Molloy
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 855 (#484) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 873 (#460) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 974 (#515) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.8 (#268) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.7 (#494) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.308 (#439) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.119 (#390) | NetEff -14.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.216 (#512) | AdjNet -11.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.218 (#514) | AdjNet -10.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.359 (#499) | AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 69.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.360 (#571) | AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 67.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.278 (#540) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.296 (#533) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 934 (#323) | RD 101 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Stony Brook | L | 59 - 91 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Chestnut Hill | W | 85 - 72 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Jefferson | L | 55 - 70 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Holy Family | L | 35 - 79 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Caldwell | L | 32 - 63 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Southern Conn. St. | L | 50 - 79 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Pace | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Saint Anselm | L | 51 - 63 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Franklin Pierce | W | 69 - 51 |
| 2025-12-05 | @ | D'Youville | L | 79 - 89 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Daemen | L | 66 - 78 |
| 2025-12-12 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 77 - 58 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Adelphi | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Southern N.H. | L | 47 - 73 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Queens (NY) | W | 65 - 61 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | D'Youville | W | 69 - 65 |
| 2026-01-18 | vs | Daemen | L | 60 - 73 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Mercy | L | 54 - 71 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Staten Island | W | 72 - 66 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Queens (NY) | W | 78 - 53 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Assumption | L | 45 - 63 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen McCullagh | - | 22 | 37.6 | 19.9 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 17.7 | 10.5 | -122 | -5.8 | -24.3 | 44.7 | 15.0 | 71.1 | 1.18 | 49.4 | 45.1 |
| Sophia Yearwood | - | 22 | 36.0 | 13.1 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 11.5 | 6.9 | -135 | -6.4 | -27.6 | 43.3 | 33.6 | 87.0 | 0.62 | 54.9 | 53.2 |
| Rosa Rizzitelli | - | 22 | 30.5 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 9.6 | -89 | -4.0 | -19.6 | 36.0 | 31.8 | 81.6 | 1.15 | 45.7 | 41.5 |
| Sharmeela Ugbogbo | - | 21 | 23.8 | 5.4 | 8.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 5.2 | 9.2 | -149 | -7.5 | -46.1 | 40.0 | 0 | 61.9 | -4.12 | 44.4 | 40.0 |
| K. Paulino Rosario | - | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | -34 | -1.9 | -45.4 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -1.21 | 32.2 | 16.7 |
| Iris Hoffman | - | 13 | 29.4 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 5.7 | -75 | -5.8 | -34.0 | 24.6 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -0.41 | 36.3 | 30.0 |
| Grace Trotta | - | 16 | 13.2 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 17 | 1.1 | 11.0 | 27.4 | 28.6 | 66.7 | 0.1 | 37.1 | 35.5 |
| Jamie Davneiro | - | 22 | 17.4 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 2.8 | -35 | -1.6 | -14.9 | 22.5 | 25.0 | 68.0 | 0.07 | 32.3 | 25.4 |
| Emma Poland | - | 18 | 13.1 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 3.3 | -29 | -1.6 | -26.9 | 34.2 | 7.7 | 100.0 | 1.27 | 40.6 | 35.5 |
| Kaitlyn Paulino Rosario | - | 19 | 8.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 | -34 | -1.9 | -45.4 | 34.3 | 30.0 | 83.3 | -1.21 | 42.5 | 38.6 |
| Monique Echols | - | 18 | 10.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 0.4 | -21 | -1.2 | -42.2 | 20.8 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.62 | 30.7 | 30.2 |
| Jianna Davneiro | - | 9 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | -0.6 | -25 | -2.3 | -172.4 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 50.0 | -0.98 | 22.1 | 17.5 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG