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Monmouth

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Monmouth Hawks
Program History
Coach: King Rice

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

64.5
PPG
81.0
Opp
-16.5
Margin
43.0%
FG%
30.8%
3P%
59.4%
FT%
31.0
RPG
11.5
APG
15.5
TO
73.5
Est. poss./game
67.6
Adj PPG
65.4
Adj Opp PPG
#134
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 998 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1030, returning -5, transfers -8, freshmen -20 More → 965 (#154) Preseason prior 998 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1030, returning -5, transfers -8, freshmen -20
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +229 elo More → 1000 (#152) HCA +229 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +229 elo More → 994 (#160) HCA +229 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +0.6 More → +7.3 (#101) HCA +0.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +0.6 More → +7.2 (#100) HCA +0.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.299 (#238) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.0 More → 0.491 (#154) AdjNet -2.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.8 More → 0.493 (#152) AdjNet -1.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 65.4 More → 0.535 (#134) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 65.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 65.5 More → 0.531 (#132) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 65.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.527 (#139) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.526 (#140) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 200 | GP 2 More → 975 (#168) RD 200 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.556 (#126) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ St. John's Red Storm L 63 - 78
2026-11-07 @ Rhode Island Rams L 66 - 84
2026-11-12 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats - Preview
2026-11-17 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Madison Durr Madison Durr G 2 24.0 13.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 7.5 7.5 -10 2 -5.0 -8.2 46.7 40.0 71.4 -0.41 61.4 53.3
Jakai Sanders Jakai Sanders G 2 23.0 12.0 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 4.5 6.5 7.0 -28 2 -14.0 -24.3 61.5 57.1 66.7 -1.38 76.7 76.9
Stefanos Spartalis Stefanos Spartalis F 2 31.5 9.5 9.0 2.0 0.5 1.0 2.5 10.5 9.0 -17 2 -8.5 -10.8 42.9 0.0 50.0 -0.13 43.4 42.9
Ashton Walker Ashton Walker G 2 23.5 9.0 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 8.5 3.5 -26 2 -13.0 -21.9 47.1 40.0 0 -0.16 52.9 52.9
Stephen Osei Stephen Osei F 2 19.5 6.5 3.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 4.5 6.0 -26 2 -13.0 -27.1 66.7 0 25.0 -1.05 60.4 66.7
Jinup Dobuol Jinup Dobuol F 2 15.5 4.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 4.5 1.5 -7 2 -3.5 -9.0 33.3 16.7 100.0 0.11 45.5 38.9
Torrey Brooks Jr. Torrey Brooks Jr. G 1 18.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 -1.0 -4 1 -4.0 -9.2 25.0 0.0 0 -0.38 25.0 25.0
Zubayr Griffin Zubayr Griffin G 1 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2 1 2.0 12.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 -0.11 104.2 150.0
Lureon Walker Lureon Walker G 2 10.0 3.0 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.0 -16 2 -8.0 -32.2 60.0 0 0 -0.4 60.0 60.0
Jack Collins Jack Collins G 2 27.5 2.0 4.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 4.5 3.5 -19 2 -9.5 -13.8 11.1 16.7 33.3 -0.54 19.4 16.7
O'Marion Harvey O'Marion Harvey F 2 8.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 -10 2 -5.0 -25.6 50.0 100.0 0 -0.38 75.0 75.0
Jack Leahy Jack Leahy G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jebron Harris Jebron Harris G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Stefan Marjanovic Stefan Marjanovic F 2 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 -2.5 -4 2 -2.0 -15.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.39 0.0 0.0
Lucas Orchard Lucas Orchard G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Dylan Perry Dylan Perry F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Quinn Peters Quinn Peters F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

114 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Osei36% Sanders21% Walker33% Walker50% Spartalis100% Collins33% Sanders50% Sanders40%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Collins25% Spartalis25% Walker50% Walker100% Spartalis40% Dobuol50% Durr100% Dobuol33% Collins33% Walker20%
Misses: who misses most here

Jakai SandersAshton WalkerStefanos SpartalisMadison DurrStephen OseiJinup DobuolLureon WalkerJack Collins

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 11-19 57.9 22 Stephen Osei 36% (8 pts) Lureon Walker 18% (4 pts) Jack Collins 25% (2 misses) Torrey Brooks Jr. 25% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 19-39 48.7 38 Jakai Sanders 21% (8 pts) Ashton Walker 16% (6 pts) Stefanos Spartalis 25% (5 misses) Ashton Walker 15% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 3-7 42.9 6 Ashton Walker 33% (2 pts) Madison Durr 33% (2 pts) Ashton Walker 50% (2 misses) Madison Durr 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-3 66.7 4 Ashton Walker 50% (2 pts) Stefanos Spartalis 50% (2 pts) Lureon Walker 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 2-7 28.6 4 Stefanos Spartalis 100% (4 pts) - Stefanos Spartalis 40% (2 misses) Ashton Walker 20% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 3-7 42.9 9 Jack Collins 33% (3 pts) Madison Durr 33% (3 pts) Jinup Dobuol 50% (2 misses) Ashton Walker 25% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 0-1 0.0 0 - - Madison Durr 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 4-10 40.0 12 Jakai Sanders 50% (6 pts) Ashton Walker 25% (3 pts) Jinup Dobuol 33% (2 misses) Jack Collins 17% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-6 0.0 0 - - Jack Collins 33% (2 misses) Stefan Marjanovic 33% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-15 33.3 15 Jakai Sanders 40% (6 pts) Ashton Walker 20% (3 pts) Ashton Walker 20% (2 misses) Jack Collins 20% (2 misses)