Minnesota St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1164 (#22) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1263 (#4) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +33.2 (#3) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.958 (#148) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.956 (#34) | NetEff +25.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.995 (#55) | AdjNet +45.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.996 (#57) | AdjNet +45.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.953 (#36) | AdjO 93.8 | AdjD 60.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Emporia St. | W | 99 - 74 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 67 - 85 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Wis.-Parkside | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Northwestern-St. Paul | W | 104 - 57 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Minn. Duluth | W | 82 - 64 |
| 2024-11-29 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 88 - 92 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Regis (CO) | W | 92 - 88 |
| 2024-12-06 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | W | 85 - 68 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Augustana (SD) | W | 96 - 70 |
| 2024-12-13 | vs | Southwest Minn. St. | W | 101 - 83 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Sioux Falls | W | 91 - 88 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | W | 85 - 66 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Winona St. | W | 83 - 69 |
| 2025-01-03 | @ | Mary | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Minot St. | W | 95 - 78 |
| 2025-01-10 | vs | Bemidji St. | W | 96 - 64 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | W | 95 - 56 |
| 2025-01-17 | vs | MSU Moorhead | W | 94 - 66 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | St. Cloud St. | W | 96 - 87 |
| 2025-01-24 | @ | Northern St. | L | 82 - 93 |
| 2025-01-30 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 56 - 64 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Winona St. | W | 105 - 49 |
| 2025-02-06 | vs | Wayne St. (NE) | W | 96 - 56 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Sioux Falls | L | 76 - 89 |
| 2025-03-14 | @ | Missouri Western | W | 87 - 73 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Bremer | - | 25 | 23.8 | 19.0 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 15.0 | 11.8 | 263 | 5.8 | 7.1 | 47.9 | 32.3 | 83.0 | 0.51 | 55.7 | 50.7 |
| Destinee Bursch | - | 25 | 22.2 | 17.4 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 12.4 | 12.6 | 147 | 4.6 | 5.9 | 53.5 | 28.6 | 80.2 | 1.16 | 60.6 | 55.8 |
| Elisabeth Gadient | - | 23 | 20.9 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 8.1 | 233 | 6.0 | 8.9 | 44.4 | 28.4 | 70.2 | 0.96 | 53.4 | 49.7 |
| Ava Stier | - | 25 | 20.4 | 8.0 | 6.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 6.5 | 8.2 | 305 | 6.6 | 9.8 | 46.9 | 39.5 | 69.6 | 1.5 | 54.6 | 51.5 |
| Mackenzie Schweim | - | 23 | 22.3 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 7.6 | 3.4 | 196 | 4.5 | 6.2 | 36.6 | 28.6 | 46.3 | -0.33 | 44.3 | 43.4 |
| Hannah Herzig | - | 19 | 16.2 | 6.7 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 5.4 | 6.7 | 230 | 6.2 | 9.5 | 44.7 | 10.0 | 75.6 | 1.05 | 52.1 | 45.6 |
| Lucy Leininger | - | 24 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 142 | 3.3 | 7.6 | 47.9 | 11.1 | 57.4 | 0.94 | 50.8 | 48.3 |
| Adeline Kent | - | 25 | 18.9 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 132 | 2.9 | 6.1 | 46.2 | 43.5 | 65.0 | 0.19 | 51.5 | 50.0 |
| Rhyan Holmgren | - | 25 | 11.3 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 199 | 4.5 | 12.3 | 48.1 | 66.7 | 71.4 | 0.77 | 55.5 | 49.4 |
| Mallory Czinano | - | 25 | 11.3 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 170 | 3.9 | 12.2 | 34.5 | 0 | 71.9 | 0.56 | 43.7 | 34.5 |
| Shantell Harden | - | 21 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 71 | 2.3 | 8.2 | 51.5 | 12.5 | 76.9 | 0.24 | 58.1 | 53.0 |
| Lilly Nuytten | - | 24 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 15 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 43.2 | 0 | 30.8 | -0.0 | 42.1 | 43.2 |
| Hannah Leverson | - | 25 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 170 | 4.5 | 25.0 | 22.9 | 16.7 | 50.0 | 0.45 | 27.9 | 27.1 |
| Delaynie Luneckas | - | 25 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 26.3 | 0 | 20.0 | -0.65 | 25.2 | 26.3 |
| Emily Dreckman | - | 12 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0.07 | 37.0 | 30.0 |
| Desiree Kleiman | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Emily Russo | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG