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Missouri State

Also known as: Missouri State Bears, Missouri State
Program History

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

74.7
PPG
72.3
Opp
+2.4
Margin
45.0%
FG%
31.9%
3P%
68.1%
FT%
34.9
RPG
14.5
APG
11.1
TO
78.3
Pace
72.6
AdjO
74.8
AdjD
#193
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 904 (#248) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 887 (#266) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1003 (#186) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -2.4 (#198) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +14.9 (#157) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.444 (#214) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.9 More → 0.786 (#84) NetEff +13.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.6 More → 0.426 (#192) AdjNet -2.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.6 More → 0.426 (#192) AdjNet -2.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 74.8 More → 0.451 (#193) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 74.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.580 (#140) AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.745 (#181) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.713 (#178) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 126 | GP 32 More → 1059 (#186) RD 126 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Missouri Southern State Lions W 88 - 70
2025-11-08 vs Northwestern Oklahoma State Rangers W 106 - 57
2025-11-11 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves L 85 - 86
2025-11-15 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 49 - 67
2025-11-22 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 74 - 67
2025-11-24 vs Long Island University Sharks L 61 - 75
2025-11-30 vs Northeastern State RiverHawks W 92 - 71
2025-12-12 @ Xavier Musketeers L 57 - 75
2025-12-16 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 63 - 62
2025-12-23 vs Lindenwood Lions W 70 - 65
2025-12-29 @ Delaware Blue Hens W 61 - 43
2026-01-02 vs UTEP Miners W 79 - 55
2026-01-04 vs New Mexico State Aggies W 89 - 82
2026-01-07 @ Kennesaw State Owls L 80 - 90
2026-01-10 vs Florida International Panthers W 79 - 71
2026-01-14 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 72 - 87
2026-01-22 @ New Mexico State Aggies W 84 - 75
2026-01-24 @ UTEP Miners W 62 - 57
2026-01-28 vs Sam Houston Bearkats L 71 - 80
2026-01-31 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 74 - 67
2026-02-07 @ Liberty Flames L 76 - 79
2026-02-12 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 78 - 79
2026-02-14 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 67 - 76
2026-02-18 vs Kennesaw State Owls L 87 - 91
2026-02-21 @ Florida International Panthers L 67 - 70
2026-02-26 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 70 - 72
2026-02-28 @ Sam Houston Bearkats L 81 - 86
2026-03-05 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 87 - 74
2026-03-07 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 63 - 75
2026-03-10 @ Florida International Panthers W 75 - 72
2026-03-11 @ Liberty Flames W 77 - 69
2026-03-13 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 66 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Keith Palek Iii Keith Palek Iii - 32 32.6 17.2 6.4 3.5 0.9 0.3 2.6 13.4 12.3 12 0.5 0.9 42.1 25.0 71.2 -0.14 52.6 46.4
M. Osei-Bonsu M. Osei-Bonsu F 30 27.2 15.1 7.4 2.4 1.3 0.8 2.4 10.1 14.4 54 2.6 6.1 59.1 0 53.1 0.22 59.3 59.1
K. Williams K. Williams - 31 35.3 14.1 2.5 1.5 1.0 0.2 1.4 10.1 7.8 199 10.5 21.6 39.5 36.2 85.2 2.04 59.0 52.2
Trey Williams Jr Trey Williams Jr - 32 30.7 9.6 2.1 3.2 1.0 0.2 1.2 7.9 6.9 - - - 39.1 36.2 71.4 - 53.9 50.6
Z. King Z. King G 32 26.5 7.0 1.9 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.8 5.7 4.9 6 0.2 0.5 40.3 29.4 75.8 -0.48 54.0 49.2
D. Sutton D. Sutton - 32 13.5 4.7 4.4 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.7 3.7 6.6 -24 -1.1 -4.1 54.6 20.0 63.3 -0.3 57.1 55.5
A. Burnett A. Burnett G 18 23.4 4.6 3.7 1.1 1.3 0.1 0.9 4.0 5.8 -22 -1.5 -4.1 40.3 36.8 52.4 -0.26 51.1 50.0
Ryder Cheesman Ryder Cheesman - 3 6.7 3.3 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.0 2.3 2.3 - - - 71.4 0 0 - 71.4 71.4
Melakih Cunningham Melakih Cunningham G 19 11.4 3.1 2.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 2.5 3.5 1 0.1 0.5 44.7 30.4 76.9 0.27 56.0 52.1
Tyrique Brooks Tyrique Brooks - 22 7.5 2.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.5 18 1.4 10.8 37.1 25.0 63.6 -0.03 49.2 42.9
L. Epes L. Epes - 22 9.0 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.6 30 1.7 11.8 40.0 15.4 41.7 -0.1 44.6 44.0
C. Boone C. Boone - 27 6.9 1.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.7 2.3 -30 -1.7 -8.5 61.1 0 60.0 -0.46 62.5 61.1
A. Kuljuhovic A. Kuljuhovic G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
C. Clark C. Clark F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -57 -3.6 -13.8 - - - -0.81 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG