Mo.-St. Louis
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1209 (#27) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1249 (#20) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1196 (#20) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.1 (#33) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +18.0 (#112) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.828 (#224) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.943 (#114) | NetEff +21.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.927 (#181) | AdjNet +22.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.936 (#177) | AdjNet +22.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.769 (#198) | AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 53.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.786 (#33) | AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 54.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.883 (#40) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.879 (#34) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1291 (#17) | RD 109 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Roosevelt | W | 54 - 52 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Wis.-Parkside | L | 73 - 82 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | W | 69 - 32 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Purdue Northwest | W | 73 - 43 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Ill. Springfield | W | 69 - 46 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Lewis | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | UIndy | W | 60 - 43 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | Maryville (MO) | W | 61 - 53 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Michigan Tech | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Central Mo. | W | 59 - 57 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Quincy | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Southwest Baptist | W | 84 - 54 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Missouri S&T | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Lincoln (MO) | W | 92 - 45 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Maryville (MO) | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | McKendree | W | 62 - 59 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Ill. Springfield | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | UIndy | W | 64 - 51 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Lewis | W | 74 - 63 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mara Rieder | - | 18 | 31.0 | 19.7 | 9.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 14.7 | 16.6 | 80 | 3.8 | 17.0 | 53.4 | 0.0 | 85.7 | 1.38 | 58.8 | 53.4 |
| Jayden Kuper | - | 19 | 34.7 | 14.7 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 12.3 | 11.6 | 80 | 3.8 | 13.0 | 45.1 | 37.3 | 82.0 | -0.65 | 54.7 | 51.1 |
| Morgan Ramthun | - | 19 | 36.6 | 12.6 | 8.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 8.6 | 14.2 | 129 | 5.9 | 21.0 | 55.8 | 12.5 | 71.8 | 0.75 | 60.6 | 56.1 |
| Anna Costa Riera | - | 19 | 35.7 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 8.6 | 4.8 | 129 | 6.1 | 21.0 | 32.5 | 25.4 | 88.2 | 1.11 | 39.9 | 37.1 |
| Jaeda Wilson | - | 19 | 21.3 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 3.9 | 88 | 4.0 | 19.7 | 31.8 | 30.8 | 87.2 | -2.38 | 47.2 | 39.1 |
| Lexi Hanna | - | 19 | 28.9 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 103 | 4.9 | 24.6 | 36.1 | 34.6 | 92.3 | 0.85 | 51.4 | 48.6 |
| Mireia Casas | - | 10 | 14.9 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 50 | 4.5 | 22.5 | 26.8 | 26.3 | 81.8 | -0.69 | 39.3 | 32.9 |
| Addison Swadinsky | - | 11 | 7.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 | -31 | -2.4 | -33.2 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 60.0 | -3.28 | 43.5 | 35.7 |
| Abby Peterson | - | 10 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | -0.1 | 10 | 0.8 | 30.1 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.74 | 21.8 | 16.7 |
| Aliya Tripp | - | 6 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -0.2 | -4 | -0.6 | -16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG