Minot St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1017 (#165) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1059 (#117) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.4 (#46) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.694 (#220) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.754 (#94) | NetEff +10.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.905 (#126) | AdjNet +19.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.909 (#126) | AdjNet +19.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.797 (#123) | AdjO 83.7 | AdjD 68.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Noll | - | 1 | 37.0 | 32.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | -91 | -2.4 | -6.2 | 68.8 | 80.0 | 85.7 | 0.52 | 83.9 | 81.2 |
| Jay Saunders | - | 1 | 34.0 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | -171 | -6.3 | -11.5 | 78.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.13 | 81.6 | 78.6 |
| Caleb Van De Griend | - | 35 | 30.3 | 20.9 | 13.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 11.4 | 23.6 | 7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 71.0 | 50.0 | 81.7 | 1.81 | 75.9 | 72.4 |
| Ayouba Berthe | - | 35 | 29.5 | 13.2 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 10.7 | 7.7 | 62 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 42.2 | 39.6 | 76.9 | -0.83 | 54.8 | 50.7 |
| Jalen Cook | - | 35 | 31.3 | 12.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 10.9 | 6.8 | 162 | 4.9 | 10.3 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 81.2 | -0.22 | 55.0 | 52.0 |
| Jaxon Gunville | - | 35 | 29.9 | 11.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 9.6 | 4.9 | -43 | -1.5 | -2.8 | 39.5 | 37.1 | 88.9 | 0.94 | 56.0 | 54.5 |
| Sam West | - | 35 | 30.0 | 10.1 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 8.6 | 10.4 | 18 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 46.2 | 37.1 | 63.6 | 2.68 | 52.7 | 50.5 |
| Kai Smith | - | 1 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.69 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Sean Stokes | - | 1 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | -1.0 | -37 | -1.4 | -2.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.6 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Jaden Wysocki | - | 35 | 12.9 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 3.2 | -50 | -2.2 | -10.7 | 49.5 | 45.8 | 68.2 | 0.09 | 57.5 | 55.4 |
| Daryl Rice Jr | - | 35 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 2.9 | - | - | - | 39.1 | 41.2 | 75.9 | - | 52.1 | 47.1 |
| Trey Brandt | - | 35 | 9.6 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 60 | 4.6 | 37.9 | 35.7 | 33.3 | 88.0 | -0.13 | 53.1 | 45.7 |
| Dylan Gichaba | - | 35 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 48 | 1.5 | 21.1 | 42.9 | 8.3 | 53.6 | 0.04 | 46.5 | 43.7 |
| JJ Ferrin | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -50 | -1.3 | -3.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.06 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Cody McCullough | - | 1 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -113 | -5.9 | -12.8 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.13 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Lual Lual | - | 34 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 30 | 5.0 | 130.9 | 70.0 | 0 | 70.0 | -0.89 | 72.9 | 70.0 |
| Braelyn Dale | - | 34 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 61 | 8.7 | 357.9 | 62.5 | 40.0 | 0.0 | -0.99 | 67.6 | 75.0 |
| Max Groom | - | 32 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | -4 | -1.0 | -16.2 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.86 | 27.6 | 25.0 |
| Rron Radoniqi | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Carson Yale | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nassir Binion | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -38 | -3.8 | -66.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.59 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Blum | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 50 | 3.8 | 18.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.04 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Landon Classen | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -17 | -1.4 | -11.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.19 | 0 | 0 |
| Noah Erickson | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -0.4 | -0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 |
| Evan Inselman | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.81 | 0 | 0 |
| Aiden Sullivan | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -10 | -5.0 | -98.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Wade Voss | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -26 | -2.4 | -304.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.29 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG