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Montevallo

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Montevallo
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 757 (#524) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 825 (#490) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 804 (#672) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -7.9 (#236) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -4.8 (#434) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.255 (#461) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +29.3 More → 0.982 (#86) NetEff +29.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -17.1 More → 0.091 (#399) NetEff -17.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.7 More → 0.578 (#369) AdjNet +2.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.1 More → 0.589 (#368) AdjNet +3.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 64.1 More → 0.550 (#357) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 64.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.8 | AdjD 62.8 More → 0.326 (#595) AdjO 54.8 | AdjD 62.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.269 (#547) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.265 (#559) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 23 More → 737 (#495) RD 102 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Samford L 53 - 75
2025-11-14 @ Embry-Riddle (FL) L 38 - 83
2025-11-15 @ Nova Southeastern L 66 - 81
2025-11-24 vs Talladega L 51 - 60
2025-11-29 vs Shorter W 67 - 47
2025-12-04 @ Lee L 52 - 59
2025-12-06 @ Trevecca Nazarene L 57 - 76
2025-12-11 vs Delta St. L 49 - 65
2025-12-13 vs Mississippi Col. W 70 - 59
2025-12-20 @ Union (TN) L 53 - 82
2025-12-31 vs Tenn. Southern L 38 - 66
2026-01-10 vs West Ala. L 59 - 65
2026-01-15 @ Valdosta St. L 51 - 66
2026-01-17 @ West Florida L 68 - 93
2026-01-22 vs Trevecca Nazarene L 43 - 57
2026-01-24 vs Lee L 56 - 71
2026-01-29 @ Mississippi Col. L 52 - 60
2026-01-31 @ Delta St. L 49 - 57
2026-02-05 vs Union (TN) L 60 - 83
2026-02-07 vs Christian Brothers W 68 - 59

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Emily Mouser - 18 31.2 12.2 3.9 3.2 1.2 0.2 3.9 9.6 7.1 -160 -8.0 -32.4 44.8 39.6 93.6 -0.88 56.8 50.9
Elyse Hughes - 20 26.0 8.2 4.8 1.1 0.8 0.3 1.9 7.4 5.9 -160 -7.0 -31.5 43.2 0.0 53.7 -1.92 46.2 43.2
Audrey Hendrix - 18 21.1 6.8 2.3 0.4 0.6 0.3 1.9 6.8 1.7 -96 -4.8 -30.6 32.5 33.7 76.9 0.26 47.4 45.5
Julia Susla - 20 22.1 5.5 3.1 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.2 5.3 2.8 -143 -6.2 -28.4 37.4 23.1 74.1 -1.94 45.8 41.6
Kylee Norman - 20 25.2 5.2 2.8 1.2 1.1 0.2 1.9 4.0 4.5 -157 -7.1 -32.3 38.3 35.4 72.2 -0.23 54.2 48.8
Carlyn Burdette - 19 14.5 4.4 1.9 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.6 4.6 0.6 -113 -5.1 -33.1 33.0 31.0 61.5 -2.55 44.8 43.2
Alani Owens - 20 18.8 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.8 0.1 1.6 5.1 0.5 -140 -6.4 -35.1 32.4 30.0 54.5 -1.78 37.9 36.8
Lia Edwards - 4 20.2 4.0 3.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.5 5.5 0.5 -27 -9.0 -15.6 18.2 0.0 66.7 -0.55 29.3 18.2
Shalexia Little - 14 8.2 3.9 1.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 3.2 2.1 -17 -1.1 -16.8 42.2 26.3 68.8 0.95 51.9 47.8
Jerrilyn Richardson - 20 21.9 3.5 4.0 0.8 0.8 0.1 2.1 3.9 3.3 -135 -6.1 -32.1 28.6 20.4 50.0 -1.76 38.4 35.1
Olivia Johnigan - 17 9.8 2.9 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.9 2.9 1.8 -63 -3.1 -44.2 36.0 16.7 75.0 0.63 43.8 38.0
London Robinson - 16 3.8 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.2 1.1 17 1.0 26.6 36.8 0.0 100.0 0.31 51.3 36.8
Sidney Jones - 11 5.2 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.4 -22 -2.0 -39.6 14.3 0 0.0 -0.67 12.7 14.3
Mary Cartee - 5 2.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 -12 -3.0 -77.4 0.0 0.0 0 -0.13 0.0 0.0
Faith Evans - 1 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG