Moravian
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 863 (#448) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 901 (#372) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.5 (#289) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.176 (#595) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.095 (#360) | NetEff -17.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.212 (#486) | AdjNet -11.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.197 (#489) | AdjNet -11.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.330 (#487) | AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 66.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-11 | vs | Immaculata | W | 66 - 65 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Albright | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Drew | L | 55 - 70 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Susquehanna | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2024-11-25 | @ | DeSales | L | 53 - 64 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Goucher | L | 92 - 105 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Catholic | L | 49 - 87 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Lebanon Valley | L | 34 - 61 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Saint Elizabeth | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Chris. Newport | L | 63 - 88 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Muhlenberg | L | 47 - 63 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Juniata | L | 52 - 66 |
| 2025-01-12 | vs | Lycoming | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Scranton | L | 46 - 90 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Elizabethtown | L | 45 - 73 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Wilkes | W | 76 - 71 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Susquehanna | L | 63 - 76 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Goucher | W | 92 - 83 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Catholic | L | 39 - 68 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Drew | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Elizabethtown | L | 48 - 81 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Scranton | L | 40 - 82 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Lycoming | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Wilkes | W | 84 - 59 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Juniata | L | 57 - 69 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzie Lustig | - | 23 | 31.6 | 12.0 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 8.8 | -67 | -2.0 | -2.1 | 45.7 | 39.4 | 76.5 | -0.53 | 52.9 | 48.5 |
| Juliana Vassallo | - | 25 | 19.7 | 8.5 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 9.9 | 1.6 | -33 | -0.9 | -1.5 | 31.5 | 30.9 | 64.7 | -0.46 | 40.3 | 38.3 |
| Sam Osorio | - | 23 | 24.2 | 8.3 | 6.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 8.1 | 6.3 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 41.4 | 0.0 | 56.9 | 0.29 | 44.5 | 41.4 |
| Brielle Guarente | - | 14 | 23.4 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 7.3 | 3.1 | -13 | -1.1 | -1.2 | 35.3 | 0.0 | 69.2 | 0.1 | 39.7 | 35.3 |
| Lanie Herbert | - | 24 | 18.6 | 5.6 | 6.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5.2 | 7.4 | -41 | -1.2 | -2.0 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 40.8 | -0.14 | 46.0 | 46.0 |
| Jayda Cartagena | - | 25 | 15.4 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 7.0 | -0.3 | -29 | -0.8 | -1.5 | 26.1 | 18.6 | 67.5 | 0.26 | 32.8 | 28.4 |
| Ellie Wallbillich | - | 25 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 2.8 | -38 | -1.1 | -1.7 | 29.5 | 18.8 | 71.2 | 0.3 | 40.0 | 33.0 |
| Emma Pukszyn | - | 17 | 18.2 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 6.4 | -44 | -2.8 | -4.6 | 48.1 | 20.0 | 77.4 | -0.42 | 57.1 | 49.0 |
| Emma Altmire | - | 25 | 10.0 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 29.9 | 27.5 | 72.0 | 0.23 | 45.4 | 40.8 |
| Kania Day | - | 14 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 1.9 | -17 | -2.1 | -2.8 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.19 | 38.0 | 34.0 |
| Sofia Squizziato | - | 25 | 8.6 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | -12 | -0.5 | -1.6 | 34.0 | 40.0 | 65.4 | 0.13 | 44.8 | 38.0 |
| Bellisima Lew | - | 24 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | -46 | -2.3 | -10.0 | 38.9 | 0 | 61.1 | -0.51 | 48.2 | 38.9 |
| Mikayla Anderson | - | 25 | 15.5 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | -8 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.07 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Kylie Cabana | - | 23 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | -0.3 | -20 | -1.2 | -4.8 | 27.8 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.33 | 31.1 | 27.8 |
| Mallory Elias | - | 11 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -19 | -1.5 | -4.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.03 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Megan Elias | - | 13 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | -0.2 | -21 | -1.2 | -2.1 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.32 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Brynn Ohlhoff | - | 24 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.02 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
| Allie Sena | - | 24 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kate Donaldson | - | 23 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.07 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG