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Mount Ida

Season: 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
Also known as: Mount Ida
Program History

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1060 (#159) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1019 (#194) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +58 elo More โ†’ 1050 (#134) HCA +58 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ -5.3 (#306) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.3 More โ†’ -6.7 (#318) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.556 (#177) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.1 More โ†’ 0.384 (#273) AdjNet -4.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.2 More โ†’ 0.382 (#273) AdjNet -4.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 79.7 More โ†’ 0.426 (#277) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 79.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 79.4 More โ†’ 0.446 (#263) AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 79.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.456 (#249) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.460 (#245) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 26 More โ†’ 1057 (#159) RD 132 | GP 26

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-15 @ New England Col. L 85 - 99
2016-11-18 @ Westfield St. L 65 - 91
2016-11-19 vs Colby-Sawyer L 80 - 84
2016-11-22 @ Newbury W 86 - 75
2016-11-29 @ Emmanuel (MA) W 92 - 56
2016-12-01 @ Anna Maria L 67 - 68
2016-12-08 vs Lesley W 87 - 77
2016-12-10 vs Norwich W 83 - 73
2016-12-12 vs Wentworth W 78 - 58
2017-01-05 vs JWU (Providence) W 75 - 61
2017-01-07 vs Suffolk W 74 - 63
2017-01-10 @ Lasell L 83 - 95
2017-01-12 vs Emmanuel (MA) W 73 - 70
2017-01-14 vs Anna Maria W 75 - 66
2017-01-16 @ St. Joseph's (ME) W 72 - 61
2017-01-21 @ Suffolk W 75 - 65
2017-01-25 vs Lasell L 70 - 101
2017-01-28 @ JWU (Providence) L 75 - 80
2017-02-01 @ Norwich W 79 - 75
2017-02-04 @ Rivier W 97 - 81
2017-02-07 vs Albertus Magnus L 80 - 86
2017-02-11 vs Rivier W 102 - 79
2017-02-14 vs St. Joseph's (ME) W 69 - 66
2017-02-18 @ Albertus Magnus L 89 - 110
2017-02-21 vs St. Joseph's (ME) W 91 - 83
2017-02-23 @ Albertus Magnus L 68 - 107

2017 Roster

No roster data available for this season.