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Minn.-Morris

Also known as: Minn.-Morris
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 930 (#495) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 906 (#486) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 987 (#538) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -11.8 (#279) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -9.6 (#524) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.393 (#533) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.3 More → 0.162 (#571) AdjNet -14.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.5 More → 0.155 (#571) AdjNet -14.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 81.3 More → 0.279 (#567) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 81.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 80.1 More → 0.422 (#552) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 80.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.363 (#529) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.375 (#524) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 23 More → 987 (#398) RD 104 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs St. Scholastica L 70 - 84
2025-11-12 @ Concordia-M'head L 74 - 79
2025-11-14 @ Neb. Wesleyan L 67 - 78
2025-11-15 @ Buena Vista L 73 - 83
2025-11-17 @ Oak Hills Christian W 70 - 61
2025-11-18 vs St. Scholastica W 89 - 58
2025-11-18 @ Trinity Bible (ND) W 78 - 51
2025-11-21 vs Augsburg L 73 - 78
2025-11-24 vs Martin Luther W 88 - 81
2025-12-01 vs Concordia-M'head L 69 - 83
2025-12-06 vs Oak Hills Christian W 89 - 65
2025-12-08 vs Trinity Bible (ND) W 96 - 64
2026-01-05 @ Minn.-Crookston L 61 - 81
2026-01-07 @ Martin Luther W 106 - 91
2026-01-10 @ Gustavus Adolphus L 54 - 73
2026-01-12 @ Saint John's (MN) L 67 - 95
2026-01-14 vs North Central (MN) W 80 - 74
2026-01-17 @ Northwestern-St. Paul L 79 - 88
2026-01-21 @ Crown (MN) W 90 - 75
2026-01-24 vs Wis.-Superior W 80 - 78
2026-01-28 vs Bethany Lutheran L 105 - 107
2026-02-04 vs Crown (MN) W 79 - 66
2026-02-07 vs Northwestern-St. Paul W 84 - 74

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Caleb Siwek - 1 25.7 21.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 14.0 - - - 80.0 50.0 75.0 - 89.3 90.0
Carvin Fish - 21 29.8 20.0 7.7 1.1 0.8 1.1 1.1 14.0 15.5 14 0.7 3.0 56.9 38.2 74.7 1.72 62.4 59.2
Kaden Pieper - 22 30.1 17.7 6.0 2.1 1.2 0.1 2.5 13.0 11.6 112 3.6 26.2 47.7 38.9 69.3 1.59 57.8 54.2
Matt Thompson - 21 28.1 14.7 7.8 1.7 0.6 0.7 3.0 10.2 12.3 54 2.8 15.1 45.3 37.6 79.5 0.38 60.9 55.6
Nick Katona - 1 26.9 14.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 20.0 - - - 50.0 25.0 87.5 - 73.5 58.3
Jaden Morgan - 1 6.7 10.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 6.0 88 5.9 56.6 57.1 50.0 0 1.03 71.4 71.4
Jackson Fowlkes - 1 25.3 9.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 5.0 - - - 44.4 0.0 100.0 - 47.7 44.4
Noah Paulson - 1 21.3 8.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 11.0 - - - 57.1 0.0 0 - 57.1 57.1
Thomas Tiernan - 21 24.7 6.8 2.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 1.5 6.3 3.3 8 0.4 2.1 36.8 34.0 61.9 0.31 50.3 48.9
Brian LaRoche, Jr. - 7 16.0 6.6 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.3 4.0 5.3 15 0.8 4.8 57.1 56.5 50.0 0.64 79.6 80.4
Owen Leach - 1 14.7 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 50.0 - 77.3 83.3
LeRoy Staples-Fairbanks - 22 19.2 5.8 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.4 1.7 5.3 3.6 57 3.0 18.5 31.9 31.1 87.2 0.57 47.7 40.1
Daniel Molhoek - 1 15.4 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 50.0 - 64.4 66.7
Jase Nelson - 22 21.0 4.4 3.4 1.7 0.4 0.1 1.0 3.2 5.9 12 0.6 4.0 47.1 22.7 65.0 -1.64 55.4 50.7
Gustav Gunderson - 20 24.0 4.3 3.0 4.0 1.1 0.1 1.9 3.4 7.2 15 0.8 4.3 38.8 30.6 77.4 -0.74 53.9 47.0
Peyton Rogers - 1 16.6 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 51.5 33.3
Wyatt McBeth - 1 17.3 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 - - - 20.0 50.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Andrew Rader - 1 3.3 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 79.8 100.0
Jang Dak - 16 11.4 2.0 2.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 2.1 2.8 -46 -3.8 -280.9 38.2 16.7 45.5 -0.21 41.2 39.7
Johnny Tong - 12 5.8 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.7 2.9 0.0 -8 -1.0 -27.9 25.7 0.0 66.7 -0.85 30.8 25.7
Alexander Munson - 15 5.5 1.5 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.6 16 1.5 259.5 42.1 42.9 57.1 -0.43 52.1 50.0
Samuel Daho - 13 5.9 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.6 0.5 24 3.0 1309.1 28.6 30.0 0 -0.01 35.7 35.7
Leul Samuel - 10 3.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.1 -0.1 - - - 36.4 20.0 0 - 40.9 40.9
Ian Fahje - 17 6.0 0.6 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.5 16 1.2 29.9 17.6 0.0 71.4 0.01 27.4 17.6
Makhi Winter - 7 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.7 5 1.0 272.7 66.7 0 0 -0.01 66.7 66.7
Broch Zeeb - 9 2.4 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.3 2 0.4 48.0 16.7 0.0 0 -0.06 16.7 16.7
Traveion Scott-Neilan - 3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Billy DeMars - 1 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Brooks Johnson - 1 3.3 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -14 -3.5 -124.0 0.0 0.0 0 -1.07 0.0 0.0
Cole Lahti - 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ryan Lu - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG