Molloy
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 898 (#444) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 900 (#430) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 974 (#515) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.6 (#311) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.7 (#494) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.308 (#439) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.119 (#390) | NetEff -14.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.216 (#512) | AdjNet -11.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.218 (#514) | AdjNet -10.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.359 (#499) | AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 69.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.360 (#571) | AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 67.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.278 (#540) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.296 (#533) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 927 (#325) | RD 101 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Stony Brook | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Chestnut Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Jefferson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Holy Family | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Caldwell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Southern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Pace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Saint Anselm | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Franklin Pierce | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-05 | @ | D'Youville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Daemen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-12 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Adelphi | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Southern N.H. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | D'Youville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-18 | vs | Daemen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Mercy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Staten Island | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Assumption | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen McCullagh | - | 21 | 37.7 | 20.0 | 7.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 18.0 | 10.2 | -122 | -5.8 | -24.3 | 44.2 | 15.8 | 70.9 | 0.39 | 48.9 | 44.6 |
| Sophia Yearwood | - | 21 | 36.3 | 13.4 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 11.6 | 7.2 | -135 | -6.4 | -27.6 | 43.4 | 34.2 | 87.0 | -3.82 | 55.5 | 53.7 |
| Rosa Rizzitelli | - | 21 | 30.6 | 10.9 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 11.0 | 9.9 | -89 | -4.0 | -19.6 | 35.7 | 30.5 | 83.0 | 3.42 | 45.5 | 41.1 |
| Sharmeela Ugbogbo | - | 20 | 23.7 | 5.5 | 8.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 5.3 | 9.7 | -149 | -7.5 | -46.1 | 40.2 | 0 | 62.5 | -4.78 | 44.5 | 40.2 |
| K. Paulino Rosario | - | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | -34 | -1.9 | -45.4 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -1.6 | 32.2 | 16.7 |
| Iris Hoffman | - | 12 | 29.1 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 5.2 | -75 | -5.8 | -34.0 | 19.3 | 16.1 | 100.0 | 0.02 | 31.3 | 23.7 |
| Grace Trotta | - | 15 | 13.8 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 17 | 1.1 | 11.0 | 26.2 | 28.6 | 66.7 | 1.73 | 36.1 | 34.4 |
| Jamie Davneiro | - | 21 | 17.9 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 3.0 | -35 | -1.6 | -14.9 | 21.4 | 25.0 | 73.9 | 1.98 | 31.8 | 24.3 |
| Emma Poland | - | 17 | 13.6 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 3.5 | -29 | -1.6 | -26.9 | 34.2 | 7.7 | 100.0 | -0.89 | 40.6 | 35.5 |
| Monique Echols | - | 17 | 10.0 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 0.6 | -21 | -1.2 | -42.2 | 22.7 | 27.3 | 50.0 | -0.04 | 33.4 | 33.0 |
| Kaitlyn Paulino Rosario | - | 18 | 7.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | -34 | -1.9 | -45.4 | 31.2 | 33.3 | 83.3 | -1.6 | 40.4 | 35.9 |
| Jianna Davneiro | - | 9 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | -0.6 | -25 | -2.3 | -172.4 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 50.0 | -0.86 | 22.1 | 17.5 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG