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Mississippi Col.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Mississippi Col.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1019 (#162) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1035 (#206) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 872 (#553) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +3.7 (#187) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -9.9 (#459) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.269 (#454) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +54.1 More → 0.995 (#71) NetEff +54.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.0 More → 0.528 (#407) AdjNet +1.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.0 More → 0.529 (#405) AdjNet +1.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 73.8 More → 0.535 (#389) AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 73.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 77.3 More → 0.318 (#528) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 77.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.265 (#500) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.262 (#506) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 26 More → 869 (#397) RD 95 | GP 26

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Central St. (OH) L 64 - 69
2025-11-15 @ Albany St. (GA) W 84 - 80
2025-11-17 @ Wayne St. (NE) L 58 - 95
2025-11-18 vs Tougaloo W 75 - 74
2025-11-20 vs Belhaven W 103 - 78
2025-11-25 @ Southern Ark. L 76 - 95
2025-11-25 @ Newman L 55 - 85
2025-11-29 @ Fort Hays St. L 44 - 92
2025-11-29 @ Northeastern St. L 68 - 86
2025-12-04 vs Christian Brothers W 84 - 76
2025-12-06 vs Union (TN) W 81 - 75
2025-12-11 @ AUM W 82 - 78
2025-12-13 @ Montevallo L 62 - 89
2025-12-18 @ Winston-Salem L 53 - 90
2025-12-18 vs UAH L 68 - 72
2025-12-20 vs West Ala. L 53 - 77
2026-01-02 @ Valdosta St. W 103 - 89
2026-01-04 @ West Florida L 77 - 90
2026-01-08 vs Lee W 97 - 87
2026-01-10 vs Trevecca Nazarene L 68 - 85
2026-01-12 @ Southern Wesleyan L 74 - 88
2026-01-17 vs Delta St. W 69 - 65
2026-01-22 @ Union (TN) L 68 - 74
2026-01-29 vs Montevallo L 54 - 76
2026-01-31 vs AUM L 74 - 76
2026-02-05 @ West Ala. L 53 - 73

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Janus Shepherd - 1 24.1 17.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 9.0 - - - 44.4 50.0 100.0 - 73.0 61.1
Marcel Bridges - 10 29.4 15.9 5.3 1.0 0.8 0.4 3.2 11.7 8.5 -48 -4.8 -36.4 53.8 26.1 65.9 0.61 58.9 56.4
Phil Nelson - 21 34.2 15.1 3.0 2.3 1.1 0.1 2.0 9.4 10.2 -80 -3.8 -21.0 49.0 44.3 75.0 -2.93 62.3 55.8
Avaughn Johnson - 21 31.7 14.6 9.7 2.1 0.7 1.0 1.9 10.2 16.0 -88 -4.2 -22.7 45.8 33.3 74.4 -2.29 57.8 51.4
DeMarcus Powe - 21 31.1 11.5 3.0 2.1 0.9 0.0 1.2 11.3 5.0 -22 -1.0 -6.5 40.1 32.7 73.9 -1.95 49.0 47.5
Tyus Williams - 2 24.9 8.5 4.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 8.0 5.5 42 3.2 14.5 37.5 25.0 66.7 3.23 45.6 40.6
Jake Harper - 2 17.1 7.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 7.5 2.0 - - - 46.7 25.0 0.0 - 48.6 50.0
Nikko Trafton - 2 17.2 7.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 5.5 - - - 50.0 0.0 60.0 - 52.8 50.0
Cody Mericle - 2 12.3 7.5 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 - - - 60.0 40.0 100.0 - 71.8 70.0
MJ Smith - 17 18.8 6.8 4.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.9 6.8 4.6 34 1.6 7.3 40.0 27.3 48.4 0.2 45.1 43.9
Tatum Pierce - 2 18.4 6.5 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 9.0 2.0 - - - 27.8 42.9 0 - 36.1 36.1
Micah Lovett - 3 21.6 6.3 2.7 0.3 0.7 0.3 2.7 5.7 2.0 - - - 41.2 33.3 80.0 - 49.5 44.1
Janai Williams - 2 14.8 6.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 0.5 87 4.0 28.7 35.7 0.0 66.7 -0.22 39.2 35.7
Terrance Williams - 2 10.4 5.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 42 3.2 14.5 66.7 66.7 100.0 3.23 85.4 83.3
Derrick Bolden - 1 16.7 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 -1.0 - - - 25.0 50.0 0.0 - 29.6 31.2
Judah Land - 21 23.3 4.8 4.5 0.9 0.3 0.8 1.1 4.0 6.1 -8 -0.3 -2.6 48.8 23.5 73.7 -2.65 54.1 51.2
Jordan Carter - 3 23.0 4.7 2.3 2.7 0.3 0.0 3.0 7.3 -0.3 -35 -3.9 -60.7 18.2 25.0 55.6 -0.67 27.0 20.5
Brody Davis - 16 14.4 4.6 3.1 0.8 0.4 0.4 1.6 3.6 4.2 -4 -0.3 -5.0 49.1 25.0 51.6 -0.62 52.4 50.9
Stewart Clough - 2 24.0 4.5 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 0.5 - - - 25.0 16.7 0 - 28.1 28.1
Tremaine Dixon - 21 19.9 4.5 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 5.2 2.9 -104 -4.3 -29.9 29.4 22.5 77.8 -0.62 40.2 36.7
Jakob Vigneault - 21 14.9 4.4 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.8 4.0 2.4 22 1.1 24.6 39.3 37.8 57.1 1.22 49.3 47.6
Landon Gray - 3 23.3 4.3 0.7 1.7 0.7 0.0 2.0 5.0 0.3 - - - 33.3 42.9 0 - 43.3 43.3
Amari George - 10 7.8 4.1 2.9 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 2.1 5.1 13 1.0 24.3 81.0 100.0 60.0 1.66 80.7 83.3
Uriah Logan - 1 12.1 4.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Keondre Rodgers - 2 15.2 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.5 1.5 - - - 42.9 20.0 0.0 - 47.0 50.0
Jaxon Hurla - 2 15.6 3.0 1.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.5 1.0 - - - 11.1 16.7 100.0 - 29.1 16.7
Xavier Lucas - 2 8.8 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.5 2.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 66.7 - 39.3 20.0
Marcus Bauman - 3 14.7 2.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 3.7 -0.3 - - - 27.3 25.0 0 - 36.4 36.4
Elijah Dias - 2 8.8 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.5 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Dylan Gansel - 3 7.1 1.7 1.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.3 - - - 33.3 20.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
Efe Tahmaz - 10 5.7 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.4 0.4 16 1.8 25.0 35.7 27.3 0 1.47 46.4 46.4
Edwin Lloyd II - 3 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.7 - - - 33.3 0 100.0 - 51.5 33.3
Samuel Boyd - 2 13.3 1.0 3.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 5.5 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Carlos Raven - 2 7.2 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
John Ridger - 4 3.2 1.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.5 9 3.0 102.4 40.0 0.0 0 1.27 40.0 40.0
Wesley Chapman - 5 3.5 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 -0.4 - - - 20.0 0.0 50.0 - 29.6 20.0
Will Schmidt - 3 9.5 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.7 2.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 7.3 0.0
Keith Shakes Jr. - 1 10.5 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -5.0 78 3.9 39.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.64 0.0 0.0
William Andrews - 2 2.4 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.0 -2.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Dakotah Hillard - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Isaac Ratliff - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Skylen Williams - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 171 8.1 31.0 0 0 0 2.38 0 0
Fred Criqui - 2 18.3 0.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.5 3.0 -2.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG