Morgan State
2026-2027 Team Stats (5 games)
53.4
PPG
80.4
Opp
-27.0
Margin
31.5%
FG%
20.0%
3P%
55.4%
FT%
34.4
RPG
9.8
APG
20.0
TO
78.7
Est. poss./game
48.8
Adj PPG
70.7
Adj Opp PPG
#356
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 699 (#337) | Preseason prior 705 (returning production + recruiting): last season 836, returning -83, transfers -49, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 808 (#331) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 811 (#331) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -26.1 (#354) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -26.1 (#354) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.004 (#363) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.044 (#362) | AdjNet -35.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.035 (#361) | AdjNet -37.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.133 (#356) | AdjO 48.8 | AdjD 70.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.135 (#356) | AdjO 48.9 | AdjD 70.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.104 (#354) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.104 (#354) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 763 (#341) | RD 179 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.091 (#353) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Washington Adventist Shock | W | 103 - 47 |
| 2026-11-04 | @ | Colorado Buffaloes | L | 38 - 83 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Oklahoma State Cowgirls | L | 38 - 92 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | Oklahoma Sooners | L | 38 - 95 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | UMBC Retrievers | L | 50 - 85 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Virginia Lynchburg Dragons | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Maryland Terrapins | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mihjae Hayes
|
PG | 5 | 26.0 | 7.2 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.6 | 5.6 | -62 | 5 | -12.4 | -18.9 | 34.2 | 25.0 | 90.0 | -2.22 | 42.5 | 35.5 |
Dru Carlton
|
G | 5 | 13.2 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 1.0 | -42 | 5 | -8.4 | -25.1 | 32.3 | 30.4 | 50.0 | -0.32 | 44.3 | 43.5 |
Simran Williams
|
G | 5 | 13.0 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 0.6 | -44 | 5 | -8.8 | -26.6 | 46.2 | 66.7 | 42.9 | -0.89 | 49.9 | 50.0 |
Alexiz Graise
|
G | 5 | 8.8 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 1.0 | -21 | 5 | -4.2 | -19.1 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 77.8 | -0.69 | 46.1 | 38.1 |
Merit Innocent
|
C | 5 | 18.2 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 3.8 | -46 | 5 | -9.2 | -20.4 | 47.8 | 0 | 33.3 | -2.39 | 47.3 | 47.8 |
Jahzara Leamon
|
G | 5 | 13.0 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 4.4 | 2.4 | -47 | 5 | -9.4 | -28.7 | 40.9 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -3.81 | 41.5 | 40.9 |
Ja'naya Meyers
|
G | 5 | 11.0 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.6 | 2.6 | -7 | 5 | -1.4 | -5.3 | 38.9 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.04 | 45.5 | 41.7 |
Kamari Forrest
|
G | 3 | 18.7 | 3.3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 7.3 | 2.3 | -22 | 3 | -7.3 | -15.5 | 22.7 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 20.3 | 22.7 |
Shani Clark
|
G | 5 | 14.8 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 2.6 | -71 | 5 | -14.2 | -39.0 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -3.92 | 33.8 | 31.0 |
Chardae Rumph
|
G | 5 | 20.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 4.8 | -1.4 | -98 | 5 | -19.6 | -39.3 | 25.0 | 15.4 | 100.0 | -5.87 | 32.2 | 29.2 |
Yonta Vaughn
|
G | 5 | 15.0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 7.0 | -0.4 | -72 | 5 | -14.4 | -38.3 | 17.1 | 10.5 | 33.3 | -3.59 | 21.3 | 20.0 |
Dakota Alston
|
G | 4 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.2 | -26 | 4 | -6.5 | -18.7 | 40.0 | 28.6 | 100.0 | -1.36 | 55.1 | 50.0 |
Mercy Lasu
|
F | 4 | 14.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 1.8 | -31 | 4 | -7.8 | -22.3 | 27.8 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -2.15 | 27.8 | 27.8 |
Kenya Ramsey
|
G | 5 | 13.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 4.8 | -0.8 | -86 | 5 | -17.2 | -50.9 | 16.7 | 9.1 | 0 | -6.36 | 18.8 | 18.8 |
Kazahria Johnson
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
333 located field-goal attempts in 5 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Dru CarltonMihjae HayesSimran WilliamsMerit InnocentAlexiz GraiseJa'naya MeyersYonta VaughnKamari Forrest
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 30-60 | 50.0 | 60 | Merit Innocent 23% (14 pts) | Mihjae Hayes 23% (14 pts) | Mihjae Hayes 23% (7 misses) | Shani Clark 17% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 35-93 | 37.6 | 70 | Ja'naya Meyers 14% (10 pts) | Jahzara Leamon 11% (8 pts) | Mihjae Hayes 14% (8 misses) | Ja'naya Meyers 10% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 6-22 | 27.3 | 12 | Alexiz Graise 33% (4 pts) | Jahzara Leamon 33% (4 pts) | Simran Williams 25% (4 misses) | Chardae Rumph 12% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 6-23 | 26.1 | 12 | Alexiz Graise 17% (2 pts) | Dakota Alston 17% (2 pts) | Kamari Forrest 24% (4 misses) | Mihjae Hayes 18% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 7-30 | 23.3 | 14 | Simran Williams 43% (6 pts) | Alexiz Graise 14% (2 pts) | Kamari Forrest 17% (4 misses) | Alexiz Graise 13% (3 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 5-11 | 45.5 | 15 | Dru Carlton 40% (6 pts) | Dakota Alston 20% (3 pts) | Alexiz Graise 33% (2 misses) | Chardae Rumph 17% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-7 | 14.3 | 3 | Dru Carlton 100% (3 pts) | - | Dru Carlton 33% (2 misses) | Alexiz Graise 17% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 8-38 | 21.1 | 24 | Alexiz Graise 25% (6 pts) | Dru Carlton 25% (6 pts) | Yonta Vaughn 20% (6 misses) | Chardae Rumph 13% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-15 | 13.3 | 6 | Dru Carlton 50% (3 pts) | Ja'naya Meyers 50% (3 pts) | Yonta Vaughn 38% (5 misses) | Mercy Lasu 23% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 5-34 | 14.7 | 15 | Simran Williams 40% (6 pts) | Chardae Rumph 20% (3 pts) | Dru Carlton 28% (8 misses) | Chardae Rumph 21% (6 misses) |