Morgan State Lady Bears
2026 Team Stats (26 games)
54.9
PPG
71.6
Opp
-16.7
Margin
34.9%
FG%
29.9%
3P%
70.3%
FT%
32.1
RPG
10.8
APG
19.2
TO
81.2
Pace
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 897 (#534) | HCA +113 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.6 (#347) | HCA +2.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.310 (#552) | AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 67.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.287 (#397) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.277 (#415) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 770 (#562) | RD 140 | GP 26 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Bannerman
|
G | 19 | 25.6 | 11.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 9.9 | 2.2 | 13 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 37.6 | 31.6 | 65.9 | 1.95 | 48.9 | 43.9 |
K. Nash
|
G | 22 | 27.5 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 8.9 | 6.5 | -104 | -6.5 | -9.4 | 37.4 | 22.5 | 75.9 | -2.55 | 47.4 | 39.7 |
J. Butler
|
C | 22 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 8.5 | 4.3 | -51 | -1.8 | -5.9 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 66.2 | -0.69 | 44.6 | 39.0 |
G. Johnson
|
G | 17 | 20.2 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 6.1 | 2.4 | -20 | -0.6 | -2.3 | 35.0 | 29.7 | 80.8 | 1.09 | 45.4 | 40.3 |
T. James
|
SG | 26 | 21.0 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 5.6 | 3.4 | -35 | -1.5 | -3.1 | 36.6 | 31.9 | 70.8 | -0.6 | 48.9 | 46.6 |
M. Hayes
|
PG | 26 | 27.3 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 3.8 | -62 | -2.7 | -3.9 | 34.3 | 29.7 | 72.9 | -0.11 | 43.9 | 38.1 |
S. Gutierrez
|
SG | 15 | 14.7 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 62 | 4.8 | 13.5 | 35.1 | 41.4 | 62.5 | 2.48 | 46.3 | 42.9 |
M. Bogans
|
PG | 23 | 19.6 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 5.0 | 2.7 | -23 | -1.1 | -2.4 | 32.2 | 27.5 | 75.0 | -1.71 | 42.8 | 37.0 |
M. Woodson
|
F | 24 | 22.8 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 5.6 | -12 | -0.6 | -0.9 | 31.7 | 0.0 | 73.6 | -0.56 | 41.4 | 31.7 |
S. Headquist
|
F | 17 | 15.5 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 36 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 27.3 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 3.18 | 30.4 | 29.1 |
D. Alston
|
G | 16 | 10.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 30.8 | 77.8 | -0.89 | 39.7 | 32.0 |
S. Prysock
|
F | 19 | 11.8 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 31 | 1.9 | 4.9 | 26.3 | 0 | 22.2 | 0.28 | 26.2 | 26.3 |
K. Daly
|
G | 18 | 8.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 43 | 2.4 | 10.6 | 23.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.01 | 25.2 | 23.1 |
Tyra Brown
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | 96 | 4.8 | 10.8 | - | - | - | 2.92 | - | - |
Kamari Forrest
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG