🐻⬇️🏀

Montana

Season:
Also known as: Montana Grizzlies
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 1986 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1017 (#167) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 942 (#223) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1001 (#189) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -1.6 (#187) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +9.4 (#236) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.430 (#220) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +24.8 More → 0.926 (#38) NetEff +24.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.1 More → 0.412 (#199) AdjNet -3.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.1 More → 0.411 (#199) AdjNet -3.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 76.3 More → 0.449 (#195) AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 76.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.502 (#239) AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 73.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.724 (#204) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.680 (#208) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 31 More → 1034 (#205) RD 135 | GP 31

1986 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

1986 Roster

No roster data available for this season.