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Missouri Western

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Missouri Western
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1030 (#142) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1184 (#50) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1062 (#113) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +20.9 (#13) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +18.0 (#75) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.604 (#280) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +51.6 More → 0.997 (#56) NetEff +51.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.9 More → 0.875 (#168) AdjNet +16.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.7 More → 0.898 (#142) AdjNet +18.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 68.3 More → 0.783 (#136) AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 68.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 85.1 | AdjD 73.3 More → 0.744 (#45) AdjO 85.1 | AdjD 73.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.823 (#50) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.809 (#52) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 24 More → 1158 (#72) RD 96 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-02 vs Mo.-St. Louis W 71 - 63
2025-11-14 vs Augustana (SD) W 69 - 68
2025-11-15 vs Wayne St. (NE) W 88 - 67
2025-11-19 @ Southern Nazarene L 79 - 82
2025-11-22 vs Quincy W 82 - 80
2025-11-25 @ William Jewell W 82 - 56
2025-11-28 vs Arkansas Tech W 90 - 72
2025-12-02 vs Northwest Mo. St. W 99 - 77
2025-12-06 @ Emporia St. W 84 - 74
2025-12-13 @ Rockhurst W 78 - 74
2025-12-16 vs Avila W 92 - 81
2025-12-20 @ Truman St. L 91 - 100
2026-01-01 @ Neb.-Kearney W 104 - 80
2026-01-03 @ Fort Hays St. L 65 - 67
2026-01-07 vs Washburn L 75 - 87
2026-01-10 vs Central Mo. W 88 - 76
2026-01-15 vs Fort Hays St. L 61 - 74
2026-01-17 vs Neb.-Kearney W 89 - 80
2026-01-21 @ Central Mo. L 83 - 97
2026-01-23 @ Washburn L 78 - 90
2026-01-31 @ Northwest Mo. St. W 84 - 65
2026-02-05 vs Rogers St. W 87 - 78
2026-02-07 vs Central Okla. L 70 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lazerek Houston - 1 26.0 17.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 9.0 122 5.1 16.7 50.0 0.0 75.0 0.1 53.9 50.0
Noah King - 21 31.4 16.4 4.9 2.9 0.9 0.1 2.2 15.4 7.6 77 3.5 17.9 36.8 24.4 76.5 0.69 46.9 41.3
Trinell Parker - 1 21.0 16.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 10.0 130 5.4 24.5 50.0 0 100.0 0.67 58.1 50.0
Ty Henry - 21 31.6 13.4 3.8 1.2 1.2 0.6 1.1 9.7 9.4 160 6.7 34.3 50.2 41.7 79.6 2.28 62.2 58.9
Kyran Tilley - 1 25.0 13.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 10.0 137 5.5 19.9 60.0 33.3 0 2.51 65.0 65.0
Marko Pavlovic - 22 28.9 12.0 8.2 1.8 0.6 1.4 1.5 8.0 14.6 119 5.0 31.4 60.2 0.0 67.5 1.18 62.9 60.2
Jevon Hill - 1 26.0 11.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 9.0 157 6.5 22.6 50.0 42.9 0 0.39 68.8 68.8
William Kiburis - 22 28.5 10.2 5.7 1.8 1.5 0.0 1.3 6.2 11.8 120 5.5 27.1 56.2 41.4 73.8 2.99 65.3 60.6
Gavin Hershberger - 21 25.9 9.0 3.2 2.3 1.3 0.0 1.2 7.6 7.0 143 6.0 40.6 40.3 34.9 69.7 4.29 54.5 52.2
Jake Fritz - 1 16.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 105 4.2 19.8 75.0 50.0 0 -0.9 87.5 87.5
Devin Butler - 20 15.1 6.8 2.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.7 4.5 5.2 -26 -1.2 -16.7 51.7 35.5 78.0 -1.47 63.1 57.9
Trey McKowen - 21 20.2 6.7 1.7 0.9 0.9 0.0 1.2 5.7 3.2 39 1.6 15.7 38.7 35.6 73.3 -2.28 50.8 45.4
Bode Goodman - 22 14.7 6.5 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.0 0.5 5.5 4.4 -60 -2.5 -35.1 38.8 28.3 79.1 -2.05 51.1 45.0
Noah Martin - 1 12.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 -15 -0.6 -6.2 100.0 0 50.0 0.33 86.8 100.0
Frank Keller - 4 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.0 9 1.5 69.2 66.7 100.0 0 1.12 83.3 83.3
Traeger Rader - 7 6.5 0.9 1.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 1.6 20 2.5 28.4 18.2 22.2 0 1.34 27.3 27.3
Naz Brown - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 35 2.3 25.0 0.0 0 0 -0.05 0.0 0.0
Deshawne Crim - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -1.1 -47.7 0 0 0 -1.03 0 0
Carter Kaifes - 1 10.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 60 2.5 12.6 0.0 0.0 0 1.53 0.0 0.0
AJ Lux - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 69 4.1 64.0 0 0 0 2.04 0 0
Kyree Polk - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 28 1.4 20.0 0 0 0 -0.05 0 0
Judah Sault - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7 1.2 75.3 0 0 0 -0.85 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG