |
| Adidas Davis | - | 1 | 34.8 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 40 | 1.9 | 27.6 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.29 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Christopher Brown | - | 20 | 14.0 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.1 | 3.0 | -17 | -0.9 | -10.6 | 38.2 | 30.6 | 75.9 | 0.59 | 48.4 | 43.6 |
| Blake Kooiman | - | 1 | 10.2 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Shawn Wilson | - | 22 | 16.6 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 9 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 45.3 | 66.7 | 46.4 | -0.0 | 47.3 | 46.5 |
| Colin Schuler | - | 1 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 26 | 1.2 | 22.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.43 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Dante Kiesenhofer | - | 16 | 15.8 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 42.4 | 0.0 | 48.1 | -0.98 | 44.4 | 42.4 |
| Micah Jones | - | 15 | 10.7 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 2.7 | -39 | -3.0 | -74.6 | 51.9 | 20.0 | 70.0 | -2.95 | 60.1 | 53.7 |
| Oliver Roberts | - | 14 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 0.6 | -17 | -1.3 | -21.5 | 25.7 | 28.1 | 100.0 | -1.91 | 43.8 | 38.6 |
| Britton Dutton | - | 1 | 14.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -5.0 | 110 | 5.2 | 32.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.46 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Donaven Younger | - | 1 | 18.7 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 26 | 1.4 | 24.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.32 | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Chris Rhodes | - | 7 | 7.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 9 | 1.5 | 17.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 75.0 | 1.73 | 52.5 | 33.3 |
| Colton Fitch | - | 1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jorden Williams | - | 1 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kobe Jones | - | 3 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | -0.3 | -7 | -0.3 | -3.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.37 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG