🐻⬇️🏀

Mississippi Val.

Season: 2026 2025
Also known as: Mississippi Val.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1032 (#239) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1067 (#214) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1008 (#382) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +13.2 (#184) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.989 (#175) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.0 More → 0.799 (#232) AdjNet +12.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.4 More → 0.793 (#235) AdjNet +11.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 68.8 More → 0.671 (#249) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 68.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 72.6 More → 0.609 (#200) AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 72.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.761 (#138) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.726 (#167) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1088 (#210) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-05 vs MUW W 97 - 61

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Michael James - 1 40.0 35.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 22.0 23.0 - - - 50.0 47.1 83.3 - 71.0 68.2
Daniel Mayfield - 1 27.6 13.0 12.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 16.0 - - - 54.5 0.0 100.0 - 56.8 54.5
Lamont Sams - 1 19.4 13.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 18.0 - - - 60.0 50.0 75.0 - 76.3 70.0
Samuel Murray - 1 10.9 10.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Antonio Sisk - 1 25.6 8.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 9.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Patrick Punch - 1 26.6 6.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 0.0 - - - 22.2 28.6 0 - 33.3 33.3
Delkedric Holmes - 1 22.3 5.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 10.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 51.2 50.0
Tyrone Iroghama - 1 10.3 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 100.0 0 0.0 - 69.4 100.0
Chance Sutton - 1 10.9 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 5.0 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 79.8 100.0
Mussa Mzein - 1 5.1 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jonathan Pace - 1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG