Molloy
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 903 (#463) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 850 (#496) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 995 (#312) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.1 (#315) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.9 (#409) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.226 (#474) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.649 (#241) | NetEff +5.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.205 (#549) | AdjNet -11.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.201 (#551) | AdjNet -11.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.295 (#564) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 86.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.373 (#479) | AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 83.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.373 (#417) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.380 (#415) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 925 (#319) | RD 112 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Hofstra | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Pace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Adelphi | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Dominican (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Saint Anselm | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | Southern N.H. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Holy Family | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | East Stroudsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-05 | @ | D'Youville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Daemen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-12 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Saint Michael's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | D'Youville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-18 | vs | Daemen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Mercy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Staten Island | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Powell | - | 1 | 26.0 | 27.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 103 | 6.1 | 30.8 | 58.8 | 42.9 | 66.7 | -1.15 | 68.7 | 67.6 |
| Bryce Merchant | - | 14 | 34.3 | 18.4 | 6.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 12.8 | 14.1 | 43 | 3.1 | 29.7 | 53.1 | 35.2 | 81.7 | -0.43 | 62.8 | 58.4 |
| Dylan Kopp | - | 17 | 28.6 | 14.8 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 11.8 | 4.9 | -17 | -1.3 | -92.3 | 47.3 | 35.9 | 82.6 | -1.32 | 56.7 | 53.0 |
| Darius Coleman | - | 2 | 29.4 | 14.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 10.5 | 10.0 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 47.6 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -0.53 | 58.1 | 54.8 |
| Chris Stokel | - | 18 | 28.3 | 14.1 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 11.7 | 8.1 | 24 | 1.3 | 5.9 | 42.7 | 30.1 | 71.9 | 1.7 | 53.1 | 49.3 |
| Jalen Robinson | - | 1 | 15.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 95 | 7.3 | 310.6 | 44.4 | 44.4 | 0 | -1.0 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Chase Timberlake | - | 17 | 26.4 | 11.5 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 8.8 | 9.7 | 5 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 43.3 | 25.8 | 68.1 | -0.36 | 53.9 | 49.0 |
| Justin Allen | - | 1 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 41 | 3.2 | 60.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 5.85 | 112.5 | 112.5 |
| Jared Weakly | - | 18 | 27.4 | 8.8 | 7.7 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 7.1 | 14.3 | 18 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 72.0 | 1.23 | 56.8 | 54.7 |
| Julian Williams | - | 1 | 30.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 70 | 4.4 | 50.9 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.59 | 40.5 | 44.4 |
| Sebastian Bosquez | - | 18 | 18.6 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 6.3 | 3.7 | -59 | -3.3 | -39.7 | 44.7 | 47.1 | 65.8 | 0.29 | 51.6 | 48.2 |
| Manu Alford | - | 17 | 24.9 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 18 | 1.3 | 34.5 | 40.8 | 43.8 | 80.0 | 2.39 | 51.0 | 47.6 |
| Anthony Akande | - | 1 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 111 | 7.4 | 108.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.96 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Joshua Malcolm | - | 7 | 17.8 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 2.1 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.2 | 30.0 | 14.3 | 50.0 | 1.08 | 35.8 | 33.3 |
| Sey Dieng | - | 18 | 17.6 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.6 | 5.5 | -35 | -2.1 | -14.3 | 35.9 | 32.4 | 42.9 | -2.7 | 44.7 | 44.5 |
| Ebubenna Nwabudu | - | 14 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.2 | 0.0 | 57.1 | -1.67 | 44.8 | 41.2 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG