🐻⬇️🏀

Minn. Duluth

Also known as: Minn. Duluth
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1176 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1207 (#20) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +12.3 (#81) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.661 (#300) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -6.5 More → 0.313 (#268) NetEff -6.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.8 More → 0.940 (#165) AdjNet +23.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.3 More → 0.947 (#165) AdjNet +24.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 57.2 More → 0.805 (#164) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 57.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Southeastern Okla. L 85 - 87
2024-11-09 @ Northwestern Okla. W 84 - 78
2024-11-18 vs Wis.-Parkside L 69 - 79
2024-11-22 @ South Dakota Mines W 74 - 55
2024-11-23 vs Northern Mich. L 63 - 65
2024-11-24 vs Michigan Tech W 71 - 67
2024-11-26 vs Minnesota St. L 64 - 82
2024-12-06 @ Southwest Minn. St. L 56 - 82
2024-12-07 @ Sioux Falls L 68 - 79
2024-12-13 vs Augustana (SD) W 61 - 48
2024-12-14 vs Wayne St. (NE) W 62 - 56
2024-12-18 vs Winona St. L 65 - 67
2024-12-21 @ Concordia-St. Paul L 38 - 82
2025-01-03 @ Northern St. L 43 - 73
2025-01-04 @ MSU Moorhead W 74 - 50
2025-01-11 vs St. Cloud St. L 66 - 79
2025-01-17 vs Bemidji St. W 74 - 60
2025-01-18 vs Minn.-Crookston W 66 - 64
2025-01-24 @ Mary L 59 - 71
2025-01-25 @ Minot St. L 48 - 58
2025-01-29 @ Winona St. L 53 - 57
2025-02-01 vs Concordia-St. Paul L 61 - 86
2025-02-05 vs Southwest Minn. St. L 63 - 89
2025-02-08 @ Augustana (SD) L 53 - 58
2025-02-14 vs MSU Moorhead W 63 - 61
2025-02-14 @ Sioux Falls L 64 - 83
2025-02-15 vs Northern St. L 59 - 77
2025-02-15 @ Southwest Minn. St. L 74 - 88
2025-02-21 @ Minn.-Crookston W 77 - 60
2025-02-22 vs Concordia-St. Paul L 60 - 87
2025-02-22 @ Bemidji St. W 71 - 54
2025-02-26 @ Mary L 43 - 64
2025-02-26 @ Sioux Falls L 69 - 81

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Emma Miller - 5 36.8 25.2 6.0 2.4 1.2 0.0 3.0 21.8 10.0 64 1.6 1.4 45.0 35.7 76.5 0.1 54.1 51.8
Nicole Hernandez - 5 34.8 11.6 8.8 1.8 0.8 2.4 2.0 11.2 12.2 56 8.0 12.1 41.1 26.7 66.7 -0.1 47.3 44.6
Johanna Miller - 28 26.4 11.1 6.7 1.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 9.6 9.3 -54 -1.9 -2.4 50.0 25.0 58.8 -0.24 51.8 50.2
Lexi Karge - 28 23.7 11.0 6.1 1.5 0.5 0.8 2.5 8.8 8.6 -2 -0.1 -0.1 51.4 38.9 68.3 -0.17 56.6 54.3
Myra Moorjani - 28 33.0 10.9 4.5 3.3 0.6 0.3 2.4 11.6 5.7 -29 -0.8 -0.8 32.6 33.6 71.0 0.51 42.9 39.4
Riley Jenkins - 5 29.6 8.8 5.2 3.0 0.2 0.4 2.6 8.0 7.0 104 2.6 2.7 35.0 35.3 83.3 0.34 48.6 42.5
Willow Thiel - 5 25.4 8.0 3.8 1.2 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.8 5.6 18 0.6 1.0 41.4 37.5 92.9 0.24 56.9 46.6
Claire Bjorge - 27 27.4 7.9 2.7 2.1 1.0 0.4 1.4 8.1 4.6 21 0.6 0.7 36.7 29.5 83.9 -0.05 46.2 43.1
Hope Dudycha - 5 23.8 6.8 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.0 1.8 5.6 3.2 28 0.7 0.9 50.0 25.0 100.0 0.01 58.0 55.4
Vanessa Bickford - 28 29.2 5.4 2.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 1.0 6.3 2.5 -22 -0.6 -0.6 32.8 33.0 70.0 0.39 41.9 41.0
Grace Counts - 28 14.7 5.2 1.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 1.0 5.1 2.2 18 0.5 0.9 41.0 38.6 71.4 -0.04 48.3 46.9
Maria Counts - 26 16.8 4.8 3.3 2.0 0.7 0.3 1.3 4.9 4.9 22 0.8 1.0 36.2 31.2 78.3 -0.02 45.6 42.1
Rayna Klejeski - 5 12.4 3.8 3.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.8 3.4 29 0.7 1.2 42.1 0.0 75.0 0.06 45.8 42.1
Lexi Karlen - 28 12.1 3.7 2.8 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 3.2 3.3 -12 -0.4 -0.8 44.0 20.0 70.0 0.15 49.4 45.1
Drew Johnston - 27 6.3 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.3 -3 -0.1 -0.5 38.5 43.3 71.4 -0.1 57.0 55.1
Natalie Mikrot - 5 5.4 1.6 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.0 0.2 -8 -0.2 -0.8 30.0 25.0 0 -0.22 40.0 40.0
Brynn Olson - 14 6.8 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.9 0.7 -42 -2.0 -5.6 33.3 7.1 100.0 0.14 37.7 35.2
Halle Winjum - 5 13.2 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.6 75 1.9 3.6 28.6 0.0 60.0 -0.5 38.0 28.6
Emme Munch - 5 2.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.8 -0.2 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Haley Hawkinson - 27 4.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.6 -14 -0.8 -2.8 28.6 9.1 28.6 -0.18 31.1 31.0
Gabrielle Kirchner - 26 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 -17 -1.4 -9.3 66.7 0 25.0 -0.09 58.0 66.7
Lilly Radcliffe - 26 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 -13 -1.4 -8.2 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.02 51.5 33.3
Brynlea Mahlen - 5 4.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8 0.2 1.3 0 0 50.0 -0.63 56.8 0
Helen Chen - 27 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.1 -10 -1.1 -6.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.06 0.0 0.0
Nicole O'Neil - 23 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Olivia Walsh - 5 4.8 0.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.8 - - - 0.0 0 0 0.05 0.0 0.0
Taryn Frazer - 2 4.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kloe Wadd - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Emma Osborn - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG