Mississippi State
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1558 (#32) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +36.0 (#40) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.792 (#11) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.916 (#7) | AdjNet +20.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.917 (#7) | AdjNet +20.8 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-22 | vs | Tennessee-Martin | W | 90 - 74 |
| 2003-11-26 | vs | South Alabama | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2003-12-01 | vs | McNeese State | W | 92 - 69 |
| 2003-12-03 | vs | Louisiana-Monroe | W | 76 - 52 |
| 2003-12-06 | vs | UAB | L | 84 - 86 |
| 2003-12-13 | vs | Xavier | L | 70 - 82 |
| 2003-12-16 | @ | - | W | 77 - 59 |
| 2004-01-03 | @ | - | L | 58 - 68 |
| 2004-01-10 | vs | Mississippi State | W | 80 - 62 |
| 2004-01-13 | vs | Mississippi State | L | 66 - 67 |
| 2004-01-21 | @ | - | L | 68 - 79 |
| 2004-01-24 | vs | Mississippi State | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2004-01-28 | vs | Tennessee | L | 60 - 82 |
| 2004-01-31 | @ | - | L | 68 - 73 |
| 2004-02-07 | vs | Mississippi | W | 80 - 56 |
| 2004-02-14 | @ | - | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2004-02-21 | vs | Mississippi State | L | 73 - 77 |
| 2004-02-25 | vs | Louisiana State | W | 84 - 58 |
| 2004-03-02 | vs | Mississippi State | W | 105 - 91 |
| 2004-03-06 | @ | - | L | 81 - 82 |
| 2004-03-12 | @ | - | L | 70 - 74 |
| 2004-03-19 | @ | - | W | 85 - 52 |
| 2004-03-21 | @ | - | L | 74 - 89 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Roberts | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Timmy Bowers | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Winsome Frazier | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Shane Power | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Branden Vincent | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Marcus Campbell | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Gary Ervin | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Wesley Morgan | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dietric Slater | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dennis Buse | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Piotr Stelmach | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Lincoln Smith | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Michael Boler | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Billy Begley | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Errol Bennett | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG