🐻⬇️🏀

Minnesota St.

Also known as: Minnesota St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1030 (#172) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1047 (#179) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +3.6 (#149) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#123) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.775 (#324) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +17.0 More → 0.917 (#68) NetEff +17.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +60.3 More → 0.999 (#41) AdjNet +60.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.3 More → 0.537 (#372) AdjNet +1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +59.4 More → 0.999 (#47) AdjNet +59.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.8 More → 0.524 (#373) AdjNet +0.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 93.1 | AdjD 50.5 More → 0.980 (#33) AdjO 93.1 | AdjD 50.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 62.9 More → 0.503 (#371) AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 62.9

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 vs Asbury W 92 - 80
2024-11-09 @ Roger Williams W 72 - 57
2024-11-13 vs Old Westbury W 84 - 27
2024-11-16 @ Drew W 68 - 49
2024-11-21 vs Valley Forge W 80 - 50
2024-11-26 @ Rowan L 45 - 75
2024-12-04 @ Wm. Paterson L 50 - 66
2024-12-07 vs Rutgers-Newark W 76 - 38
2024-12-11 vs Ramapo W 78 - 30
2024-12-14 @ Rutgers-Camden W 62 - 55
2024-12-17 @ Delaware Valley W 65 - 48
2024-12-30 vs Shenandoah L 70 - 81
2025-01-04 vs Lehman W 74 - 34
2025-01-08 vs New Jersey City W 69 - 59
2025-01-11 @ Stockton W 67 - 54
2025-01-15 @ TCNJ W 62 - 61
2025-01-18 vs Kean W 75 - 60
2025-01-22 vs Rowan W 69 - 61
2025-01-25 @ Rutgers-Newark W 68 - 31
2025-01-29 vs Wm. Paterson W 68 - 54
2025-02-01 vs Rutgers-Camden W 75 - 49
2025-02-05 @ Ramapo W 79 - 48
2025-02-08 vs Stockton W 67 - 61
2025-02-12 @ New Jersey City W 88 - 79
2025-02-15 @ Kean W 80 - 60
2025-02-19 vs TCNJ L 63 - 72
2025-02-26 vs Wm. Paterson W 67 - 55
2025-03-01 @ TCNJ W 72 - 63
2025-03-07 @ Chris. Newport W 67 - 64
2025-03-08 vs SUNY Geneseo L 49 - 71

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kate Novik - 1 33.0 25.0 7.0 8.0 7.0 3.0 4.0 13.0 33.0 - - - 69.2 50.0 85.7 - 77.7 73.1
Grace Kowalski - 1 36.0 18.0 3.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 15.0 8.0 52 1.5 1.5 46.7 16.7 100.0 0.61 55.1 50.0
Chrishawn Coleman - 1 27.0 16.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 10.0 149 4.1 4.5 38.5 25.0 50.0 0.65 46.0 42.3
Alyssa Craigwell - 28 22.5 15.4 5.6 1.0 2.1 1.3 3.3 12.7 9.4 184 4.8 6.2 48.9 36.4 61.5 -0.08 53.8 51.7
Nina Branchizio - 1 40.0 14.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 4.0 72 2.9 2.7 38.5 33.3 0 0.66 53.8 53.8
Olivia Vero - 29 29.3 13.2 8.0 2.2 1.2 1.3 2.4 11.9 11.7 153 5.3 5.1 43.9 0.0 61.1 0.94 47.6 43.9
Michelle Ugwah - 1 33.0 13.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 10.0 10.0 - - - 60.0 0 50.0 - 59.7 60.0
Harley Paynter - 1 29.0 13.0 4.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 5.0 11.0 11.0 - - - 45.5 25.0 50.0 - 54.7 54.5
Brooke McFadden - 1 25.0 13.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 13.0 -58 -1.7 -3.1 55.6 0.0 75.0 -0.53 60.4 55.6
Kuryn Brunson - 1 19.0 11.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 13.0 - - - 62.5 0 50.0 - 61.9 62.5
Alexis Strollo - 29 26.7 9.2 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 1.6 8.0 6.1 142 3.6 4.2 37.1 29.0 64.7 0.18 49.6 45.7
Myla Benton - 1 22.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 4.0 - - - 57.1 0.0 0 - 57.1 57.1
Arianna McCleod - 1 30.0 8.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 6.0 44 1.8 2.0 25.0 25.0 0 0.38 33.3 33.3
Amanda Baylock - 1 23.0 8.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 5.0 -69 -2.2 -3.3 60.0 50.0 100.0 -0.39 73.5 70.0
Shannon Hughes - 29 20.5 7.4 2.1 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.7 7.3 3.2 133 3.4 5.1 37.3 30.9 71.4 0.3 48.8 47.4
Sophie Beneventine - 27 25.7 6.4 5.7 5.7 2.0 0.9 3.0 6.3 11.4 102 3.8 4.1 40.2 24.4 51.9 0.49 45.3 43.5
Brianna Montajes - 28 17.2 4.9 2.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 1.8 4.0 3.9 73 2.6 4.6 42.3 18.8 72.7 0.48 50.7 43.7
Kalise Hill - 1 8.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Amanda Castro - 29 10.3 3.6 2.0 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.9 4.4 2.1 11 0.4 1.1 31.5 19.4 52.9 -0.13 38.3 37.0
Madison Marcotte - 29 19.5 2.0 2.5 1.8 1.0 0.0 1.1 1.8 4.4 101 2.7 4.5 43.1 28.6 50.0 0.37 47.0 45.1
Isabella Orlando - 29 7.4 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.5 2.7 0.7 63 1.7 6.0 25.6 28.0 66.7 -0.28 36.0 34.6
Daja Wentz - 20 6.0 2.0 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.9 1.9 0.6 - - - 34.2 14.3 68.4 - 43.1 35.5
Katie Dike - 1 15.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Lyndsey Ross - 28 4.6 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.0 42 2.0 10.9 35.7 20.0 66.7 0.42 41.4 39.3
Samantha Phillip - 28 4.8 1.2 1.2 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.6 1.1 147 6.1 13.5 29.5 11.8 55.6 1.27 34.4 31.8
Malvina Sullivan - 28 2.6 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 48 2.3 12.0 26.3 30.0 75.0 -0.09 38.5 34.2
Salange Bell - 26 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 - - - 30.8 50.0 50.0 - 39.6 38.5
Kristina Turner - 28 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 39 3.2 24.7 30.8 25.0 50.0 0.31 39.6 38.5
Clare Saalfield - 10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Victoria Grygus - 10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alyse Holliman - 1 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
Veronika Korchagina - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alyssa Berry - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Maia Rosarion - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Celeste Reed - 1 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Marie' Perdew - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Aileen Marquez - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.39 0 0
Aaliyah Holmes - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -23 -2.1 -4.3 0 0 0 -0.27 0 0
Jenna Hampton - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Vicotria Grygus - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Maddie Bernhardt - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -54 -1.9 -6.6 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0
Myah Hourigan-Hutton - 1 23.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 11 0.3 0.4 0.0 0 0 -0.17 0.0 0.0
Tireya Wyatt - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19 1.4 8.9 0 0 0 0.12 0 0
Cassidy Brown - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 18 0.6 1.6 0 0 0 0.78 0 0
Katie Fricker - 1 17.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 38 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.0 0 0.34 0.0 0.0
Olivia Magee - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -45 -2.5 -11.4 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG