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Minnesota

Also known as: Minnesota Golden Gophers, Minnesota
Program History

Model Outputs

1992-1993
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1322 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1214 (#32) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +108 elo More → 1135 (#23) HCA +108 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More → +15.8 (#16) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More → +16.9 (#14) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.771 (#30) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.3 More → 0.929 (#14) AdjNet +22.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.6 More → 0.931 (#14) AdjNet +22.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 63.8 More → 0.781 (#20) AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 63.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 65.1 More → 0.720 (#16) AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 65.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.842 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.833 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 88 | GP 31 More → 1277 (#17) RD 88 | GP 31

1993 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1992-12-12 vs Middle Tennessee W 88 - 65
1992-12-14 vs UTSA W 93 - 75
1992-12-19 vs Bethune-Cookman W 92 - 50
1992-12-21 vs Tennessee–Martin W 92 - 63
1992-12-23 @ Santa Clara W 87 - 63
1992-12-29 @ Iowa State L 65 - 99
1992-12-31 vs Memphis W 70 - 55
1993-01-02 vs UAB W 74 - 59
1993-01-06 vs Michigan State W 64 - 57
1993-01-09 vs Purdue W 81 - 60
1993-01-13 @ Iowa L 77 - 84
1993-01-16 @ Wisconsin L 70 - 79
1993-01-20 vs Michigan L 73 - 80
1993-01-23 vs Northwestern W 70 - 55
1993-01-27 @ Indiana L 57 - 61
1993-02-03 vs Penn State W 95 - 67
1993-02-06 @ Michigan State L 63 - 75
1993-02-10 @ Purdue L 69 - 75
1993-02-13 vs Iowa W 91 - 85
1993-02-18 vs Wisconsin W 85 - 71
1993-02-20 @ Michigan L 69 - 84
1993-02-24 @ Northwestern W 79 - 60
1993-02-27 vs Indiana L 75 - 86
1993-03-03 vs Illinois W 67 - 65
1993-03-06 @ Penn State W 67 - 41
1993-03-10 @ Ohio State L 58 - 69
1993-03-17 vs Florida W 74 - 66
1993-03-22 vs Oklahoma W 86 - 72
1993-03-24 vs Southern California W 76 - 58
1993-03-29 N Providence W 76 - 70
1993-03-31 N Georgetown W 62 - 61

1993 Roster

No roster data available for this season.