Minot St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 945 (#279) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 942 (#239) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.8 (#139) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.271 (#452) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.173 (#315) | NetEff -12.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.726 (#313) | AdjNet +8.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.743 (#309) | AdjNet +9.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.631 (#304) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 62.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-01 | vs | Union (TN) | L | 64 - 86 |
| 2024-11-02 | @ | Findlay | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Black Hills St. | L | 57 - 83 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Jamestown | L | 64 - 81 |
| 2024-11-21 | vs | Mayville St. | L | 63 - 79 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | L | 51 - 65 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | L | 63 - 70 |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | St. Cloud St. | L | 51 - 63 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Bemidji St. | W | 57 - 47 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Mary | L | 69 - 89 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | MSU Moorhead | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Northern St. | L | 52 - 78 |
| 2025-01-03 | vs | Winona St. | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Minnesota St. | L | 78 - 95 |
| 2025-01-10 | @ | Sioux Falls | L | 73 - 96 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Southwest Minn. St. | L | 57 - 84 |
| 2025-01-17 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | L | 45 - 63 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Augustana (SD) | W | 69 - 55 |
| 2025-01-24 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 40 - 93 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Minn. Duluth | W | 58 - 48 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Minn.-Crookston | W | 59 - 56 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Northern St. | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | MSU Moorhead | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | St. Cloud St. | L | 62 - 72 |
| 2025-02-14 | @ | Minnesota St. | L | 54 - 92 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Aguilar | - | 25 | 31.1 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 9.4 | 5.4 | -122 | -3.0 | -2.9 | 41.1 | 37.0 | 76.1 | -0.49 | 54.4 | 51.7 |
| Emma Mogen | - | 25 | 28.1 | 10.7 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 9.6 | 8.0 | -53 | -1.8 | -1.8 | 39.4 | 31.2 | 67.5 | 0.14 | 48.6 | 44.6 |
| Sydney Gustavsson | - | 25 | 28.1 | 10.1 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 9.5 | 4.9 | -64 | -2.1 | -2.3 | 34.5 | 30.9 | 62.2 | -0.16 | 46.2 | 42.4 |
| Jessica Mogen | - | 25 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 8.0 | 5.3 | -40 | -1.0 | -1.1 | 40.3 | 16.9 | 72.2 | 0.24 | 45.9 | 43.0 |
| Lara Dobbins | - | 12 | 20.1 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 6.2 | 2.8 | -167 | -7.3 | -8.4 | 45.9 | 42.9 | 54.5 | -1.07 | 54.5 | 54.1 |
| Lorelei Mciver | - | 1 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.14 | 71.7 | 75.0 |
| Jaime Skeggs | - | 22 | 16.2 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 2.5 | -134 | -3.5 | -6.9 | 35.0 | 30.0 | 89.5 | -0.79 | 48.4 | 44.0 |
| Taylor Goss | - | 19 | 17.1 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 1.9 | -7 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 83.3 | 0.2 | 46.0 | 40.2 |
| Natalie Holte | - | 11 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | -24 | -3.4 | -18.9 | 46.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.28 | 69.1 | 60.0 |
| Cassidy King | - | 25 | 14.8 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2.4 | -40 | -1.4 | -2.7 | 42.0 | 20.0 | 52.9 | -0.01 | 47.0 | 45.0 |
| Katie Aberle | - | 25 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 0.7 | -16 | -0.6 | -1.3 | 26.5 | 22.9 | 50.0 | 0.08 | 35.4 | 34.6 |
| Ashley Wacha | - | 25 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | -13 | -0.6 | -5.0 | 32.3 | 46.7 | 64.7 | -0.09 | 49.4 | 43.5 |
| Taury Hight | - | 25 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | -29 | -1.4 | -12.5 | 56.2 | 37.5 | 50.0 | -0.09 | 65.2 | 65.6 |
| Grace Kent | - | 25 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | -25 | -1.4 | -11.7 | 55.6 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.34 | 60.7 | 55.6 |
| Skylar Smith | - | 20 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 26 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.23 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Amya Gourneau | - | 21 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Mia Aberle | - | 23 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.1 | -14 | -1.4 | -14.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -0.12 | 15.1 | 0.0 |
| Tiyahna Trottier | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -26 | -2.0 | -2.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG