Missouri Western
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 949 (#273) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 966 (#200) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.5 (#36) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.778 (#258) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.736 (#152) | NetEff +8.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.960 (#137) | AdjNet +27.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.968 (#129) | AdjNet +28.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.847 (#126) | AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 59.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Sioux Falls | W | 79 - 68 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Augustana (SD) | W | 96 - 61 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Colo. Christian | L | 70 - 79 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | CSU Pueblo | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 60 - 77 |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | MSU Moorhead | W | 68 - 57 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Lincoln (MO) | W | 94 - 52 |
| 2024-12-03 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | W | 57 - 48 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Emporia St. | W | 80 - 66 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | McKendree | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Fort Hays St. | W | 67 - 66 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Washburn | L | 73 - 88 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Central Mo. | W | 86 - 73 |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Fort Hays St. | W | 70 - 69 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | L | 65 - 73 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Central Mo. | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Washburn | W | 62 - 56 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2025-02-06 | @ | Rogers St. | W | 64 - 51 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Central Okla. | W | 93 - 67 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Bonilla | - | 21 | 32.2 | 17.3 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 15.2 | 12.9 | 29 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 39.5 | 28.7 | 73.0 | 0.23 | 49.1 | 43.7 |
| Marie Sepp | - | 21 | 29.1 | 12.6 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 9.3 | 9.3 | -8 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 53.8 | 33.3 | 63.3 | -0.14 | 61.0 | 59.7 |
| Matilda Soderlund | - | 21 | 23.6 | 9.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 16 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 46.2 | 41.4 | 90.0 | 0.26 | 64.0 | 63.0 |
| Kassandra Caron | - | 21 | 20.2 | 8.3 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 7.0 | 7.8 | 23 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 39.0 | 30.3 | 78.8 | -0.01 | 51.8 | 45.9 |
| Laura Toffali | - | 21 | 25.3 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 7.3 | 5.1 | 29 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 38.3 | 25.4 | 75.6 | 0.3 | 48.0 | 43.5 |
| Jessie Ford | - | 21 | 21.5 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 16 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 37.0 | 43.1 | 69.2 | 0.13 | 52.2 | 50.5 |
| Jadyn Schomp | - | 20 | 13.7 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 42.9 | 23.1 | 76.9 | 0.22 | 52.2 | 49.3 |
| Meredith Rieker | - | 21 | 15.5 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 10 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 28.6 | 29.7 | 25.0 | 0.22 | 41.4 | 41.7 |
| Malgorzata Byczkowsk | - | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Malgorzata Byczkowska | - | 20 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | -17 | -0.6 | -0.9 | 35.3 | 31.7 | 100.0 | -0.5 | 49.2 | 48.0 |
| Tiani Ellison | - | 12 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 61.5 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.01 | 64.4 | 61.5 |
| Kelsey Johnson | - | 20 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 38.5 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.13 | 43.2 | 46.2 |
| Camryn Smith | - | 10 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -8 | -0.6 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG