Missouri State
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
85.3
PPG
61.3
Opp
+24.0
Margin
53.1%
FG%
40.8%
3P%
61.7%
FT%
41.3
RPG
18.7
APG
11.3
TO
70.8
Est. poss./game
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 845 (#243) | Preseason prior 845 (returning production + recruiting): last season 982, returning -19, transfers -74, freshmen -44 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 902 (#276) | HCA +218 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 951 (#253) | HCA +218 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.2 (#235) | HCA +2.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.0 (#234) | HCA +2.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.339 (#213) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.404 (#217) | - |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.403 (#217) | - |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.371 (#271) | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.417 (#247) | - |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.352 (#264) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.361 (#257) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 895 (#252) | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.266 (#283) | Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | vs | Lincoln (MO) Blue Tigers | W | 88 - 60 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | Truman State Bulldogs | W | 79 - 62 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Newman Jets | W | 89 - 62 |
| 2026-11-16 | vs | Abilene Christian Wildcats | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andrej Acimovic
|
C | 3 | 26.3 | 22.0 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 12.3 | 18.0 | 32 | 2 | 16.0 | 23.2 | 70.3 | 42.9 | 61.1 | 1.0 | 73.5 | 74.3 |
Trey Williams Jr
|
G | 3 | 31.3 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 12.0 | 17.3 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 45.0 | 100.0 | - | 66.0 | 62.5 |
Melakih Cunningham
|
G | 3 | 24.7 | 12.3 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 7.3 | 11.3 | 60 | 2 | 30.0 | 50.7 | 63.6 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 2.68 | 80.9 | 84.1 |
Dylan Rowe
|
G | 3 | 19.3 | 10.0 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 6.3 | 8.3 | 9 | 2 | 4.5 | 8.6 | 47.4 | 0.0 | 85.7 | -0.09 | 59.6 | 47.4 |
Ngundeng Ruey
|
F | 3 | 15.3 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 24 | 2 | 12.0 | 29.4 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.39 | 50.4 | 50.0 |
Matt Gray
|
F | 3 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 12 | 2 | 6.0 | 16.7 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.07 | 51.9 | 53.6 |
Christian Thompson
|
F | 3 | 17.7 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 7.3 | 23 | 2 | 11.5 | 27.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.84 | 41.4 | 40.0 |
Jordan Blair
|
G | 3 | 25.0 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 5.7 | 15 | 2 | 7.5 | 12.5 | 18.2 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 0.18 | 26.0 | 18.2 |
Leano Rolle
|
F | 3 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.51 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
Cameron Boone
|
F | 3 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 8 | 2 | 4.0 | 21.0 | 75.0 | 0 | 33.3 | -1.43 | 65.8 | 75.0 |
Dimitar Zetov
|
F | 3 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 15.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.1 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Kuol Kuol
|
F | 2 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -8.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.36 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
Isaiah Medina
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Amare Oba
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Kevin Stubblefield Jr.
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Missouri State players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Missouri State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Mogbo | 2022-23 | NBA | Sacramento Kings | 5 | 14.3 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 11-08 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 5 GP, 3.0 PPG, 2.2 RPG, 0.8 APG |
| Alize Johnson | 2016-18 | EuroLeague | Paris Basketball | 9 | 14.4 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 11-11 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 6 GP, 4.5 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 1.3 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | Alize Johnson | EuroLeague | Paris Basketball | vs Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Jonathan Mogbo | G League Play-In | Stockton Kings | vs Valley Suns | 38 | 32 | 13 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Jonathan Mogbo | NBA | Sacramento Kings | vs Miami Heat | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-07 | Jonathan Mogbo | G League Play-In | Stockton Kings | vs Santa Cruz Warriors | 32 | 11 | 6 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Alize Johnson | EuroLeague | Paris Basketball | @ Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 14 | 1 | 5 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-29 | Alize Johnson | EuroLeague | Paris Basketball | @ Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv | 23 | 11 | 8 | 5 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
179 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Andrej AcimovicTrey Williams JrMelakih CunninghamMatt GrayNgundeng RueyDimitar ZetovJordan Blair
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 37-44 | 84.1 | 74 | Andrej Acimovic 41% (30 pts) | Melakih Cunningham 14% (10 pts) | Andrej Acimovic 43% (3 misses) | Dylan Rowe 29% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 24-54 | 44.4 | 48 | Andrej Acimovic 25% (12 pts) | Dylan Rowe 25% (12 pts) | Trey Williams Jr 20% (6 misses) | Matt Gray 17% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-4 | 50.0 | 4 | Andrej Acimovic 50% (2 pts) | Ngundeng Ruey 50% (2 pts) | Melakih Cunningham 50% (1 misses) | Trey Williams Jr 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-1 | 100.0 | 2 | Trey Williams Jr 100% (2 pts) | - | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | Andrej Acimovic 50% (2 pts) | Dylan Rowe 50% (2 pts) | Dimitar Zetov 25% (1 misses) | Kuol Kuol 25% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-5 | 60.0 | 9 | Melakih Cunningham 67% (6 pts) | Trey Williams Jr 33% (3 pts) | Jordan Blair 50% (1 misses) | Ngundeng Ruey 50% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 8-14 | 57.1 | 24 | Melakih Cunningham 75% (18 pts) | Ngundeng Ruey 12% (3 pts) | Trey Williams Jr 33% (2 misses) | Andrej Acimovic 17% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-22 | 27.3 | 18 | Matt Gray 33% (6 pts) | Dimitar Zetov 17% (3 pts) | Ngundeng Ruey 25% (4 misses) | Jordan Blair 19% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-11 | 45.5 | 15 | Andrej Acimovic 40% (6 pts) | Trey Williams Jr 40% (6 pts) | Andrej Acimovic 50% (3 misses) | Trey Williams Jr 50% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-18 | 38.9 | 21 | Trey Williams Jr 57% (12 pts) | Andrej Acimovic 14% (3 pts) | Trey Williams Jr 36% (4 misses) | Melakih Cunningham 27% (3 misses) |