Minn. Duluth
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1176 (#14) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1207 (#20) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.3 (#81) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.661 (#300) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.313 (#268) | NetEff -6.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.940 (#165) | AdjNet +23.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.947 (#165) | AdjNet +24.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.805 (#164) | AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 57.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Miller | - | 5 | 36.8 | 25.2 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 21.8 | 10.0 | 64 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 45.0 | 35.7 | 76.5 | 0.1 | 54.1 | 51.8 |
| Nicole Hernandez | - | 5 | 34.8 | 11.6 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 11.2 | 12.2 | 56 | 8.0 | 12.1 | 41.1 | 26.7 | 66.7 | -0.1 | 47.3 | 44.6 |
| Johanna Miller | - | 28 | 26.4 | 11.1 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 9.6 | 9.3 | -54 | -1.9 | -2.4 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 58.8 | -0.24 | 51.8 | 50.2 |
| Lexi Karge | - | 28 | 23.7 | 11.0 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 8.8 | 8.6 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 51.4 | 38.9 | 68.3 | -0.17 | 56.6 | 54.3 |
| Myra Moorjani | - | 28 | 33.0 | 10.9 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 11.6 | 5.7 | -29 | -0.8 | -0.8 | 32.6 | 33.6 | 71.0 | 0.51 | 42.9 | 39.4 |
| Riley Jenkins | - | 5 | 29.6 | 8.8 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 104 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 35.0 | 35.3 | 83.3 | 0.34 | 48.6 | 42.5 |
| Willow Thiel | - | 5 | 25.4 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 18 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 41.4 | 37.5 | 92.9 | 0.24 | 56.9 | 46.6 |
| Claire Bjorge | - | 27 | 27.4 | 7.9 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 8.1 | 4.6 | 21 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 36.7 | 29.5 | 83.9 | -0.05 | 46.2 | 43.1 |
| Hope Dudycha | - | 5 | 23.8 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 5.6 | 3.2 | 28 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 58.0 | 55.4 |
| Vanessa Bickford | - | 28 | 29.2 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.3 | 2.5 | -22 | -0.6 | -0.6 | 32.8 | 33.0 | 70.0 | 0.39 | 41.9 | 41.0 |
| Grace Counts | - | 28 | 14.7 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 18 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 41.0 | 38.6 | 71.4 | -0.04 | 48.3 | 46.9 |
| Maria Counts | - | 26 | 16.8 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 22 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 36.2 | 31.2 | 78.3 | -0.02 | 45.6 | 42.1 |
| Rayna Klejeski | - | 5 | 12.4 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 29 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.06 | 45.8 | 42.1 |
| Lexi Karlen | - | 28 | 12.1 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 3.3 | -12 | -0.4 | -0.8 | 44.0 | 20.0 | 70.0 | 0.15 | 49.4 | 45.1 |
| Drew Johnston | - | 27 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 38.5 | 43.3 | 71.4 | -0.1 | 57.0 | 55.1 |
| Natalie Mikrot | - | 5 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 0.2 | -8 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.22 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Brynn Olson | - | 14 | 6.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | -42 | -2.0 | -5.6 | 33.3 | 7.1 | 100.0 | 0.14 | 37.7 | 35.2 |
| Halle Winjum | - | 5 | 13.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 75 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.5 | 38.0 | 28.6 |
| Emme Munch | - | 5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Haley Hawkinson | - | 27 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | -14 | -0.8 | -2.8 | 28.6 | 9.1 | 28.6 | -0.18 | 31.1 | 31.0 |
| Gabrielle Kirchner | - | 26 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -17 | -1.4 | -9.3 | 66.7 | 0 | 25.0 | -0.09 | 58.0 | 66.7 |
| Lilly Radcliffe | - | 26 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -13 | -1.4 | -8.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.02 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Brynlea Mahlen | - | 5 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.63 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Helen Chen | - | 27 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -10 | -1.1 | -6.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.06 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nicole O'Neil | - | 23 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Olivia Walsh | - | 5 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Taryn Frazer | - | 2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kloe Wadd | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Emma Osborn | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG