Minnesota
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1505 (#56) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +34.1 (#60) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.272 (#93) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.230 (#95) | AdjNet -10.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.227 (#95) | AdjNet -10.6 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-17 | vs | Kansas City | W | 78 - 67 |
| 2003-11-19 | @ | Utah | L | 54 - 66 |
| 2003-11-30 | vs | Furman | W | 91 - 84 |
| 2003-12-03 | @ | Virginia | L | 78 - 86 |
| 2003-12-06 | vs | Western Illinois | W | 86 - 64 |
| 2003-12-09 | vs | Long Beach State | W | 88 - 58 |
| 2003-12-12 | vs | Oral Roberts | W | 100 - 80 |
| 2003-12-22 | vs | Duquesne | W | 74 - 69 |
| 2003-12-29 | vs | Nebraska | L | 60 - 77 |
| 2004-01-01 | @ | Texas Tech | L | 73 - 90 |
| 2004-01-04 | vs | Wofford | W | 82 - 70 |
| 2004-01-07 | @ | Penn State | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2004-01-10 | vs | Princeton | W | 57 - 53 |
| 2004-01-13 | vs | Iowa | L | 68 - 83 |
| 2004-01-17 | @ | Ohio State | L | 62 - 73 |
| 2004-01-21 | @ | Purdue | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2004-01-24 | vs | Indiana | L | 81 - 86 |
| 2004-01-28 | vs | Michigan State | L | 78 - 79 |
| 2004-01-31 | @ | Northwestern | L | 47 - 61 |
| 2004-02-04 | @ | Wisconsin | L | 66 - 80 |
| 2004-02-08 | vs | Illinois | L | 69 - 79 |
| 2004-02-11 | vs | Michigan | W | 81 - 78 |
| 2004-02-14 | @ | Michigan State | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2004-02-18 | @ | Indiana | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2004-02-21 | vs | Purdue | L | 47 - 65 |
| 2004-02-25 | vs | Ohio State | L | 59 - 70 |
| 2004-02-28 | @ | Iowa | L | 62 - 66 |
| 2004-03-06 | vs | Penn State | W | 78 - 62 |
| 2004-03-11 | N | Purdue | W | 63 - 52 |
| 2004-03-12 | N | Wisconsin | L | 52 - 66 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Humphries | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Ben Johnson | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Adam Boone | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Mike Bauer | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Maurice Hargrow | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Stan Gaines | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jeff Hagen | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Aaron Robinson | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Brent Lawson | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Tyree Bolden | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Matt Smriga | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Aliou Kane | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Wade Hokenson | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Randy Chall | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG