Mississippi Valley State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
53.5
PPG
81.2
Opp
-27.8
Margin
30.1%
FG%
18.8%
3P%
63.2%
FT%
36.8
RPG
8.8
APG
20.5
TO
79.6
Est. poss./game
50.5
Adj PPG
70.9
Adj Opp PPG
#353
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 658 (#349) | Preseason prior 700 (returning production + recruiting): last season 858, returning -85, transfers -73, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 792 (#340) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 795 (#340) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -29.9 (#356) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -29.9 (#357) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.026 (#340) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.052 (#358) | AdjNet -32.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.053 (#357) | AdjNet -32.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.143 (#353) | AdjO 50.5 | AdjD 70.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.144 (#353) | AdjO 50.5 | AdjD 71.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.104 (#355) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.104 (#355) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 731 (#351) | RD 165 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.095 (#350) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | @ | Marquette Golden Eagles | L | 42 - 80 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Chicago State Cougars | L | 62 - 83 |
| 2026-11-09 | @ | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | L | 55 - 75 |
| 2026-11-12 | @ | Lipscomb Bisons | L | 55 - 87 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Tennessee State Lady Tigers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | West Georgia Wolves | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
I'Xana Winters
|
G | 3 | 29.3 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 11.3 | 6.3 | -15 | 2 | -7.5 | -21.4 | 44.1 | 41.7 | 63.6 | -2.06 | 54.1 | 51.5 |
Sydnei Marshall
|
G | 3 | 31.3 | 12.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 13.0 | 0.0 | -22 | 2 | -11.0 | -32.4 | 28.2 | 0.0 | 72.7 | -5.11 | 39.0 | 28.2 |
Bryana Block
|
G | 3 | 32.7 | 7.0 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 5.3 | 11.0 | -0.3 | - | - | - | - | 15.2 | 18.8 | 66.7 | - | 27.4 | 19.7 |
Te'Lynn Lee-Rose
|
F | 2 | 25.0 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 4 | 1 | 4.0 | 12.8 | 27.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.26 | 35.7 | 27.3 |
Ja'la Douglas
|
F | 3 | 16.7 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -26 | 2 | -13.0 | -46.9 | 46.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -3.66 | 50.4 | 46.7 |
Mariah Reed-Jones
|
G | 3 | 16.3 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | -8 | 2 | -4.0 | -18.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -3.16 | 37.6 | 33.3 |
Ka'Mbili Nelson
|
F | 3 | 16.7 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 2.3 | -11 | 2 | -5.5 | -17.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -0.66 | 32.7 | 33.3 |
Courtney Bluitt
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.57 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
Joyce Mulumba
|
F | 3 | 17.7 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | -19 | 2 | -9.5 | -77.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -5.04 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Kailen Parks
|
G | 3 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | -2 | 1 | -2.0 | -24.0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.86 | 113.6 | 0 |
Taylor Crawford
|
G | 2 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | -1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -3.13 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
Jamie Hunter
|
G | 3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Keanna Coburn
|
C | 1 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -4.0 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -23.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Poetrie Dace
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Aaliyah Taylor
|
G | 3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | -1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.93 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
179 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
I'Xana WintersSydnei MarshallJa'la DouglasBryana BlockKa'Mbili NelsonAaliyah Taylor
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 16-38 | 42.1 | 32 | Sydnei Marshall 38% (12 pts) | Te'Lynn Lee-Rose 19% (6 pts) | Sydnei Marshall 32% (7 misses) | Ja'la Douglas 14% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 17-43 | 39.5 | 34 | I'Xana Winters 41% (14 pts) | Sydnei Marshall 18% (6 pts) | Sydnei Marshall 27% (7 misses) | Bryana Block 23% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-11 | 18.2 | 4 | Ja'la Douglas 100% (4 pts) | - | Bryana Block 22% (2 misses) | I'Xana Winters 22% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-11 | 18.2 | 4 | Ka'Mbili Nelson 100% (4 pts) | - | Ka'Mbili Nelson 22% (2 misses) | Mariah Reed-Jones 22% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 6-32 | 18.8 | 12 | Ja'la Douglas 33% (4 pts) | Sydnei Marshall 33% (4 pts) | I'Xana Winters 23% (6 misses) | Sydnei Marshall 23% (6 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-2 | 50.0 | 3 | I'Xana Winters 100% (3 pts) | - | I'Xana Winters 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 1-4 | 25.0 | 3 | I'Xana Winters 100% (3 pts) | - | I'Xana Winters 67% (2 misses) | Mariah Reed-Jones 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 3-16 | 18.8 | 9 | Bryana Block 67% (6 pts) | I'Xana Winters 33% (3 pts) | Bryana Block 38% (5 misses) | Sydnei Marshall 38% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 0-7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Aaliyah Taylor 43% (3 misses) | Bryana Block 43% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 3-15 | 20.0 | 9 | I'Xana Winters 67% (6 pts) | Bryana Block 33% (3 pts) | Bryana Block 42% (5 misses) | Aaliyah Taylor 8% (1 misses) |