Minnesota St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1030 (#172) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1047 (#179) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.6 (#149) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#123) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.775 (#324) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.917 (#68) | NetEff +17.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.999 (#41) | AdjNet +60.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.537 (#372) | AdjNet +1.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.999 (#47) | AdjNet +59.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.524 (#373) | AdjNet +0.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.980 (#33) | AdjO 93.1 | AdjD 50.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.503 (#371) | AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 62.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-04 | vs | Asbury | W | 92 - 80 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Roger Williams | W | 72 - 57 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Old Westbury | W | 84 - 27 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Drew | W | 68 - 49 |
| 2024-11-21 | vs | Valley Forge | W | 80 - 50 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Rowan | L | 45 - 75 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Wm. Paterson | L | 50 - 66 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | W | 76 - 38 |
| 2024-12-11 | vs | Ramapo | W | 78 - 30 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | W | 62 - 55 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Delaware Valley | W | 65 - 48 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Shenandoah | L | 70 - 81 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Lehman | W | 74 - 34 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | New Jersey City | W | 69 - 59 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Stockton | W | 67 - 54 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | TCNJ | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Kean | W | 75 - 60 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Rowan | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Rutgers-Newark | W | 68 - 31 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Wm. Paterson | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | W | 75 - 49 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Ramapo | W | 79 - 48 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Stockton | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | New Jersey City | W | 88 - 79 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Kean | W | 80 - 60 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | TCNJ | L | 63 - 72 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Wm. Paterson | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | TCNJ | W | 72 - 63 |
| 2025-03-07 | @ | Chris. Newport | W | 67 - 64 |
| 2025-03-08 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | L | 49 - 71 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Novik | - | 1 | 33.0 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 33.0 | - | - | - | 69.2 | 50.0 | 85.7 | - | 77.7 | 73.1 |
| Grace Kowalski | - | 1 | 36.0 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 52 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 46.7 | 16.7 | 100.0 | 0.61 | 55.1 | 50.0 |
| Chrishawn Coleman | - | 1 | 27.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 149 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 38.5 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.65 | 46.0 | 42.3 |
| Alyssa Craigwell | - | 28 | 22.5 | 15.4 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 12.7 | 9.4 | 184 | 4.8 | 6.2 | 48.9 | 36.4 | 61.5 | -0.08 | 53.8 | 51.7 |
| Nina Branchizio | - | 1 | 40.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 72 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.66 | 53.8 | 53.8 |
| Olivia Vero | - | 29 | 29.3 | 13.2 | 8.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 11.9 | 11.7 | 153 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 43.9 | 0.0 | 61.1 | 0.94 | 47.6 | 43.9 |
| Michelle Ugwah | - | 1 | 33.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 59.7 | 60.0 |
| Harley Paynter | - | 1 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 54.7 | 54.5 |
| Brooke McFadden | - | 1 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | -58 | -1.7 | -3.1 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.53 | 60.4 | 55.6 |
| Kuryn Brunson | - | 1 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 61.9 | 62.5 |
| Alexis Strollo | - | 29 | 26.7 | 9.2 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 8.0 | 6.1 | 142 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 37.1 | 29.0 | 64.7 | 0.18 | 49.6 | 45.7 |
| Myla Benton | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Arianna McCleod | - | 1 | 30.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 44 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.38 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Amanda Baylock | - | 1 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | -69 | -2.2 | -3.3 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.39 | 73.5 | 70.0 |
| Shannon Hughes | - | 29 | 20.5 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 7.3 | 3.2 | 133 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 37.3 | 30.9 | 71.4 | 0.3 | 48.8 | 47.4 |
| Sophie Beneventine | - | 27 | 25.7 | 6.4 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 6.3 | 11.4 | 102 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 40.2 | 24.4 | 51.9 | 0.49 | 45.3 | 43.5 |
| Brianna Montajes | - | 28 | 17.2 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 73 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 42.3 | 18.8 | 72.7 | 0.48 | 50.7 | 43.7 |
| Kalise Hill | - | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Amanda Castro | - | 29 | 10.3 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 11 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 31.5 | 19.4 | 52.9 | -0.13 | 38.3 | 37.0 |
| Madison Marcotte | - | 29 | 19.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 101 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 43.1 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 0.37 | 47.0 | 45.1 |
| Isabella Orlando | - | 29 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 63 | 1.7 | 6.0 | 25.6 | 28.0 | 66.7 | -0.28 | 36.0 | 34.6 |
| Daja Wentz | - | 20 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 34.2 | 14.3 | 68.4 | - | 43.1 | 35.5 |
| Katie Dike | - | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Lyndsey Ross | - | 28 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 42 | 2.0 | 10.9 | 35.7 | 20.0 | 66.7 | 0.42 | 41.4 | 39.3 |
| Samantha Phillip | - | 28 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 147 | 6.1 | 13.5 | 29.5 | 11.8 | 55.6 | 1.27 | 34.4 | 31.8 |
| Malvina Sullivan | - | 28 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 48 | 2.3 | 12.0 | 26.3 | 30.0 | 75.0 | -0.09 | 38.5 | 34.2 |
| Salange Bell | - | 26 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 30.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 39.6 | 38.5 |
| Kristina Turner | - | 28 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 39 | 3.2 | 24.7 | 30.8 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.31 | 39.6 | 38.5 |
| Clare Saalfield | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Victoria Grygus | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Alyse Holliman | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Veronika Korchagina | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Alyssa Berry | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Maia Rosarion | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Celeste Reed | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Marie' Perdew | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Aileen Marquez | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaliyah Holmes | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -23 | -2.1 | -4.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Jenna Hampton | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Vicotria Grygus | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Maddie Bernhardt | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -54 | -1.9 | -6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Myah Hourigan-Hutton | - | 1 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 11 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tireya Wyatt | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19 | 1.4 | 8.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Cassidy Brown | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.78 | 0 | 0 |
| Katie Fricker | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 38 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.34 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Olivia Magee | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -45 | -2.5 | -11.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG