Missouri Western
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1030 (#142) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1075 (#104) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.4 (#83) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.604 (#280) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.421 (#253) | NetEff -2.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.875 (#168) | AdjNet +16.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.898 (#142) | AdjNet +18.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.783 (#136) | AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 68.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Ogom | - | 1 | 32.0 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 41.2 | 37.5 | 62.5 | - | 53.6 | 50.0 |
| Allen Taylor | - | 1 | 32.0 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 16.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 41.2 | 37.5 | 62.5 | 0.17 | 53.6 | 50.0 |
| Zane Nelson | - | 30 | 32.6 | 15.4 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 12.7 | 10.5 | -176 | -6.3 | -12.9 | 43.0 | 30.5 | 73.2 | -1.31 | 52.8 | 48.3 |
| Noah King | - | 1 | 28.6 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | -9 | -9.0 | -12.6 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.43 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Trey McKowen | - | 1 | 23.1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 62.5 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.51 | 78.8 | 75.0 |
| Gavin Hershberger | - | 1 | 24.7 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 113 | 2.6 | 9.3 | 40.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 1.04 | 53.0 | 45.0 |
| Zion Swader | - | 30 | 31.8 | 11.3 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 8.8 | 8.7 | -98 | -3.8 | -7.5 | 46.6 | 28.0 | 79.5 | -1.31 | 56.0 | 50.9 |
| Julius Dixon | - | 30 | 30.5 | 10.6 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 8.6 | 9.0 | -116 | -4.0 | -8.6 | 42.0 | 37.7 | 69.9 | -1.31 | 55.2 | 52.1 |
| Justin Bubak | - | 30 | 29.2 | 10.0 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 7.7 | 7.5 | -46 | -1.3 | -3.5 | 45.0 | 40.0 | 85.7 | 2.23 | 58.7 | 54.5 |
| Chase Thompson | - | 1 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | -9 | -0.4 | -3.8 | 11.1 | 20.0 | 87.5 | 0.12 | 39.9 | 16.7 |
| Ty Henry | - | 1 | 35.3 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 69 | 4.6 | 78.1 | 18.2 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.37 | 35.3 | 22.7 |
| William Kiburis | - | 1 | 24.7 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -16 | -16.0 | -26.0 | 60.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.53 | 66.6 | 60.0 |
| Kiani Saxon | - | 30 | 21.3 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 7.4 | -176 | -6.1 | -15.5 | 52.2 | 23.5 | 58.8 | -1.31 | 57.3 | 55.2 |
| Ethan Killgore | - | 30 | 16.0 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 4.5 | -72 | -4.5 | -21.5 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 80.8 | -0.11 | 58.4 | 55.7 |
| Kidtrell Blocker | - | 30 | 16.2 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 3.5 | -44 | -3.1 | -15.2 | 51.7 | 44.4 | 76.9 | -0.15 | 63.4 | 58.6 |
| Bode Goodman | - | 1 | 16.4 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -7 | -0.5 | -17.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.65 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Devin Butler | - | 31 | 12.2 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 | -112 | -7.0 | -37.6 | 41.0 | 35.3 | 95.2 | -0.16 | 57.5 | 51.8 |
| River Johnston | - | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Traeger Rader | - | 1 | 5.9 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -4 | -0.8 | -27.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.04 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Clayton Moore | - | 1 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | -73 | -3.2 | -35.2 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.01 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Matthew Schneider | - | 30 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | -38 | -4.8 | -29.2 | 34.1 | 36.4 | 80.0 | -0.34 | 48.5 | 43.9 |
| Marko Pavlovic | - | 1 | 17.7 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 136 | 8.5 | 307.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.62 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Josh Book | - | 19 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 35.7 | 57.1 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Matt Nunez | - | 29 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | -54 | -9.0 | -398.8 | 66.7 | 0 | 66.7 | -1.1 | 70.9 | 66.7 |
| Ky Green | - | 29 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -55 | -13.8 | -676.9 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.33 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Wyatt Powell | - | 28 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Reder | - | 28 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| JC Anthony | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Frank Keller | - | 1 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11 | 3.7 | 140.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.32 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG