Minot St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1017 (#165) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 950 (#344) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 941 (#494) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.6 (#178) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.7 (#195) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.694 (#220) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.980 (#119) | NetEff +37.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.905 (#126) | AdjNet +19.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.909 (#126) | AdjNet +19.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.797 (#123) | AdjO 83.7 | AdjD 68.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.562 (#190) | AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 73.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.565 (#271) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.555 (#272) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 900 (#358) | RD 94 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Southeastern Okla. | W | 78 - 76 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | East Central | L | 67 - 78 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Bismarck St. | W | 105 - 72 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Mont. St. Billings | W | 95 - 90 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Mary | L | 73 - 78 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Black Hills St. | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | South Dakota Mines | L | 79 - 84 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Jamestown | W | 85 - 78 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Northern St. | W | 91 - 79 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | MSU Moorhead | L | 79 - 90 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Minn. Duluth | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Bemidji St. | W | 89 - 83 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Mary | W | 86 - 83 |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | St. Cloud St. | L | 57 - 71 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Minnesota St. | L | 67 - 72 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Southwest Minn. St. | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Sioux Falls | L | 73 - 95 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Augustana (SD) | L | 75 - 82 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Wayne St. (NE) | L | 77 - 85 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 88 - 91 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Winona St. | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Bemidji St. | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Minn. Duluth | W | 85 - 83 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deuce Benjamin | - | 24 | 31.5 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 14.7 | 8.8 | -48 | -2.0 | -8.3 | 41.8 | 35.4 | 79.1 | -1.0 | 55.6 | 49.9 |
| Sean de kovachich | - | 5 | 26.3 | 15.2 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 9.4 | 3 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 50.9 | 36.4 | 75.0 | 0.2 | 61.3 | 58.2 |
| Darik Dissette | - | 24 | 34.2 | 14.3 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 10.8 | 10.2 | -17 | -2.1 | -2.9 | 50.4 | 18.8 | 73.1 | 1.34 | 55.9 | 51.0 |
| Isaiah Alexander | - | 24 | 30.4 | 12.0 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 10.2 | -12 | -0.5 | -2.3 | 43.8 | 25.0 | 80.0 | 0.53 | 55.3 | 45.3 |
| Carson Yale | - | 24 | 22.2 | 8.4 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 7.9 | -16 | -0.7 | -4.0 | 54.4 | 30.8 | 71.4 | 0.17 | 58.9 | 55.7 |
| Trey Brandt | - | 24 | 20.7 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 5.6 | 3.3 | -40 | -1.7 | -10.9 | 42.2 | 32.4 | 90.9 | 0.9 | 52.6 | 50.7 |
| Kiku Parker Jr | - | 24 | 26.6 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 5.9 | - | - | - | 43.1 | 29.2 | 67.6 | - | 49.5 | 45.9 |
| Parker Falcon | - | 8 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 37.9 | 0 | - | 60.9 | 60.9 |
| Lovasoa Andriatsarafara | - | 24 | 15.4 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 6.2 | -13 | -0.5 | -6.0 | 56.6 | 0.0 | 61.1 | -2.73 | 58.7 | 56.6 |
| Ramsey Walz | - | 1 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Grayson Schaeffer | - | 4 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 0.8 | 7.7 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.05 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Braelyn Dale | - | 8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 12 | 1.5 | 219.8 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.01 | 45.0 | 37.5 |
| Dylan Gichaba | - | 19 | 7.2 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 2.2 | -5 | -0.3 | -5.4 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.12 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Drew Kempel | - | 1 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG