Montana State
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1233 (#221) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +21.8 (#234) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.431 (#64) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.199 (#99) | AdjNet -12.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.199 (#99) | AdjNet -12.1 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-21 | @ | - | W | 87 - 75 |
| 2003-11-23 | @ | - | W | 57 - 54 |
| 2003-11-25 | @ | - | W | 112 - 73 |
| 2003-11-29 | vs | Montana State | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2003-12-06 | vs | Santa Clara | W | 74 - 56 |
| 2003-12-13 | @ | - | L | 55 - 63 |
| 2003-12-20 | vs | Denver | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2003-12-22 | vs | UMary | W | 86 - 52 |
| 2003-12-29 | vs | Morgan State | L | 57 - 81 |
| 2003-12-30 | vs | Western Carolina | L | 69 - 84 |
| 2004-01-02 | vs | Rocky Mountain | W | 83 - 70 |
| 2004-01-05 | vs | Montana State | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2004-01-10 | @ | - | W | 70 - 55 |
| 2004-01-15 | vs | Weber State | L | 48 - 61 |
| 2004-01-17 | vs | Montana State | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2004-01-24 | vs | Montana State | W | 77 - 61 |
| 2004-02-05 | vs | Montana State | L | 61 - 64 |
| 2004-02-07 | vs | Portland State | L | 56 - 64 |
| 2004-02-12 | @ | - | L | 71 - 76 |
| 2004-02-21 | @ | - | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2004-02-25 | vs | Northern Arizona | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2004-02-29 | vs | Sacramento State | W | 80 - 74 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Erickson | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Calvin Ento | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Nick Dissly | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Frank Brown | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Danny Faaborg | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Matt Towsley | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Josh Barsh | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dennis Woodall | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| P.J. Owsley | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Carson Durr | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Marcus Clift | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Wes Morales | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Martrel Johnson | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG