Missouri State Bears
Model Outputs
2004-2005
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1192 (#73) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1158 (#86) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +24.2 (#103) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.624 (#126) | - |
2005 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-11-20 | @ | Richmond Spiders | L | 71 - 91 |
| 2004-11-24 | @ | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2004-11-29 | vs | Little Rock Trojans | W | 77 - 47 |
| 2004-12-01 | @ | Saint Louis Billikens | W | 86 - 56 |
| 2004-12-05 | vs | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | W | 91 - 81 |
| 2004-12-08 | vs | Missouri Tigers | W | 66 - 44 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ | Oklahoma Sooners | L | 71 - 74 |
| 2004-12-18 | vs | LSU Tigers | L | 54 - 66 |
| 2004-12-22 | @ | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ | Bradley Braves | W | 87 - 74 |
| 2005-01-03 | @ | Northern Iowa Panthers | L | 55 - 65 |
| 2005-01-06 | vs | Evansville Purple Aces | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2005-01-08 | vs | Southern Illinois Salukis | W | 78 - 48 |
| 2005-01-14 | @ | Illinois State Redbirds | W | 80 - 57 |
| 2005-01-16 | @ | Indiana State Sycamores | W | 80 - 77 |
| 2005-01-21 | vs | Drake Bulldogs | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2005-01-23 | vs | Creighton Bluejays | W | 66 - 51 |
| 2005-01-30 | @ | Wichita State Shockers | W | 96 - 55 |
| 2005-02-03 | @ | Evansville Purple Aces | L | 61 - 63 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ | Southern Illinois Salukis | W | 89 - 63 |
| 2005-02-10 | vs | Illinois State Redbirds | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2005-02-12 | vs | Indiana State Sycamores | W | 71 - 70 |
| 2005-02-18 | @ | Drake Bulldogs | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2005-02-20 | @ | Creighton Bluejays | W | 65 - 48 |
| 2005-02-27 | vs | Wichita State Shockers | W | 79 - 50 |
| 2005-03-03 | vs | Bradley Braves | L | 69 - 72 |
| 2005-03-05 | vs | Northern Iowa Panthers | W | 61 - 48 |
| 2005-03-10 | vs | Illinois State Redbirds | L | 57 - 61 |
| 2005-03-17 | vs | SMU Mustangs | W | 83 - 56 |
| 2005-03-21 | vs | Gonzaga Bulldogs | W | 85 - 66 |
| 2005-03-24 | vs | Texas A&M Aggies | W | 62 - 60 |
| 2005-03-28 | vs | Iowa Hawkeyes | W | 89 - 80 |
| 2005-03-31 | vs | West Virginia Mountaineers | W | 78 - 70 |
2005 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Ahearn
|
- | 2 | 21.5 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 37.5 | 100.0 | - | 69.1 | 53.1 |
K. Easley
|
- | 2 | 27.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 16.5 | - | - | - | 90.9 | 100.0 | 83.3 | - | 102.6 | 104.5 |
C. Herring
|
G | 2 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0 | 58.8 | - | 62.2 | 57.1 |
K. Gillespie
|
NA | 2 | 29.0 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 7.0 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 42.9 | 100.0 | - | 57.1 | 53.6 |
C. Watkins
|
C | 2 | 27.5 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 14.3 | 100.0 | - | 44.4 | 40.6 |
T. Chaney
|
- | 2 | 23.0 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 29.4 | 16.7 | 0 | - | 32.4 | 32.4 |
D. Mitchell
|
F | 2 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 48.4 | 44.4 |
S. Frazier
|
- | 2 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 50.6 | 50.0 |
N. Bilyeu
|
- | 2 | 15.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 34.7 | 25.0 |
D. Richards
|
- | 2 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 45.2 | 50.0 |
Trevyor Fisher
|
- | 2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG