Mississippi State
2026 Team Stats (31 games)
78.1
PPG
82.8
Opp
-4.3
Margin
45.2%
FG%
32.5%
3P%
66.6%
FT%
38.2
RPG
12.9
APG
11.8
TO
83.4
Pace
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 967 (#204) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1078 (#108) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 948 (#257) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.7 (#94) | - |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.9 (#111) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.320 (#259) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.623 (#99) | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.457 (#224) | - |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1041 (#145) | - |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Hubbard
|
G | 30 | 34.4 | 23.0 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 18.1 | 10.0 | -96 | -4.0 | -8.7 | 42.9 | 34.8 | 76.4 | -0.14 | 55.8 | 51.4 |
J. Epps
|
- | 28 | 26.9 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 11.7 | 5.2 | -18 | -0.9 | -1.4 | 41.0 | 31.0 | 80.6 | -0.06 | 52.6 | 49.1 |
J. McGhee
|
- | 30 | 21.5 | 8.3 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 61 | 2.8 | 5.1 | 42.0 | 41.0 | 67.7 | 1.02 | 52.9 | 49.8 |
Q. Ballard
|
C | 30 | 20.4 | 6.8 | 6.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4.7 | 9.3 | 47 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 60.3 | 0 | 68.8 | 0.56 | 62.6 | 60.3 |
A. Achor
|
- | 30 | 18.3 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 8.1 | -26 | -1.2 | -3.1 | 44.2 | 28.8 | 70.4 | 0.26 | 53.7 | 49.7 |
S. Jones Jr.
|
G | 29 | 25.8 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 6.8 | 13 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 41.6 | 30.3 | 65.6 | 0.33 | 51.3 | 48.9 |
King Grace
|
- | 24 | 12.2 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -23 | -1.4 | -5.2 | 43.8 | 31.9 | 82.1 | -0.25 | 56.3 | 51.6 |
B. Walker
|
- | 18 | 8.6 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.6 | 3.4 | -26 | -1.2 | -6.8 | 53.1 | 33.3 | 48.0 | 0.02 | 56.0 | 56.2 |
Sergej Macura
|
- | 26 | 18.3 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 67 | 3.7 | 8.0 | 56.5 | 35.3 | 39.4 | 1.17 | 57.7 | 59.8 |
A. Ali
|
G | 11 | 7.6 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 21 | 1.9 | 10.1 | 34.2 | 30.8 | 57.1 | 0.19 | 46.3 | 44.7 |
Jamarion Davis-Fleming
|
- | 30 | 20.0 | 3.5 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 8.0 | -65 | -3.0 | -6.7 | 71.0 | 0 | 34.0 | -0.63 | 62.1 | 71.0 |
D. Warren
|
G | 18 | 7.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 9 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 33.3 | 14.3 | 25.0 | -0.01 | 37.3 | 38.1 |
G. Chol
|
C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Cameren Paul
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | -0.0 | - | - |
Tee Bartlett
|
C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG