🐻⬇️🏀

Mississippi Col.

Also known as: Mississippi Col.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 889 (#456) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 938 (#373) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 957 (#546) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -3.7 (#212) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -2.9 (#411) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.375 (#413) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.6 More → 0.250 (#347) NetEff -8.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.7 More → 0.605 (#356) AdjNet +3.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.0 More → 0.616 (#352) AdjNet +4.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 61.9 More → 0.571 (#342) AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 61.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 67.2 More → 0.364 (#568) AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 67.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.407 (#443) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.398 (#451) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 21 More → 912 (#354) RD 102 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Clark Atlanta W 74 - 72
2025-11-15 @ Spring Hill L 59 - 67
2025-11-19 @ Henderson St. L 67 - 83
2025-11-20 @ Ouachita Baptist L 70 - 77
2025-11-25 vs Ark.-Monticello L 50 - 59
2025-12-04 vs Christian Brothers W 75 - 44
2025-12-06 vs Union (TN) L 72 - 113
2025-12-11 @ AUM W 61 - 55
2025-12-13 @ Montevallo L 59 - 70
2025-12-20 vs West Ala. W 75 - 62
2026-01-02 @ Valdosta St. L 57 - 83
2026-01-10 vs Trevecca Nazarene L 56 - 81
2026-01-17 vs Delta St. W 69 - 62
2026-01-22 @ Union (TN) L 53 - 84
2026-01-29 vs Montevallo W 60 - 52
2026-01-31 vs AUM W 82 - 80
2026-02-05 @ West Ala. L 62 - 69
2026-02-07 @ UAH L 39 - 83

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nia Coleman - 17 27.9 12.1 4.6 1.4 1.3 0.2 1.9 10.4 7.2 -84 -4.0 -19.4 43.5 33.3 67.9 2.61 51.2 47.7
Valencia McFall - 18 24.3 11.9 5.1 0.9 0.9 0.4 1.7 10.9 6.7 -30 -1.4 -7.7 40.3 34.0 67.9 0.61 48.5 44.9
Vivian Sketoe - 18 26.0 9.9 2.1 2.1 1.7 0.1 2.3 8.7 4.9 -55 -2.6 -11.5 42.3 32.2 59.4 -2.32 52.6 51.3
Karly Ivy - 15 22.7 8.3 3.5 1.7 1.2 0.0 1.3 8.7 4.8 -62 -3.3 -14.4 36.2 25.0 75.0 0.8 43.6 39.6
Mariam Olawoyin - 17 20.2 5.2 3.4 1.1 1.1 0.1 2.9 5.0 2.8 -67 -3.4 -24.4 43.5 25.0 66.7 -1.41 47.4 44.7
Ava Craddock - 15 18.0 4.0 3.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.6 5.8 1.7 -101 -5.9 -29.8 23.0 19.2 50.0 -0.16 31.3 28.7
Abigail Winslow - 18 13.9 3.5 3.0 0.9 1.2 0.0 1.2 2.4 4.9 -67 -3.2 -28.8 45.5 0.0 71.9 -1.92 54.2 45.5
Keller Bigham - 12 16.3 3.0 3.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.7 4.7 2.1 -71 -4.4 -30.6 25.0 12.0 62.5 -2.08 30.2 27.7
Gabby Collier - 14 8.0 2.7 0.9 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.2 2.6 1.5 -27 -1.7 -18.1 38.9 29.4 35.7 1.78 45.1 45.8
Lyla Cox - 3 8.2 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 2.7 -1.0 - - - 37.5 40.0 0 -2.34 50.0 50.0
Taleah Anderson - 16 8.1 2.4 1.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 2.4 1.6 -27 -1.4 -24.6 38.5 0.0 100.0 -0.67 44.7 38.5
Channing Lane - 15 7.1 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.7 1.9 0.7 -57 -3.4 -55.4 48.3 15.4 0.0 -1.81 50.2 51.7
Joy Mayani - 11 6.9 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.7 -55 -4.2 -98.7 38.9 0.0 44.4 -1.5 41.0 38.9
Shauna Fletcher - 5 9.3 1.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.2 0.8 46 4.6 52.1 18.2 0.0 50.0 -0.16 23.5 18.2
Faith Quick - 18 12.9 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.9 1.8 1.1 -45 -2.1 -18.7 15.6 10.0 57.1 -1.82 24.9 17.2
Addy Bernhard - 3 5.9 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.7 9 3.0 15.0 33.3 50.0 0 1.76 50.0 50.0
Brooklyn Wakefield - 13 5.9 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.4 0.4 -47 -3.4 -76.4 22.2 11.1 0 -2.95 25.0 25.0
Faith Munholland - 4 6.1 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 - - - 0 0 50.0 -1.91 56.8 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG