Montclair St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 981 (#365) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1076 (#192) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 978 (#521) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.9 (#199) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.3 (#315) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.775 (#324) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.851 (#196) | NetEff +12.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.537 (#372) | AdjNet +1.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.524 (#373) | AdjNet +0.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.503 (#371) | AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 62.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.627 (#202) | AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 61.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.651 (#260) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.641 (#268) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1017 (#280) | RD 93 | GP 25 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Albright | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Lehman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Wis.-Eau Claire | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Johns Hopkins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Delaware Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Rowan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Wm. Paterson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Ramapo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Spalding | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | SUNY New Paltz | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Neumann | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Stockton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | TCNJ | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Kean | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Rowan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Wm. Paterson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Ramapo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Stockton | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Craigwell | - | 18 | 25.3 | 16.6 | 6.9 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 3.8 | 14.4 | 11.7 | 73 | 3.5 | 29.0 | 45.4 | 33.3 | 70.7 | 1.83 | 51.0 | 47.3 |
| Alexis Strollo | - | 18 | 31.8 | 13.1 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 9.2 | 10.4 | 146 | 7.0 | 38.9 | 47.6 | 30.0 | 80.0 | 3.04 | 59.3 | 53.0 |
| Bella Bruce | - | 18 | 24.4 | 9.7 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 9.9 | 4.1 | 71 | 3.0 | 27.8 | 39.9 | 25.0 | 57.6 | -1.1 | 45.2 | 43.5 |
| Samantha Phillip | - | 17 | 20.4 | 8.0 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 149 | 7.1 | 76.2 | 44.2 | 40.4 | 68.2 | 5.93 | 55.4 | 53.5 |
| Shannon Hughes | - | 18 | 27.1 | 6.1 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 100 | 4.8 | 36.9 | 37.9 | 32.3 | 57.9 | -0.13 | 48.9 | 47.6 |
| Celina Bussanich | - | 17 | 13.3 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 31 | 1.5 | 20.6 | 35.4 | 32.8 | 75.0 | 0.35 | 49.8 | 47.6 |
| Samantha Philipp | - | 1 | 31.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 31.1 | 33.3 |
| Isabella Orlando | - | 16 | 15.6 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 23 | 1.3 | 16.4 | 25.8 | 26.7 | 71.4 | -3.2 | 39.6 | 35.5 |
| Madison Marcotte | - | 15 | 18.7 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 60 | 3.3 | 32.7 | 29.4 | 16.7 | 70.6 | 2.16 | 39.8 | 30.9 |
| Malvina Sullivan | - | 11 | 8.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 23 | 1.5 | 209.1 | 46.7 | 28.6 | 53.8 | 1.43 | 55.5 | 53.3 |
| Kristina Turner | - | 9 | 7.5 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 32 | 2.7 | 114.8 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 0 | 2.49 | 39.6 | 39.6 |
| Raniyah Green | - | 7 | 10.8 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 11 | 1.8 | 10.7 | 71.4 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.28 | 72.1 | 71.4 |
| Katie Dichter | - | 17 | 11.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.7 | 12.5 | 72.7 | -3.36 | 34.1 | 23.9 |
| Hailey Bentz | - | 5 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -6.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | - | 34.0 | 30.0 |
| Mara McHugh | - | 14 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 24 | 1.5 | 60.9 | 22.2 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.22 | 46.5 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG