Mississippi Col.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 889 (#456) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 938 (#373) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 957 (#546) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.7 (#212) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.9 (#411) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.375 (#413) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.250 (#347) | NetEff -8.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.605 (#356) | AdjNet +3.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.616 (#352) | AdjNet +4.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.571 (#342) | AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 61.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.364 (#568) | AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 67.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.407 (#443) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.398 (#451) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 912 (#354) | RD 102 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Clark Atlanta | W | 74 - 72 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Spring Hill | L | 59 - 67 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Henderson St. | L | 67 - 83 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Ouachita Baptist | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Ark.-Monticello | L | 50 - 59 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Christian Brothers | W | 75 - 44 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Union (TN) | L | 72 - 113 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | AUM | W | 61 - 55 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Montevallo | L | 59 - 70 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | West Ala. | W | 75 - 62 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Valdosta St. | L | 57 - 83 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 56 - 81 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Delta St. | W | 69 - 62 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Union (TN) | L | 53 - 84 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Montevallo | W | 60 - 52 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | AUM | W | 82 - 80 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | West Ala. | L | 62 - 69 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | UAH | L | 39 - 83 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nia Coleman | - | 17 | 27.9 | 12.1 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 10.4 | 7.2 | -84 | -4.0 | -19.4 | 43.5 | 33.3 | 67.9 | 2.61 | 51.2 | 47.7 |
| Valencia McFall | - | 18 | 24.3 | 11.9 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 10.9 | 6.7 | -30 | -1.4 | -7.7 | 40.3 | 34.0 | 67.9 | 0.61 | 48.5 | 44.9 |
| Vivian Sketoe | - | 18 | 26.0 | 9.9 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 8.7 | 4.9 | -55 | -2.6 | -11.5 | 42.3 | 32.2 | 59.4 | -2.32 | 52.6 | 51.3 |
| Karly Ivy | - | 15 | 22.7 | 8.3 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 4.8 | -62 | -3.3 | -14.4 | 36.2 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 0.8 | 43.6 | 39.6 |
| Mariam Olawoyin | - | 17 | 20.2 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 5.0 | 2.8 | -67 | -3.4 | -24.4 | 43.5 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -1.41 | 47.4 | 44.7 |
| Ava Craddock | - | 15 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 5.8 | 1.7 | -101 | -5.9 | -29.8 | 23.0 | 19.2 | 50.0 | -0.16 | 31.3 | 28.7 |
| Abigail Winslow | - | 18 | 13.9 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 4.9 | -67 | -3.2 | -28.8 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 71.9 | -1.92 | 54.2 | 45.5 |
| Keller Bigham | - | 12 | 16.3 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 2.1 | -71 | -4.4 | -30.6 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 62.5 | -2.08 | 30.2 | 27.7 |
| Gabby Collier | - | 14 | 8.0 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 1.5 | -27 | -1.7 | -18.1 | 38.9 | 29.4 | 35.7 | 1.78 | 45.1 | 45.8 |
| Lyla Cox | - | 3 | 8.2 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.7 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 40.0 | 0 | -2.34 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Taleah Anderson | - | 16 | 8.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1.6 | -27 | -1.4 | -24.6 | 38.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.67 | 44.7 | 38.5 |
| Channing Lane | - | 15 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.7 | -57 | -3.4 | -55.4 | 48.3 | 15.4 | 0.0 | -1.81 | 50.2 | 51.7 |
| Joy Mayani | - | 11 | 6.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | -55 | -4.2 | -98.7 | 38.9 | 0.0 | 44.4 | -1.5 | 41.0 | 38.9 |
| Shauna Fletcher | - | 5 | 9.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 46 | 4.6 | 52.1 | 18.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.16 | 23.5 | 18.2 |
| Faith Quick | - | 18 | 12.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 | -45 | -2.1 | -18.7 | 15.6 | 10.0 | 57.1 | -1.82 | 24.9 | 17.2 |
| Addy Bernhard | - | 3 | 5.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.76 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Brooklyn Wakefield | - | 13 | 5.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | -47 | -3.4 | -76.4 | 22.2 | 11.1 | 0 | -2.95 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Faith Munholland | - | 4 | 6.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.91 | 56.8 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG