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Minnesota St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Minnesota St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 918 (#367) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 908 (#343) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +14.1 (#41) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.739 (#188) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.1 More → 0.703 (#117) NetEff +8.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.0 More → 0.934 (#92) AdjNet +23.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.2 More → 0.937 (#89) AdjNet +23.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.1 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.833 (#91) AdjO 86.1 | AdjD 68.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-02 @ Fla. Southern L 86 - 91
2024-11-03 vs North Georgia L 49 - 57
2024-11-08 @ Southern Ark. W 71 - 67
2024-11-09 vs Washburn L 68 - 85
2024-11-16 @ Southwest Minn. St. L 68 - 81
2024-11-23 vs Minn.-Morris W 106 - 71
2024-11-29 vs Jamestown W 85 - 80
2024-11-30 vs Truman St. W 95 - 64
2024-12-06 @ Wayne St. (NE) W 64 - 61
2024-12-07 @ Augustana (SD) W 71 - 70
2024-12-13 vs Southwest Minn. St. L 73 - 82
2024-12-14 vs Sioux Falls W 82 - 79
2024-12-19 vs Concordia-St. Paul W 84 - 80
2024-12-21 @ Winona St. L 75 - 88
2025-01-03 @ Mary W 90 - 49
2025-01-04 @ Minot St. L 72 - 75
2025-01-10 vs Bemidji St. W 83 - 60
2025-01-11 vs Minn.-Crookston W 90 - 63
2025-01-17 vs MSU Moorhead W 90 - 88
2025-01-18 vs St. Cloud St. L 75 - 80
2025-01-24 @ Northern St. W 87 - 59
2025-01-30 @ Concordia-St. Paul L 71 - 93
2025-02-01 vs Winona St. W 76 - 52
2025-02-06 vs Wayne St. (NE) W 83 - 53
2025-02-08 @ Sioux Falls W 75 - 73
2025-02-11 @ Minn. Duluth L 74 - 75
2025-02-14 vs Minot St. W 96 - 91
2025-02-15 vs Mary W 85 - 73
2025-02-21 @ St. Cloud St. W 70 - 52
2025-02-22 @ MSU Moorhead L 55 - 81
2025-03-02 vs St. Cloud St. W 78 - 72
2025-03-03 vs Minot St. L 70 - 72
2025-10-31 vs Northwest Mo. St. W 71 - 49

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kyreese Willingham - 31 33.4 20.4 5.8 2.2 1.6 1.2 1.5 15.4 14.3 13 0.4 0.9 49.0 33.5 75.9 1.29 58.2 54.5
AJ White - 1 34.0 16.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 15.0 6.0 -22 -0.8 -1.8 46.7 40.0 0 -0.2 53.3 53.3
Justin Eagins - 31 31.6 14.5 2.9 4.7 1.3 0.3 2.2 12.0 9.6 3 0.1 0.2 42.2 37.7 83.1 0.81 56.3 53.4
Sutton Smith - 1 32.0 14.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 5.0 7 0.3 1.3 42.9 28.6 0 0.35 50.0 50.0
Caden Kirkman - 32 23.2 10.2 6.3 1.7 0.6 0.3 1.3 7.4 10.5 34 1.1 3.2 58.5 0.0 62.2 2.58 60.1 58.5
Cayden Charles - 1 34.0 10.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 11.0 8.0 -39 -1.3 -3.6 36.4 0.0 100.0 0.13 42.1 36.4
Colin Turner - 1 25.0 10.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 6.0 6 0.2 0.5 44.4 0 100.0 0.91 50.6 44.4
Harrison Braudis - 31 29.5 9.7 4.2 2.0 0.8 0.3 1.4 8.8 6.9 86 3.1 6.5 39.6 33.0 83.1 1.46 50.3 46.2
Arhman Lewis - 1 27.4 8.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 3.0 -108 -4.3 -11.1 30.0 0.0 100.0 0.48 36.8 30.0
Will Opsahl - 32 27.2 7.7 3.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.6 5.6 6.8 -19 -0.5 -1.9 46.9 46.4 61.8 -0.01 63.7 63.1
Joe Buchanan - 1 14.2 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 17 0.5 8.0 50.0 50.0 0 0.28 75.0 75.0
David Harmon - 32 16.2 4.9 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.9 4.7 2.9 -16 -1.1 -3.2 44.3 30.9 64.3 0.82 50.9 50.0
Malcolm Jones - 32 10.3 4.3 3.9 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.6 3.4 5.3 13 1.0 6.6 50.9 0.0 76.5 -0.04 55.2 50.9
Drew Daniel - 29 8.0 3.1 2.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 2.1 3.3 -63 -4.5 -17.0 54.1 28.6 81.0 0.33 63.4 59.0
Hunter Shedenhelm - 1 29.0 3.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 5.0 46 1.9 5.4 16.7 25.0 0 1.61 25.0 25.0
Carson Schweim - 32 7.5 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.3 1.5 3 0.2 4.3 28.0 29.0 66.7 -0.37 41.8 40.0
Chase Bartlett - 25 7.4 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.5 1.6 -50 -3.8 -51.3 43.2 37.0 50.0 -0.22 56.8 56.8
Tyrell Stuttley - 31 3.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 8 1.1 19.4 54.2 25.0 40.0 -0.59 54.6 56.2
Chase Champion - 1 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 17 1.0 7.1 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.54 26.6 0.0
Colton Benson - 13 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 - - - 33.3 33.3 100.0 - 58.0 41.7
Dawson Rudolph - 31 1.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -9 -1.3 -35.8 25.0 20.0 0 -0.81 34.4 34.4
Holden Arnaman - 13 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Puolrah Gong - 30 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 -5 -1.7 -30.1 0 0 0 -1.01 0 0
Stephen Akwiwu - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -31 -2.4 -36.1 0 0 0 -0.32 0 0
JoJo Peterson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -24 -2.7 -26.1 0 0 0 -1.34 0 0
Ja'mari Arnold - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 10 0.3 2.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.7 0.0 0.0
Zack Hawkinson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 44 1.1 3.8 0 0 0 1.97 0 0
Stone Bureau - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chris Cole - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11 0.5 3.4 0 0 0 0.18 0 0
Jack Shutters - 1 14.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -9 -0.4 -1.8 0.0 0.0 0 0.17 0.0 0.0
Jake Stephens - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -96 -3.8 -97.5 0 0 0 -0.33 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG