Minn.-Morris
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 991 (#396) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 944 (#444) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 987 (#538) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.4 (#334) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.6 (#524) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.393 (#533) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.162 (#571) | AdjNet -14.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.155 (#571) | AdjNet -14.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.279 (#567) | AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 81.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.422 (#552) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 80.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.363 (#529) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.375 (#524) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 983 (#395) | RD 104 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | St. Scholastica | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Concordia-M'head | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Buena Vista | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-17 | @ | Oak Hills Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | St. Scholastica | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Trinity Bible (ND) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Augsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Martin Luther | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Concordia-M'head | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Oak Hills Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-08 | vs | Trinity Bible (ND) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Minn.-Crookston | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Martin Luther | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Gustavus Adolphus | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-12 | @ | Saint John's (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | North Central (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Northwestern-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Crown (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Wis.-Superior | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Bethany Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Crown (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Northwestern-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvin Fish | - | 21 | 29.8 | 20.0 | 7.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 14.0 | 15.5 | 14 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 56.9 | 38.2 | 74.7 | 1.36 | 62.4 | 59.2 |
| Kaden Pieper | - | 21 | 30.7 | 18.0 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 13.3 | 11.6 | 112 | 3.6 | 26.2 | 48.0 | 39.8 | 68.5 | 0.99 | 58.0 | 54.7 |
| Matt Thompson | - | 20 | 28.7 | 15.1 | 8.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 10.4 | 12.7 | 54 | 2.8 | 15.1 | 45.0 | 37.9 | 80.5 | 1.03 | 61.1 | 55.5 |
| Brian LaRoche, Jr. | - | 7 | 16.0 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 15 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 57.1 | 56.5 | 50.0 | 0.65 | 79.6 | 80.4 |
| Thomas Tiernan | - | 20 | 24.8 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 8 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 34.6 | 32.2 | 61.9 | -1.78 | 47.7 | 46.1 |
| LeRoy Staples-Fairbanks | - | 21 | 18.8 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 3.4 | 57 | 3.0 | 18.5 | 32.7 | 29.8 | 87.5 | 2.23 | 47.8 | 40.9 |
| Gustav Gunderson | - | 19 | 24.8 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 3.5 | 7.4 | 15 | 0.8 | 4.3 | 38.8 | 30.6 | 77.4 | 0.12 | 53.9 | 47.0 |
| Jase Nelson | - | 21 | 21.1 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 6.1 | 12 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 46.3 | 22.7 | 65.0 | -0.05 | 55.0 | 50.0 |
| Jang Dak | - | 15 | 11.1 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 3.0 | -46 | -3.8 | -280.9 | 39.3 | 20.0 | 45.5 | -5.25 | 42.6 | 41.1 |
| Johnny Tong | - | 11 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 0.2 | -8 | -1.0 | -27.9 | 27.6 | 0.0 | 71.4 | -2.53 | 32.7 | 27.6 |
| Alexander Munson | - | 14 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 16 | 1.5 | 259.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 0.64 | 61.7 | 60.7 |
| Samuel Daho | - | 12 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 24 | 3.0 | 1309.1 | 27.8 | 25.0 | 0 | 1.95 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Leul Samuel | - | 9 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Makhi Winter | - | 7 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 5 | 1.0 | 272.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Ian Fahje | - | 16 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 16 | 1.2 | 29.9 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0.06 | 21.6 | 14.3 |
| Broch Zeeb | - | 8 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | -0.1 | 2 | 0.4 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Traveion Scott-Neilan | - | 3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Lu | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG