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Missouri Western

Also known as: Missouri Western
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1030 (#142) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1075 (#104) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +10.4 (#83) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.604 (#280) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.9 More → 0.421 (#253) NetEff -2.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.9 More → 0.875 (#168) AdjNet +16.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.7 More → 0.898 (#142) AdjNet +18.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 68.3 More → 0.783 (#136) AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 68.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-01 @ Lubbock Christian L 48 - 88
2024-11-03 vs St. Cloud St. W 80 - 73
2024-11-08 vs Northern St. W 75 - 61
2024-11-10 vs Augustana (SD) W 82 - 61
2024-11-16 @ Maryville (MO) W 67 - 56
2024-11-19 vs Rockhurst W 73 - 59
2024-11-22 @ Arkansas Tech W 69 - 67
2024-11-26 vs William Jewell W 78 - 77
2024-12-03 @ Northwest Mo. St. W 70 - 66
2024-12-07 vs Emporia St. L 72 - 74
2024-12-18 vs Kansas Christian W 114 - 60
2024-12-21 vs Truman St. L 43 - 53
2025-01-02 vs Neb.-Kearney L 69 - 75
2025-01-04 vs Fort Hays St. W 47 - 44
2025-01-08 @ Washburn L 74 - 92
2025-01-11 @ Central Mo. W 59 - 55
2025-01-16 @ Fort Hays St. L 50 - 61
2025-01-18 @ Neb.-Kearney W 83 - 72
2025-01-22 vs Central Mo. W 81 - 62
2025-01-25 vs Washburn L 52 - 85
2025-01-29 vs Haskell W 96 - 59
2025-02-01 vs Northwest Mo. St. W 71 - 58
2025-02-06 @ Rogers St. L 54 - 74
2025-02-08 @ Central Okla. L 60 - 92
2025-02-13 vs Pittsburg St. L 61 - 71
2025-02-15 vs Mo. Southern St. W 79 - 67
2025-02-20 @ Ark.-Fort Smith L 55 - 57
2025-02-22 @ Northeastern St. W 83 - 81
2025-02-26 @ Emporia St. L 85 - 95
2025-03-01 vs Newman W 82 - 78
2025-03-07 @ Rogers St. L 0 - 59
2025-10-31 @ West Tex. A&M L 75 - 87

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
RJ Ogom - 1 32.0 22.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 16.0 - - - 41.2 37.5 62.5 - 53.6 50.0
Allen Taylor - 1 32.0 22.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 16.0 2 0.1 0.8 41.2 37.5 62.5 0.17 53.6 50.0
Zane Nelson - 30 32.6 15.4 4.8 4.5 1.4 0.1 2.9 12.7 10.5 -176 -6.3 -12.9 43.0 30.5 73.2 -1.31 52.8 48.3
Noah King - 1 28.6 14.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 14.0 4.0 -9 -9.0 -12.6 42.9 50.0 0 -0.43 50.0 50.0
Trey McKowen - 1 23.1 14.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 6.0 3 0.2 5.2 62.5 100.0 100.0 -0.51 78.8 75.0
Gavin Hershberger - 1 24.7 12.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 4.0 113 2.6 9.3 40.0 20.0 100.0 1.04 53.0 45.0
Zion Swader - 30 31.8 11.3 4.1 2.8 1.4 0.0 2.1 8.8 8.7 -98 -3.8 -7.5 46.6 28.0 79.5 -1.31 56.0 50.9
Julius Dixon - 30 30.5 10.6 6.1 1.1 0.8 0.1 1.2 8.6 9.0 -116 -4.0 -8.6 42.0 37.7 69.9 -1.31 55.2 52.1
Justin Bubak - 30 29.2 10.0 3.7 0.9 1.0 0.5 1.0 7.7 7.5 -46 -1.3 -3.5 45.0 40.0 85.7 2.23 58.7 54.5
Chase Thompson - 1 28.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 3.0 -9 -0.4 -3.8 11.1 20.0 87.5 0.12 39.9 16.7
Ty Henry - 1 35.3 9.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 7.0 69 4.6 78.1 18.2 25.0 100.0 -0.37 35.3 22.7
William Kiburis - 1 24.7 9.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 10.0 -16 -16.0 -26.0 60.0 0 75.0 -0.53 66.6 60.0
Kiani Saxon - 30 21.3 6.3 3.9 1.6 0.7 1.0 1.5 4.5 7.4 -176 -6.1 -15.5 52.2 23.5 58.8 -1.31 57.3 55.2
Ethan Killgore - 30 16.0 5.9 2.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.6 4.7 4.5 -72 -4.5 -21.5 50.0 33.3 80.8 -0.11 58.4 55.7
Kidtrell Blocker - 30 16.2 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.7 2.9 3.5 -44 -3.1 -15.2 51.7 44.4 76.9 -0.15 63.4 58.6
Bode Goodman - 1 16.4 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 -7 -0.5 -17.2 50.0 0.0 0 -0.65 50.0 50.0
Devin Butler - 31 12.2 3.4 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.7 -112 -7.0 -37.6 41.0 35.3 95.2 -0.16 57.5 51.8
River Johnston - 1 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Traeger Rader - 1 5.9 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -4 -0.8 -27.3 100.0 100.0 0 -1.04 150.0 150.0
Clayton Moore - 1 22.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 -73 -3.2 -35.2 20.0 0.0 0 0.01 20.0 20.0
Matthew Schneider - 30 3.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.1 -38 -4.8 -29.2 34.1 36.4 80.0 -0.34 48.5 43.9
Marko Pavlovic - 1 17.7 1.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 136 8.5 307.3 0.0 0 50.0 -0.62 17.4 0.0
Josh Book - 19 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 - - - 35.7 57.1 0 - 50.0 50.0
Matt Nunez - 29 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 -54 -9.0 -398.8 66.7 0 66.7 -1.1 70.9 66.7
Ky Green - 29 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -55 -13.8 -676.9 60.0 33.3 0 -1.33 70.0 70.0
Wyatt Powell - 28 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Luke Reder - 28 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
JC Anthony - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Frank Keller - 1 3.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11 3.7 140.4 0 0 0 -1.32 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG