Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1158 (#65) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1007 (#241) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +35.1 (#7) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.982 (#77) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.990 (#21) | AdjNet +39.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.991 (#21) | AdjNet +40.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.943 (#21) | AdjO 90.3 | AdjD 59.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.804 (#18) | AdjO 85.2 | AdjD 69.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.927 (#4) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.903 (#4) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1185 (#59) | RD 335 | GP 3 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | W | 88 - 70 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Northwestern Okla. | W | 106 - 57 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Northeastern St. | W | 92 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Palek III | - | 3 | 27.8 | 20.3 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 14.0 | 19.3 | 12 | 12.0 | 80.4 | 52.4 | 40.0 | 64.7 | 1.88 | 61.6 | 59.5 |
| Kobi Williams | - | 3 | 31.6 | 16.7 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 12.3 | 10.7 | 80 | 3.5 | 27.5 | 40.5 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 1.16 | 60.4 | 54.1 |
| Darrion Sutton | - | 3 | 19.3 | 13.3 | 8.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 9.3 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 64.3 | 0.0 | 57.1 | - | 64.4 | 64.3 |
| Trey Williams Jr | - | 3 | 30.6 | 12.0 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 10.7 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 40.0 | 66.7 | - | 62.8 | 61.5 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | - | 3 | 14.6 | 11.0 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6.7 | 15.7 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 77.4 | 80.0 |
| Zaxton King | - | 3 | 26.8 | 8.7 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 8.0 | 6.7 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 48.0 | 39.6 |
| Amar Kuljuhovic | - | 2 | 12.6 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0.0 | 71.4 | - | 62.1 | 55.6 |
| Ryder Cheesman | - | 2 | 9.2 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 83.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Tyrique Brooks | - | 3 | 10.1 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 39.4 | 31.2 |
| Logan Epes | - | 3 | 19.7 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 33.8 | 37.5 |
| Cameron Boone | - | 1 | 15.3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG