Minot St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1017 (#165) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1059 (#117) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +13.4 (#46) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.694 (#220) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.754 (#94) | NetEff +10.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.905 (#126) | AdjNet +19.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.909 (#126) | AdjNet +19.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.797 (#123) | AdjO 83.7 | AdjD 68.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Van De Griend | - | 36 | 29.9 | 20.3 | 12.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 11.1 | 23.1 | - | - | - | - | 70.8 | 47.8 | 81.4 | - | 75.7 | 72.2 |
| Ayouba Berthe | - | 36 | 29.7 | 13.2 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 10.7 | 7.6 | - | - | - | - | 42.3 | 39.4 | 77.5 | - | 55.0 | 50.8 |
| Jalen Cook | - | 36 | 31.4 | 12.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 11.0 | 6.8 | - | - | - | - | 42.3 | 32.4 | 80.3 | - | 54.3 | 51.1 |
| Jaxon Gunville | - | 36 | 30.0 | 11.7 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 9.9 | 5.2 | - | - | - | - | 40.2 | 38.4 | 86.2 | - | 57.2 | 55.8 |
| Sam West | - | 36 | 29.9 | 9.9 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 8.4 | 10.5 | - | - | - | - | 46.1 | 36.6 | 63.6 | - | 52.5 | 50.3 |
| Jaden Wysocki | - | 36 | 12.8 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 3.2 | - | - | - | - | 48.9 | 45.8 | 68.2 | - | 56.9 | 54.8 |
| Daryl Rice Jr | - | 36 | 13.4 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 2.9 | - | - | - | - | 39.3 | 42.9 | 75.9 | - | 52.6 | 47.8 |
| Trey Brandt | - | 36 | 9.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 35.7 | 33.3 | 88.0 | - | 53.1 | 45.7 |
| Dylan Gichaba | - | 36 | 8.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 2.4 | - | - | - | - | 42.9 | 8.3 | 53.6 | - | 46.5 | 43.7 |
| Lual Lual | - | 35 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 70.0 | 0 | 70.0 | - | 72.9 | 70.0 |
| Braelyn Dale | - | 35 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 62.5 | 40.0 | 0.0 | - | 67.6 | 75.0 |
| Max Groom | - | 33 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 20.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 27.6 | 25.0 |
| Carson Yale | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Rron Radoniqi | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG