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Montevallo

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Montevallo
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 723 (#523) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 805 (#498) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 804 (#672) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -8.1 (#293) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -4.8 (#434) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.255 (#461) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +29.3 More → 0.982 (#86) NetEff +29.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -17.1 More → 0.091 (#399) NetEff -17.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.7 More → 0.578 (#369) AdjNet +2.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.1 More → 0.589 (#368) AdjNet +3.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 64.1 More → 0.550 (#357) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 64.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.8 | AdjD 62.8 More → 0.326 (#595) AdjO 54.8 | AdjD 62.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.269 (#547) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.265 (#559) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 23 More → 733 (#491) RD 102 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Samford - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Embry-Riddle (FL) - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Nova Southeastern - Incomplete score
2025-11-24 vs Talladega - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 vs Shorter - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 @ Lee - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Trevecca Nazarene - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 vs Delta St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Mississippi Col. - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Union (TN) - Incomplete score
2025-12-31 vs Tenn. Southern - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs West Ala. - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 @ Valdosta St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ West Florida - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 vs Trevecca Nazarene - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Lee - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Mississippi Col. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Delta St. - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 vs Union (TN) - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Christian Brothers - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Emily Mouser - 17 31.6 12.2 3.8 3.2 1.2 0.1 4.1 9.6 6.8 -160 -8.0 -32.4 43.9 38.8 93.6 0.24 56.0 49.7
Elyse Hughes - 19 26.5 8.4 5.0 1.1 0.8 0.3 1.8 7.7 6.1 -160 -7.0 -31.5 43.8 0.0 52.5 -1.09 46.3 43.8
Audrey Hendrix - 17 21.3 6.5 2.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 1.9 6.7 1.5 -96 -4.8 -30.6 31.6 32.2 76.9 0.52 45.9 43.9
Julia Susla - 19 22.5 5.7 3.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 2.3 5.4 3.0 -143 -6.2 -28.4 38.8 23.7 74.1 -0.54 47.4 43.2
Kylee Norman - 19 25.7 5.4 2.9 1.2 1.2 0.2 1.9 4.2 4.7 -157 -7.1 -32.3 37.5 34.0 72.2 -0.33 53.2 47.5
Carlyn Burdette - 18 14.7 4.5 1.9 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.6 4.6 0.8 -113 -5.1 -33.1 33.7 30.9 61.5 -2.43 45.6 44.0
Alani Owens - 19 18.7 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.7 0.1 1.6 5.0 0.5 -140 -6.4 -35.1 31.6 31.0 55.6 -1.84 37.4 36.3
Shalexia Little - 13 8.4 3.9 1.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.8 3.3 2.1 -17 -1.1 -16.8 44.2 27.8 66.7 0.78 52.8 50.0
Jerrilyn Richardson - 19 22.1 3.7 4.2 0.9 0.9 0.1 2.1 4.0 3.6 -135 -6.1 -32.1 28.9 20.8 50.0 -1.54 38.9 35.5
Lia Edwards - 3 21.2 3.7 4.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.7 5.7 1.0 -27 -9.0 -15.6 17.6 0.0 62.5 -1.51 26.8 17.6
Olivia Johnigan - 16 9.8 2.9 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.9 3.1 1.8 -63 -3.1 -44.2 36.7 16.7 66.7 -0.32 42.4 38.8
London Robinson - 15 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 1.0 17 1.0 26.6 41.2 0.0 100.0 2.87 56.1 41.2
Sidney Jones - 10 4.5 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 -22 -2.0 -39.6 16.7 0 0.0 -1.24 14.5 16.7
Mary Cartee - 4 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.2 -12 -3.0 -77.4 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG