Montevallo
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1114 (#36) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1122 (#56) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.8 (#74) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.603 (#285) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.581 (#174) | NetEff +3.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.771 (#253) | AdjNet +10.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.775 (#255) | AdjNet +10.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.679 (#252) | AdjO 81.0 | AdjD 72.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Barry | W | 93 - 81 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Nova Southeastern | L | 87 - 104 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Spring Hill | W | 99 - 92 |
| 2024-11-18 | vs | Point U. | W | 83 - 69 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Carolina Christian | W | 86 - 42 |
| 2024-11-24 | vs | Cumberland (TN) | L | 63 - 81 |
| 2024-12-05 | vs | Lee | W | 75 - 60 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | W | 89 - 71 |
| 2024-12-12 | @ | Delta St. | W | 89 - 81 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Mississippi Col. | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Christian Brothers | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Union (TN) | W | 76 - 73 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | AUM | L | 85 - 93 |
| 2025-01-09 | @ | UAH | L | 78 - 96 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | West Ala. | W | 83 - 73 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Valdosta St. | L | 76 - 90 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | West Florida | L | 64 - 68 |
| 2025-01-23 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 69 - 89 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Lee | W | 58 - 50 |
| 2025-01-30 | vs | Mississippi Col. | W | 83 - 77 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Delta St. | L | 85 - 90 |
| 2025-02-06 | @ | Union (TN) | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Christian Brothers | W | 81 - 70 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | AUM | W | 78 - 68 |
| 2025-02-20 | vs | West Ala. | W | 88 - 74 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | UAH | L | 88 - 96 |
| 2025-02-27 | @ | West Florida | W | 86 - 81 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Valdosta St. | W | 101 - 92 |
| 2025-03-04 | vs | West Ala. | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2025-03-08 | @ | Valdosta St. | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2025-03-15 | @ | Fla. Southern | L | 83 - 86 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Fussell | - | 31 | 34.5 | 18.1 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 13.7 | 11.4 | 18 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 47.4 | 39.1 | 85.0 | 0.92 | 59.2 | 54.8 |
| Jaylen Curry | - | 31 | 29.0 | 16.4 | 6.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 28 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 46.6 | 36.6 | 77.8 | 0.88 | 60.0 | 56.1 |
| Derek Moore | - | 31 | 25.9 | 14.6 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 9.3 | 13.2 | 69 | 2.2 | 6.5 | 59.2 | 30.1 | 71.5 | 2.1 | 65.9 | 63.0 |
| Camden Andrews | - | 30 | 30.7 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 7.8 | 6.6 | 36 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 40.9 | 33.7 | 71.9 | -0.03 | 52.0 | 47.0 |
| Jay Gillispie | - | 31 | 14.8 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 5.4 | -70 | -3.0 | -20.2 | 43.8 | 16.0 | 75.3 | 0.02 | 55.6 | 45.5 |
| Tyson Sexton | - | 30 | 22.9 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 11 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 38.6 | 29.1 | 57.1 | 1.11 | 47.7 | 46.6 |
| Reese Gurner | - | 31 | 10.7 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 3.1 | -6 | -0.4 | -2.8 | 47.9 | 25.9 | 70.8 | 0.16 | 56.4 | 52.8 |
| Aidan Gardiner | - | 24 | 8.1 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 4.5 | -20 | -1.3 | -13.6 | 73.0 | 0 | 80.0 | -0.1 | 76.4 | 73.0 |
| Luke Smith | - | 31 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | -11 | -0.9 | -9.0 | 55.0 | 39.3 | 75.0 | -0.33 | 69.4 | 68.8 |
| Bryson Andrews | - | 30 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -30 | -7.5 | -75.7 | 23.0 | 23.5 | 50.0 | -0.68 | 33.1 | 32.8 |
| Max Gardner | - | 31 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 46.7 | 25.0 | 70.6 | -0.23 | 54.7 | 48.3 |
| Carter Wesson | - | 31 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -37 | -6.2 | -208.0 | 41.2 | 42.9 | 83.3 | -0.99 | 63.6 | 58.8 |
| Cole Maddox | - | 31 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 20.0 | 18.8 | 71.4 | -0.18 | 32.1 | 26.0 |
| O'Neill Connolly | - | 31 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 7 | 1.2 | 87.0 | 36.4 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -1.31 | 44.0 | 40.9 |
| Colton Echols | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Owen McGowan | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Stephens | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Young | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG